穗港澳增长三角次区域经济合作研究

  本文关键词：穗港澳增长三角次区域经济合作研究，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。

        20世界80年代以来在”温特尔”主义国际分工背景下,在多边贸易谈判进入僵局情况下,国际经济区域合作迅猛发展起来,成为参与国际经济、政治竞争的主要形式,国际经济发展中区域、次区域经济一体化过程中形成的产业集聚成为增强国际竞争力的主要产业组织形式。为此,中国共产党在十七大报告中明确提出“实施自由贸易区战略”,十八大报告中对区域经济一体化又进行了深入发展的部署。而中国具有自己特色的经济发展历程,又面临着复杂的国际经济、政治关系,国际大国在中国周边布满势力,中国“自由贸易区战略”必定充满艰辛与挑战。穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化是中国经济发展突破性的、符合现实需要的选择,通过穗港澳增长三角的经济辐射带动珠三角地区、华南乃至泛珠三角区域经济发展,经济辐射核心区域成为中国整体经济发展强有力的增长极,成为中国经济对外交往的甬道,成为中国经济整体跃迁的前提与基础。本研究以经济发展需要在开放体系条件下才能够可持续发展为思想指导,基于当前“温特尔”国际分工背景,边界效应转变为线索,以国际经济学、区域空间经济学、产业经济学等学科为理论基础,跨学科对粤港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化模式促进经济增长进行定性定量分析、并对其运行机理进行深入探讨,通过静态、动态经济效应两个维度探讨粤港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化促进经济发展的内在机理,总结其可供借鉴的经验,穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化的理论依据与现实发展经验不仅丰富区域经济一体化理论对中国乃至其他国家进行经济发展、区域合作都具有现实参考价值。著名经济学家赫希曼主张一个国家的发展不可能平衡发展,在发展过程中要出现区域增长极,通过增长极的涓滴扩散效应达到整体的发展,这就涉及到在整个国家发展战略中的有效投资顺序问题,打破常规的按部就班的发展顺序,会催生一些环节或地区跳跃式、更高效发展。在幅员辽阔的中国大地上,经济、文化、生活、民族都呈现多元性,可以清晰的看出经济发展水平呈“东—中—西”阶梯状分布,而且层次间落差较大,如果全国采取平衡发展最终结果只能是“不发展”。在经济全球化浪潮中,只有在世界经济发展的大背景下因势利导,充分利用一切资源发展经济才有可能发展起来,此意识对发展中国家尤为重要,穗港澳增长三角次区域合作的实证研究实质上是对中国改革开放以来道路的实践证明。经济学理论中对外贸易、国际投资促进一国经济发展有深刻系统的论述,区域合作的目的就是要通过贸易创造、投资创造使区域内部成员间要素更有效配置,相对区域合作之前内部成员间更外向性、更开放；对外贸易、利用外商直接投资是否增加及增加程度是衡量区域合作绩效的最传统也是最有效的静态经济效应研究方式,通过实证研究证明对外贸易、外商直接投资对经济增长的促进作用来证明穗港澳增长三角次区域合作的绩效；而为什么增长三角次区域合作会对“后厂”地区的经济模式产生如此大的影响呢,这就是在次区域合作过程中生产制造企业根据空间经济学原理进行生产区域选择形成产业集聚,产业集聚会创造、解放生产力,是区域经济一体化的动态经济效应,往往比容易计量的静态经济效应促进经济增长的效应更大影响更长远,产业转移调整、产业集聚、经济发展模式的转变这一切都源于在区域合作过程中区域间空间相互作用、协调；区域(次区域)经济合作本身就是在参与方积极主动的相互协商中发展进行的,制度在区域(次区域)经济合作中起了重要作用甚至是合作前提,穗港澳增长三角次区域合作的进展与中国内地改革开放进度密切相关,而改革开放政策的具体体现就是边界效应的转变,促使边界以前的屏蔽效应向中介效应转移,所以整个研究以大陆开放政策制定、边界效应的转变为线索来研究穗港澳增长三角次区域合作对经济发展模式转变、产业集聚、经济增长的作用。本研究主体主要分为四大部分,第一部分包含前三章内容,主要是对研究的国际分工背景、本文思想渊源、前人研究基础进行梳理总结,为后面的研究打下理论根基；第二部分包含第四章、第五章内容,第四章主要基于国际经济生产制造区位选择理论对穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化空间经济结构进行分析,穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化对香港、澳门、中国华南乃至大陆经济发展都具有攸关历史意义,第五章主要利用区域经济一体化促进经济发展相关理论、以穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化历程边界效应转化程度为线索,分阶段定性分析了穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化“前店后厂”模式的形成、发展演变升级,分析了合作对华南区域外向型经济形成,产业结构调整、产业集聚带动的城镇化运动,现代服务业的发展,以及CEPA签订以来穗港澳增长三角制度化下经济发展、意义以及发展中产生的新问题进行了分析。第三部分主要基于相关理论构建模型对穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化促进经济发展进行实证分析,包含第六章、第七章内容。首先利用经济增长收敛测度出穗港澳增长三角模式对“后厂”地区经济发展有正效应,随后对穗港澳增长三角促进经济发展运行机理进行一系列实证检验分析。在区域经济一体化过程中合作方消除边界屏蔽效应是一切合作工作开展的前提,根据研究目的的需要对引力模型核心方程加入新变量进行扩展,对穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化的边界效应的转化进行实证分析；利用区位熵对穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化推动产业结构调整、产业集聚进行实证研究机理探讨,最后基于前面实证分析本章落脚在穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化促使“后厂”地区对外贸易高速发展,吸纳大量港澳直接投资,快速形成外向型经济对经济增长的相关性,在引力模型理念指导下,基于时间序列计量模型进行了协整、格兰杰因果检验,进行实证研究探讨。第七章通过测度大陆与香港、广东省与香港的贸易成本对穗港澳增长三角次区域合作过程进行更加细致的分析解读,在贸易成本趋势分析中对穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化过程中的国内外影响因素、事件、政策进行了分析。第四部分是前面分析基础上形成的对本研究进行总结性质的第九章,通过与五个国际上具有代表性的次区域经济一体化进行比较、评析,得出穗港澳次区域经济一体化具有的国际上一般性具有参考意义的经验与特征；总结出具有中国特色的、符合中国今后发展的具有可供借鉴参考价值的经验、特征。

    Since the nineteen eighties, when the multilateral trade negotiations have been the deadlock situation, under the "wintelism" international division of labor, the international regional economic cooperation has developed rapidly and has become the main form to participate in the competition of international economy and politics. During the international regional economic development, regional economic cooperation, the formation of the industrial agglomeration as the enhanced formation is the main industrial international competitiveness. Therefore, the seventeenth Chinese Communist Party Congress report clearly suggested that "the implementation of the strategy of free trade zones", then the eighteen report on regional economic cooperation made in-depth development of deployment. But China has its own characteristics of the economic development process, and facing the complicated factors,such as, international economic and political relations, international country full of power in