软投入与中国区域经济发展比较研究

  本文关键词：软投入与中国区域经济发展比较研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

软投入与中国区域经济发展比较研究 A comparative study on soft investment and regional economic development in China

作者：张唯实 作者本人请参看权利申明

导师姓名：李国璋

学位授予单位：兰州大学

授予学位：博士

学位年度：2012

专业：区域经济学

关键词：

摘要:

以后中国的经济成长和比拟优势在空间上的散布都是极不屈衡的，东部地域经济成长比拟快，中部地域次之，而宽大西部地域经济和社会成长比拟慢，这类区域差别景象发生的内涵机理是甚么？本文试图基于兰州年夜学经济学院李国璋传授提出的软投入实际剖析框架，对中国家当的不屈衡散布形式及地域差距的发生机制供给一种新视角的说明。在对改造开放以来中国家当构造、临盆效力和区域经济成长差距停止经历描写的基本上，经由过程实际研讨和计量剖析相联合的办法对中国家当会聚和区域比拟优势的影响机制，和经济会聚和区域比拟优势所带来的成长差别效应停止了考核。应用增量投入产出表、DEA，SFA和其他计量模子剖析办法对中国1995一2008年间的家当构造、临盆效力和区域经济成长差别身分停止了基于区域比拟优势和竞争优势的剖析。第一章和第二章是导言和文献综述，重要评论辩论以后中国区域成长差别和西部地域经济成长的前沿研讨。在第三章起首对中国的家当构造演化及其区域经济成长停止了扼要描写，然后采取中国东、中、西部1996年至2008年的面板数据，应用面板协整顿论和模子剖析了轨制差别和软投入质量对中国东、中、西三年夜区域经济增加影响。研讨发明，，东、中、西部地域轨制和软投入质量差别变量与区域经济增加变量之间都存在历久平衡关系；全国和区域的轨制差别和软投入质量对社会经济成长差别有必定的影响；在分歧的区域前提束缚下，全国和区域的人均GDP和开放存在互相因果关系。研讨以为减少区域经济成长差距，树立可连续平衡成长和进步软投入质量的经济增加形式对中国经济久远成长相当主要。从第四章到第七章，起首基于shift一share办法、软投入实际和增量投入产出表剖析了中国家当构造与临盆效力的关系，然后应用1998一2007年的省级面板数据，经由过程SFA、DEA模子和软投入实际夹角办法，应用CD函数和超出对数函数预算了中国各省郊区和三年夜区域积年的本钱和休息产出弹性、TFP程度及其效力变更，对临盆效力和软投入质量与中国区域经济成长，特殊是西部地域经济成长停止了具体研讨，研讨发明东中西部的本钱产出弹性年夜于休息产出弹性。以上研讨注解区域间TFP和软投入质量分歧惹起中国区域社会经济成长差距扩展。本文以为中西部进步临盆效力、软投入质量和国度增长对中西部的投资可以减少中国区域经济成长差别和增进中国区域经济社会成长。本文以为家当会聚招致的临盆效力、区域比拟优势和家当构造差别是中国地域差距连续扩展的别的三个主要缘由，但这类家当会聚对中国以后全体的经济增加倒是有益的。经济会聚是中国经济成长弗成超越的阶段，今朝应采用持续推动经济运动空间会聚的政策办法。本文在实际与实证剖析的基本上，基于软投入实际，应用中国的相干统计数据，经由过程对中国经济成长的扼要剖析，本文以为中国在家当构造变迁和优化的成长进程中，家当构造优化的最优途径就是进步软投入组合质量，削减软投入组合制约，进步经济和社会成长的质量，减小区域经济成长差距，在区域经济体内和区域经济体间树立优越的因果积累轮回的经济成长体系体例，特别是在经济和社会成长比拟落伍的西部地域更应当如斯，在区域比拟优势的基本上成长特点优势家当，进步软投入组合质量，树立更多更好的特点优势家当集群，培养区域家当集群的焦点竞争力，面向全球协作竞争。在往后的研讨中，本研讨重要基于空间静态面板计量办法、非参数办法及软投入实际的静态办法停止相干的研讨，更多重点放在区域经济成长，特殊是西部地域经济和社会成长的基本运用研讨上，提出更多有扶植意义的成果，为国度和西部地域经济和社会成长做出本质性的建议。

Abstract:

