中国产业发展与区域经济增长关系研究

发布时间：2018-02-27 05:29

本文关键词： 产业发展区域经济贡献率 BCG矩阵　出处：《云南财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：区域经济是由第一产业、第二产业以及第三产业组成的。三大产业内部又细分为诸多产业、行业部门。各产业部门的发展状况，结构合理性以及发展方向的正确性均对整个区域经济产生重要影响。我国“十二五”规划明确提出要加快产业结构调整,以实现经济增长的可持续性和平稳性。但是，如何从更深层的角度观察产业发展，如何更宏观地把握全国各区域的产业发展现状，是分析区域内产业结构合理性、进而制定产业政策的基础，同样也是摆在我们面前的难题。改革开放以来我国经济发展迅猛，中国速度已经成为一个闻名世界的词汇。全国各省均确立了各自的主导产业、支柱产业，在这些产业的支撑和带动下区域经济得到了进步。但是，在高速增长的GDP总量背后一直存在着产业结构方面的各种问题。比如一二三产业结构不合理，产业升级迟缓、落后产能比重过大、主导产业拉动能力不强等等诸如此类。这些问题已经得到了越来越多的重视与研究。笔者在借鉴前人研究成果的基础上，希望通过本文的研究对以上相关问题的解决贡献出一份力量。本文主要结合区域经济学与产业经济学的相关理论，，运用定量与定性分析相结合的方法，以全国部分省份第二和第三产业的细分产业部门的增加值为研究对象，通过计算产业贡献率来研究各省份细分产业部门对区域经济的影响，进而使用BCG矩阵分析法进行排名、分类，并针对不同类别的特点分别提出政策性建议。本文主要进行了以下几个部分的研究：梳理产业发展的阶段、周期与区域经济发展的阶段、周期之间的关系，并得出结论：区域经济发展在很大程度上受到产业发展阶段、周期的影响。通过研究各省份细分产业部门对经济增长的贡献率，明确各省内产业部门的发展现状，贡献大小以及结构变动情况。进而计算各省份内各产业对GDP增长的拉动。通过横向和纵向的比对，对每个省份的产业特点进行逐一分析，其中重点分析了云南省。并使用BCG矩阵分析法将所有省份分为四类，分别分布在第一象限、第二象限、第三象限以及第四象限中。根据以上研究成果，结合第一象限、第二象限、第三象限、第四象限不同的产业特点，分别针对每一种类别提出合理、可行的政策性建议。最后列举了本文存在的缺陷和不足，希望今后条件成熟后在深度和广度两方面进行更进一步的研究。
[Abstract]:The regional economy is composed of the primary industry, the secondary industry and the tertiary industry. The three major industries are subdivided into many industries, industrial sectors, and the development of various industrial sectors. The rationality of the structure and the correctness of the development direction have an important influence on the whole regional economy. The 12th Five-Year Plan of our country clearly proposes to speed up the adjustment of the industrial structure in order to realize the sustainability and stability of the economic growth. How to observe the industrial development from a deeper angle and how to grasp the present situation of industrial development in various regions of the country are the basis of analyzing the rationality of the industrial structure in the region and then formulating industrial policies, which is also a difficult problem in front of us. Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has developed rapidly, and China's speed has become a world famous word. All provinces throughout the country have established their respective leading industries and pillar industries. Under the support of these industries, the regional economy has made progress. However, there have been various problems in the industrial structure behind the rapid growth of total GDP. For example, the industrial structure of 123 is unreasonable, and the industrial upgrading is slow. The proportion of backward production capacity is too large, the leading industry pull capacity is not strong and so on. These problems have been paid more and more attention and research. Hope to contribute to the solution of the above related problems through the research in this paper. This paper mainly combines the theories of regional economics and industrial economics, using the method of quantitative and qualitative analysis, taking the added value of the secondary and tertiary industries in some provinces as the research object. By calculating the contribution rate of industry, this paper studies the impact of the subdivision of industrial departments on the regional economy, and then uses the BCG matrix analysis method to rank and classify, and puts forward policy suggestions for the characteristics of different categories. This article mainly carries on the following several parts of the research:. The relationship between the industrial development stage, the period of the cycle and the regional economic development, and the conclusion is drawn that the regional economic development is greatly affected by the industrial development stage and the cycle. By studying the contribution rate of each province's subdivision industry department to the economic growth, it is clear that each province's industrial department's development present situation, The contribution and structure change of each province are calculated. The industrial characteristics of each province are analyzed one by one through horizontal and vertical comparison. The analysis of Yunnan Province is focused on, and all provinces are divided into four categories by BCG matrix analysis, which are distributed in the first quadrant, the second quadrant, the third quadrant and the 4th quadrant, respectively. According to the above research results, combined with the different industrial characteristics of the first quadrant, the second quadrant, the third quadrant and the 4th quadrant, reasonable and feasible policy suggestions are put forward for each category. Finally, the defects and shortcomings of this paper are listed. It is hoped that further research on depth and breadth will be carried out in the future after the conditions are ripe.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124

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