China. So China’s "strategy of free trade zones" is full of hardships and challenges. Hong Kong Growth Triangle of regional economic cooperation is China economic development breakthrough reality choice, through the Hong Kong economic radiation driven growth triangle in the Pearl River Delta, Southern China and the Pan-Pearl River Delta regional economic development, economic radiation core region has become China’s overall economic development strong growth pole, to become China’s economic diplomacy corridor, become the premise and foundation of the whole Chinese economy transition. The theoretical basis of Hong Kong Growth Triangle sub-regional economic cooperation and practical development experience not only enrich the theory of regional economic cooperation in economic development of China,but for other countries, regional cooperation will be of practical reference value.In this study, international economics, regional economics, industrial economics serve as the theoretical basis, interdisciplinary to Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation mode of promoting economic growth on the qualitative and quantitative analysis, and the mechanism of its operation of in-depth study, sum up its experience for reference, contribute to the "strategic" free trade area the implementation of domestic and regional economic development.Albert Otto Hirschman, the famous economist, thought it is unlikely that a country development evenly,there was the reginal growth pole during the process of the development,and achieve overall development through trickle-down diffusion effect of growth pole, which is involved in the whole order problem effective investment in national development strategy, break the routine of the step-by-step development of the order, and it will produce some link or regional development by leaps and bounds, more efficient.There is ethnic presents diversity of economy, culture, life in the vast land of China.We can clearly see that the level of economic development appears "east-middle-west" ladder distribution, and the level gap between is larger, if we take the balanced development in overall country, the final result can only be "no".During economic globalization, we only make full use of all resources to develop the economy to likely grow, in the backdrop of world economic development trend, and which is particularly important for developing countries. In essentially, the research of the growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation in Canton-Hong Kong-Macau is to prove the road of China’s reform and opening up There are profound system economics theories of foreign trade, international investment to promote a country’s economic The purpose of regional cooperation is to create the regional elements among the members of the more effective configuration, relatively more extra version among the members of the regional cooperation before and more open by trade creation, investment; The increasing and the level of the foreign trade, utilization of foreign direct investment can measure the performance of regional cooperation effective way of static economic effect research, through the empirical study proves that foreign trade, foreign direct investment on economic growth promoter action to prove the performance of the cooperation in the growth triangle sub-regional of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau.Why the cooperation in the growth triangle and has such a big impact on regional economic model.During the process of sub-regional cooperation manufacturing enterprise production area selection, agglomeration and industrial concentration, the liberation of productive forces, which is a dynamic economic effects of regional economic integration, often than easy measurement of the static economic effect to promote the economic growth effect more longer effect, industrial transfer adjustment, industrial agglomeration, and economic development mode shift it all stems from a spatial interaction between area in the process of regional cooperation and coordination; Area (GMS) economic cooperation is itself in the mutually agreed parties