我国农业物流与农业经济发展互动关系研究——基于1991—2014年时间序列数据

发布时间：2019-05-11 20:15

【摘要】：本文以1991—2014年我国农业物流与农业经济发展指标等时间序列数据为样本,采用协整分析、误差修正模型等方法重点研究我国农业物流与农业经济发展的互动关系,同时分析农业资本投入、农业技术投入等因素对农业经济发展的影响。研究结果表明,我国农业物流发展水平对农业经济发展水平具有显著的正向影响,农业物流是农业经济发展水平的格兰杰原因,农业物流发展水平短期波动对农业经济发展水平的影响较小,而其长期波动对农业经济发展水平影响较大;农业资本投入与农业技术投入对农业经济发展水平具有正向影响,且农业技术投入产出弹性大于农业资本投入产出弹性。
[Abstract]:Taking the time series data such as agricultural logistics and agricultural economic development index from 1991 to 2014 as samples, this paper focuses on the interactive relationship between agricultural logistics and agricultural economic development in China by means of cointegration analysis and error correction model. At the same time, the influence of agricultural capital input and agricultural technology input on agricultural economic development is analyzed. The results show that the development level of agricultural logistics in China has a significant positive impact on the level of agricultural economic development, and agricultural logistics is the Granger reason for the level of agricultural economic development. The short-term fluctuation of agricultural logistics development level has little influence on the agricultural economic development level, but its long-term fluctuation has a great influence on the agricultural economic development level. Agricultural capital input and agricultural technology input have a positive impact on the level of agricultural economic development, and the input-output elasticity of agricultural technology is greater than the input-output elasticity of agricultural capital.
【作者单位】：北京交通大学经济管理学院;内蒙古农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：内蒙古自治区自然科学基金“内蒙古物流能力与区域经济发展耦合互动机理研究”(2016MS0712) 内蒙古畜牧业经济研究基地项目“内蒙古绿色畜产品电子商务物流发展研究”(2015JDB055) 内蒙古哲学社会科学规划项目“内蒙古生产性服务业集聚对制造业转型升级的影响及对策研究”(2015C023)
【分类号】：F326.6;F323

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