城乡收入差距与城镇化“倒U型”关系实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 17:00

  本文关键词：城乡收入差距与城镇化“倒U型”关系实证研究　出处：《统计与决策》2017年09期 　论文类型：期刊论文

  更多相关文章： 城镇化 城乡收入差距 VAR模型 “倒U型”关系

【摘要】：文章根据湖北省1978—2014年的时间序列数据资料,首先对城镇化率与城乡收入差距指数进行相关性分析,然后依次进行单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果检验、"倒U型"关系检验,最后分析两者的脉冲响应函数。结果显示,湖北省城乡收入差距与城镇化呈现出了"倒U型"关系,且拐点在39%时出现,湖北省城镇化已经进入缩小城乡收入差距的新阶段。两者之间存在长期协整关系,短期存在单向格兰杰因果关系,长期则为双向;短期内,城镇化水平拉大了城乡收入差距,城乡收入差距加速了城镇化进程;长期内,城镇化进程有利于缩小城乡收入差距,城乡收入差距促进了城镇化水平的提高。
[Abstract]:Based on the time series data of Hubei province from 1978 to 2014, this paper analyzes the correlation between urbanization rate and income gap index of urban and rural areas, and then carries out unit root test and cointegration test in turn. Granger causality test, "inverted U type" relationship test, and finally analysis of the impulse response function of the two. The results show that the urban-rural income gap and urbanization in Hubei Province show a "inverted U-shaped" relationship. When the inflection point appears at 39th, the urbanization of Hubei Province has entered a new stage of narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between the two, a one-way Granger causality in the short run, and a two-way relationship in the long run. In the short term, the urbanization level has widened the urban-rural income gap, and the urban-rural income gap has accelerated the urbanization process; In the long run, the process of urbanization is conducive to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the urban-rural income gap promotes the improvement of urbanization level.
【作者单位】： 长江大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金资助项目(13BJY108) 长江大学社会科学基金资助项目(2014csz007)
【分类号】：F124.7;F224;F299.21
【正文快照】： 1问题的提出供给侧改革背景下,去产能、去房地产库存两大目标的实现,势必有利于加速我国户籍城镇化进程,从而带动城镇化水平的进一步提升。王少平与欧阳志(2007)[1]刚认为现阶段城乡收入差距的扩大已经对经济增长产生了阻滞作用。虽然近几年城乡收入差距呈现出了缩小的趋势,但，

本文编号：1374762