actively developing. The system plays as an important role in the regional economic cooperation. The growth triangle of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau is closely related to the progress of China’s reform and opening-up, which embody the boundary effect, prompting boundary shielding effect to the intermediary effect before transfer, so the research in China open policy, the boundary effect of the change for clues to study the role of the growth triangle sub-regional cooperation of Canton-Hong Kong-Macau for economic development mode shift, industrial agglomeration.This study is divided into four main parts, the first part includes the first three chapters, mainly on the research background, the thought origin of international division of labor, the former researches were summarized, laying the groundwork for the following research;The second part contains fourth chapters, the fifth chapter,.The fourth chapter of international economic manufacturing location choice theory of Hong Kong Growth Triangle space of regional economic cooperation in economic structure is based on the analysis of the growth triangle, Hong Kong and Macao, sub-regional economic cooperation have with relevant historical significance to Hongkong, Macao, China Southern China and mainland economic development, The fifth chapter mainly use regional economic cooperation to promote economic development theory, to Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation of boundary effect conversion degree as the clue, phased qualitative analysis of the Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle sub-regional economic cooperation "shop-factory" model of the formation, development and evolution and upgrading, analyzed the development cooperation of Southern China regional structure of foreign trade, industrial structure, industrial agglomeration can accelerate the urbanization movement, modern service industry, Hong Kong Growth after CEPA signed, economic development of the significance and development of delta system of new problems. The third part mainly use international economics theory develops the empirical analysis that River Sub-regional Economic Cooperation promote the economic development of Hong Kong and Macao, growth, contains sixth chapters, seventh chapters. In the process of regional economic cooperation,partners eliminate boundary shielding effect is the premise of all the work. According to the purpose of the study, the sixth chapter, expands the gravity model of core equations adding a new variable, empirical analysis transforming growth of Hong Kong River Sub-regional Economic Cooperation in the boundary effect. The seventh chapter of the Hong Kong and Macao growth triangle time an empirical study on the mechanism of regional economic cooperation to promote economic development point of view by the convergence of economic growth, location entropy, Finally this chapter based on the empirical analysis of high-speed development of foreign trade growth in Hong Kong Delta region economic cooperation to promote "factory" area, to absorb a large number of Hong Kong and Macao direct investment, rapid formation of export-oriented economy to the economic growth based on the concept of relative gravity model for the empirical analysis, time series econometric model based on Co-integration, Grainger causality test angle of empirical research to explore, analyze and interpret the more detailed the measurement of trade cost growth of Hong Kong River Sub-regional cooperation process, factors on the growth of Hong Kong in the analysis of trade cost trends in the Delta region economic cooperation in the process of impact at home and abroad, Events, policy analysis. The fourth part is formed on the basis of the front analysis are summarized.In Chapter nine,compared with five international representative of the sub-regional economic cooperation experience, concludes that characteristics of the Hong Kong sub-regional economic cooperation has a reference value; Summarize Chinese characteristics and meet the future development of China with reference to experiences, characteristics.

