我国城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-05 05:37

本文关键词：我国城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响的实证分析　出处：《辽宁大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自1978年改革开放至今，我国经济发展已经迈入了一个崭新的阶段，人均国内生产总值从1978年的96美元位列全球倒数第二，增加至2012年的6100美元跃升至全球第84位。我国的经济增长速度已经引起了全世界的关注，但收入差距尤其是城乡居民之间的收入差距日趋显著，收入差距也日趋过大，超出了合理的范围。经济快速增长过程中，收入差距几乎是不可避免的，但是过大的收入差距将会抑制经济的可持续发展。本文的研究具有独特的地域性视角，研究了城市和农村之间的收入差距对消费需求的影响作用。现有的西方学者所建立的理论模型框架对消费需求的研究具有一定的局限性，本文基于凯恩斯的消费理论，推导出了居民消费需求关于城乡收入差距的函数关系式，反映了城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响机制。该函数关系可以用来作为理论基础为未来的研究提供思路上的参考。本文在全国总体水平上，就城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响进行了统计和计量分析，分析结果认为城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响显著：城乡居民收入差距（URR）每变动1个单位，全国居民平均消费倾向（APC）将会反向变动0.2334个单位；城乡居民收入差距（URR）每变动1个单位，全国城乡居民消费差距就同向变动0.8513个单位。为了进一步研究了不同地区城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响作用，本文选取了经济发展水平不同的12个典型地区，并对这些地区样本期间为2002年到2012年的时间序列数据进行了面板分析，进一步验证了全国总体水平上的分析结论。在当今的经济形势下，消费不仅是拉动经济增长的方式，更是国家兴旺，人民安康的体现。在我国这种城乡二元结构的社会中，城乡居民收入差距对居民消费需求的影响具有阶段性和地区性，若想缩小城乡收入差距刺激消费需求，，关键在于增加农民的收入。只有在保持经济可持续性发展的同时，使收入的分配更为合理，社会保障体系更为完善，消费需求的能力和层次就会进一步提升，经济发展和消费需求才能步入一个良性循环阶段。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in 1978, China's economic development has entered a new stage, the per capita gross domestic product (GDP) from 1978 96 US dollars ranked the second lowest in the world. In 2012, 6100 US dollars jumped to 84th place in the world. China's economic growth rate has attracted worldwide attention, but the income gap, especially between urban and rural residents, is becoming more and more significant. In the process of rapid economic growth, income gap is almost inevitable, but excessive income gap will restrain the sustainable development of economy. The study of this paper has a unique regional perspective. This paper studies the influence of income gap between urban and rural areas on consumption demand. The existing theoretical model framework established by western scholars has some limitations on the study of consumption demand. Based on Keynes' consumption theory, this paper deduces the function relation of resident's consumption demand on urban-rural income gap. It reflects the influence mechanism of income gap between urban and rural residents on the consumption demand of residents. This functional relationship can be used as a theoretical basis to provide a reference for future research. This paper makes statistical and econometric analysis on the effect of income gap between urban and rural residents on residents' consumption demand. The results show that the income gap between urban and rural residents has a significant impact on residents' consumption demand: the income gap between urban and rural residents varies by 1 unit per unit. The average consumption propensity of the national residents will be reversed by 0.2334 units. Income gap between urban and rural residents per unit. In order to further study the effect of the income gap between urban and rural residents in different regions on the consumption demand of residents, the consumption gap between urban and rural residents in China is 0.8513 units in the same direction. This paper selects 12 typical regions with different levels of economic development, and carries out panel analysis of the time series data from 2002 to 2012 in the sample period of these regions. It further verifies the conclusion of the analysis on the overall level of the whole country. In today's economic situation, consumption is not only the way to stimulate economic growth, but also the embodiment of the prosperity of the country and the well-being of the people. The income gap between urban and rural residents has a phased and regional impact on the consumption demand, if we want to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas to stimulate consumption demand. The key lies in increasing farmers' income. Only by maintaining sustainable economic development, making income distribution more reasonable, and the social security system more perfect, the ability and level of consumption demand will be further enhanced. Economic development and consumption demand can enter a virtuous circle stage.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F126;F124.7

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