After China's economic growth and comparative advantage in space distribution are very different, the eastern regional economic growth is relatively fast, the central region of the second, and the large economic and social development of the western region is relatively slow, the regional differences in the connotation of the phenomenon of the phenomenon is what? This paper attempts to based on Li Guozhang Lanzhou University School of economics professor soft input of the proposed theoretical analysis framework, on China's belongings imbalance spread instructions form and regional disparities of the supply mechanism of a new perspective. Since the reform and opening up of China's industrial structure, childbirth and the effectiveness of the regional economic growth gap stop experience description on, through the actual research and measurement analysis phase, the United Way of Chinese furniture convergence and regional compare advantage, the impact mechanism, and economic convergence and regional comparative advantage brought about by the differential effects on growth stop the examination. Application of incremental input-output table, DEA, SFA and other measurement model analysis method of China from 1995 to 2008 years industrial structure, childbirth and the effectiveness of the regional economic growth difference identity stopped based on regional comparative advantage and competitive advantage analysis. The first chapter and the second chapter are the introduction and literature review, and the important part of China's regional development and regional economic growth in the western region. In the third chapter of China's industrial structure evolution and regional economic growth stopped briefly described, and then take the panel data of Eastern, middle and Western China from 1996 to 2008, applying panel co consolidation theory and model analysis of the rail system difference and the quality of soft input to China Eastern, central and western big three regional economic increasing impact. Study found that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables of Eastern, central, western region rail system and soft input quality difference variables and regional economic increasing; national and regional rail system difference and soft input quality of social and economic growth difference has certain effect; in front of the different regions under the yoke, national and regional GDP per capita and open existing mutual causality. It is very important for China's economic growth to reduce the gap of regional economic growth, establish a balanced growth and improve the quality of soft input. From the fourth chapter to the seventh chapter, the first shift share way, the soft input and the actual incremental input-output table analysis of the relationship between industrial structure and labor force China based on provincial panel data, and then apply the 1998 to 2007, through SFA, DEA model and actual angle of soft input way, using the CD function and logarithmic function beyond the budget the change of suburb and the three largest regional China provinces annual cost and output elasticity, the degree of TFP and the rest of the production efficiency, effectiveness and quality of soft input and regional economic growth China, especially economic growth in western region of the detailed research, research present East Midwest output elasticity is greater than the rest of the output elasticity of capital. The above discussion notes the regional TFP and the quality of the soft input to provoke China's regional economic growth gap. This thesis thinks that progress in the Midwest to give birth effect, quality of soft input and state of the central and Western investment growth can reduce the differences of regional economic growth in China and promote China's regional economic and social development. This paper think belongings convergence resulted in the birth of effect, regional comparative advantage and industrial structure difference is Chinese regional gap between the continuous expansion of the other three main reasons, but this kind of belongings convergence of China after all economic increase is beneficial. Economic convergence is the stage of China's economic growth beyond, at present, it should adopt policies to promote economic development. Based on the analysis of actual and empirical basically, soft input based on the actual application of statistical data, coherent China, through a brief analysis of Chinese economic growth, this paper thinks Chinese industrial structure change and Optimization in the growth process, the optimal way of industrial structure optimization is to improve the combination quality of the soft input size, cut the soft investment portfolio restricting the economic and social development and the progress, quality, reduce the gap of regional economic growth, in the regional economy and regional economic bodies to establish a superior economic growth causal accumulation cycle system, especially in the western region is relatively backward in economic and social development should be more so, basically in the growth characteristics of regional comparative advantage of the home advantage progress, the soft investment portfolio quality, the advantages of industry group set up more and better training, focus on the competitiveness of regional industry group, the global cooperation and competition. In future studies, this research is based on the research of spatial static panel method, non parameter method and the static method of soft input. More emphasis is put on the regional economic growth, especially the basic application of regional economic and social development. ...

目录:

中文摘要7-9Abstract9-12第一章 导言13-22    一、研究背景13-14    二、研究目的、方法和手段14-21        (一) 研究目的和基本思路14-17        (二) 主要研究方法17-18        (三) 结构安排18-19        (四) 预计的难点和说明19        (五) 主要的创新点19-21    三、本章小结21-22第二章 文献综述22-31    一、引言22    二、产业结构与区域经济发展：软投入理论的视角22-24    三、经济增长与区域经济发展：新经济增长理论的视角24-28    四、生产效率与区域经济发展：产业结构理论的视角28-29    五、产业结构与生产效率：TFP的视角29-30    六、本章小结30-31第三章 产业结构差异与西部地区经济发展31-53    一、产业结构变化与经济增长的事实描述31-33        (一) 产业结构演变的规律31        (二) 发达国家产业结构及其演变31-33        (三) 中国产业结构演进的目标33    二、全国产业结构数据计量分析33-42        (一)计量模型的建立33-34        (二) 数据和方法说明34-39        (三) 相关实证及结果分析39-42    三、中国区域数据、模型及实证分析42-47        (一) 数据说明和相关处理42-44        (二) 全国数据回归分析44        (三) 东部地区数据回归分析44-45        (四) 中部地区数据回归分析45        (五) 西部地区数据回归分析45-47    四、中国区域经济发展和生产效率差异的影响因素47-52    五、本章小结52-53第四章 产业结构变迁与生产率增长53-66    一、模型、数据及其处理53-63        (一) 数学模型53-54        (二) 数据说明及处理54-59        (三) 中国产业结构变动对劳动生产率增长的贡献59-60        (四) 中国产业结构变动对全要素生产率的贡献分析60-63    二、就业结构与产业结构均衡性分析63-65    三、本章小结65-66第五章 中国三大产业生产效率的软投入分析66-79    一、引言66    二、增量投入产出模型66-71        (一) 增量投入产出表的结构66-68        (二) 计算结果及主要分析68-71    三、回归分析71-77        (一) 指标的选取以及变量的说明71-74        (二) 计量结果与分析74-77        (三) ECM分析77    四、本章小结77-79第六章 区域生产效率与西部经济发展：SFA和DEA方法79-113    一、导言79-82    二、参数方法模型：SFA82-92        (一) 模型和数据说明82-84        (二) 模型估计与数据分析84-86        (四) 生产率增长率分解模型86-89        (五) 中国区域生产效率的超越对数估计89-91        (六) 1998-2007年各省的生产效率水平91-92    三、非参数方法模型：DEA模型92-112        (一) Malmquist指数92-94        (三) 模型估计与数据分析94-112    四、本章小结112-113第七章 主要结论和政策建议113-120    一、总结性评论113-115    二、主要结论和建议115-118    三、将来研究方向及设想118-120参考文献120-129在学期间科研成果129-130致谢130-132

参考文献

  本文关键词：软投入与中国区域经济发展比较研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。