穗港澳增长三角次区域经济合作研究

论文摘要6-9ABSTRACT9-13目录14-16第一章 绪论16-29    第一节 研究背景及意义16-21    第二节 研究内容、方法、创新及不足21-29第二章 文献研究综述及本研究视角29-75    第一节 国际经济区域一体化文献综述30-38    第二节 测度区域一体化程度：边界效应、贸易成本研究文献综述38-49    第三节 区域经济一体化促进经济发展的理论文献综述49-63    第四节 关于穗港澳增长三角的文献综述63-74    第五节 本章小结74-75第三章 穗港澳次区域合作的国际经济生产关系基础75-84    第一节 “温特尔主义”生产模式75-76    第二节 “温特尔主义”国际分工模式的条件及特点76-78    第三节 “温特尔主义”：增长三角合作模式的国际生产关系基础78-83    第四节 本章小结83-84第四章 穗港澳增长三角空间经济结构动态优化互补84-97    第一节 穗港澳增长三角的空间地理范围84-88    第二节 穗港澳增长三角空间经济联动“前店后厂”跨境生产体系形成88-92    第三节 穗港澳增长三角优势互补“前店后厂”跨境生产一体化意义92-96    第四节 本章小结96-97第五章 穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化促进经济发展97-138    第一节 区域经济一体化经济发展衡量标准98-102    第二节 入世前穗港澳增长三角“前店”港澳经济的发展102-107    第三节 入世前穗港澳增长三角“后厂”地区外向型经济形成与发展107-117    第四节 CEPA制度化穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化117-121    第五节 CEPA背景下穗港澳增长三角模式促进港澳经济发展121-126    第六节 CEPA背景下穗港澳增长三角模式促进内地经济发展126-132    第七节 新阶段穗港澳增长三角模式积淀问题凸显出来132-137    第八节 本章小结137-138第六章 穗港澳增长三角经济效应运行机理分析、实证检验138-170    第一节 穗港澳增长三角地区经济增长收敛性实证检验138-145    第二节 基于引力模型穗港澳增长三角边界效应转变实证研究145-154    第三节 区位熵测度穗港澳增长三角合作下“后厂”地区产业集聚154-158    第四节 穗港澳增长三角合作与“后厂”地区经济发展关系实证检验158-169    第五节 本章总结169-170第七章 基于贸易成本测度对穗港澳增长三角效应再认识170-185    第一节 贸易成本170-175    第二节 穗港澳增长模式下贸易成本测度175-179    第三节 贸易成本走势分析解读179-184    第四节 本章小结184-185第八章 穗港澳增长三角次区域经济一体化特征、经验总结185-200    第一节 国际上典型跨境次区域经济合作185-190    第二节 “温特尔”国际分工背景下穗港澳增长三角的特征190-195    第三节 穗港澳增长三角国别特色经验总结195-199    第四节 本章小结199-200参考文献200-209    中文书籍参考文献200-201    中文论文参考文献201-206    外文参考文献206-209致谢209-210

  本文关键词：穗港澳增长三角次区域经济合作研究，，由笔耕文化传播整理发布。