美国2014年农业国内支持政策调整对其后巴厘农业谈判立场的影响

发布时间：2019-03-22 12:42

【摘要】：美国农业国内支持削减问题是多哈回合农业谈判陷入僵局的根源,美国政府在后巴厘谈判的立场受制于2014年农业法案对其农业国内支持政策的调整。文章在对美国2014年农业法案调整的贸易扭曲性支持措施进行"归箱"研判的基础上,利用美国近年来的农业国内支持历史数据和2014年农业国内支持调整后的相关支出预算数据,根据《农业减让模式修正草案(第四稿)》的削减方案,对新法案实施后美国国内支持的OTDS、超微量AMS和棉花TAMS进行估计。分析认为,美国2014年农业国内支持政策调整很难将其OTDS、超微量AMS、棉花TAMS削减到《农业减让模式修正草案(第四稿)》要求的水平,即使其他成员愿意在市场准入方面让步,美国若不修改其农业法案,其后的巴厘农业谈判仍没有让步空间。
[Abstract]:The U.S. agriculture domestic support reduction issue is the root cause of the Doha Round of agricultural negotiations, and the U.S. government's position in the post-Bali negotiations is constrained by the adjustment of its agricultural domestic support policy by the 2014 Agriculture Act. On the basis of the "home-of-the-box" research and judgment on the trade distortions support measures adjusted by the US Agriculture Act in 2014, the article uses the historical data of domestic agricultural support in recent years in the United States and the related expenditure budget data after the adjustment of domestic support for agriculture in 2014. According to the reduction plan of the draft Agricultural concession Model Amendment (fourth draft), the ultra-small amount of OTDS, and cotton TAMS supported in the United States after the implementation of the new legislation are estimated. The analysis held that it would be very difficult for the United States to adjust its agricultural domestic support policy in 2014 to reduce its ultra-micro OTDS, AMS, cotton TAMS to the level required by the draft Agricultural concession Model Amendment (fourth draft), even if other members were willing to compromise on market access. If the United States does not amend its agriculture bill, there is no room for subsequent negotiations on agriculture in Bali.
【作者单位】：华中农业大学;国务院发展研究中心;贵州大学经济学院;福建农林大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金:国家粮食安全新战略视野下谷物生产支持政策体系研究(71473052) 商务部世贸司应急研究课题:美国2014年农业法案农业国内支持政策调整对其WTO谈判立场的影响
【分类号】：F371.2

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