中国城市化与经济增长的协同发展研究
本文关键词:中国城市化与经济增长的协同发展研究 出处:《大连理工大学》2014年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:城市化作为衡量现代文明程度的综合指标,是社会经济发展的基石和推动力。经济增长作为国家宏观经济发展的首要指标,是通往现代化的必经之路。在城市化过程中,既表现出自身特有的演化发展规律,同时又表现出与经济发展存在着千丝万缕的联系。 首先,通过我国城市化与经济增长的演化进程,从理论上分析城市化的发展与经济增长二者之间不仅相互渗透,同时也是相互促进的关系。地区经济增长使消费者对消费产品提出更高的要求,带动产业结构调整,劳动力需求的扩张带动农村人口向城镇的聚集,进而提高了城市化水平:同时,城市化水平的提高也将进一步对城镇资源进行整合,特别是提高人力资源配置效率,从而推动经济快速发展。 再次,通过对我国1978~2013年城市化率与经济增长的时间序列数据进行实证分析,得出我国的城市化率与经济增长之间存在长期动态均衡关系的结论,否定了我国存在城市化滞后的现象。从实证结果中也可以看出,由于城市规模效应、集聚效应开始显现,城市化水平对经济增长的促进作用显著,而且已经超过了经济增长对城市化的带动作用;但又由于城市化过程中“城市病”的压力,对经济增长的带动作用呈不稳定状态。反而由于我国经济受国际环境的影响,拉动力不足,对城市化的带动作用正在减弱。为我国城市化模式的选择提供依据。
[Abstract]:The city is used as a comprehensive index to measure the degree of modern civilization, is the cornerstone of society and the driving force of economic development. The economic growth as the primary indicator of national macro economic development, is the only way which must be passed to modernization. In the process of the city, not only show the evolution of its own law of development, while showing are inextricably linked with the development of economy.
First of all, through the evolution process of our country city and economic growth, from the theoretical analysis between economic growth and development of the city of two not only mutual penetration, the relationship is also the mutual promotion of the regional economic growth to enable consumers to put forward higher requirements for consumer products, with the adjustment of industrial structure, labor demand expansion drive the rural population to urban aggregation, thus improving the city level: at the same time, the city will also further improve the level of urban integration of resources, especially to improve the efficiency of human resource allocation, so as to promote the rapid development of economy.
Again, from 1978 to 2013 in China city rate empirical analysis and time series data of economic growth, that there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between city rate and economic growth in China denied the conclusion, existing in our country city urbanization lag phenomenon. Seen from the empirical results can also be due to the city, the scale effect, agglomeration effect appeared, city level significant role in promoting economic growth, and economic growth has exceeded the leading role of the city; but because the city in the process of "urban diseases" pressure, contribute to the economic growth is not stable. But due to China's economic impact the international environment, lack of pulling power, the leading role of the city is weakening. Provide the basis for our city model selection.
【学位授予单位】:大连理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F299.2;F124.1
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