重庆市环境库兹涅茨曲线实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 07:39

本文关键词：重庆市环境库兹涅茨曲线实证研究　出处：《重庆理工大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：地球是人类唯一生存的家园，地球上的环境为我们的生存发展提供了必须的资源和条件。随着经济的迅速发展，人们的生活水平得到极大的提高，，但随之而来的是日益严重的环境问题。不断恶化的环境严重影响了人们的生活，如何改善环境质量与经济发展之间的关系到每个人的切身利益。重庆市是一个老工业城市，也是西部大开发战略重点城市之一。作为西部的核心城市如何实现自身经济与环境的协调发展显得尤为重要和迫切。当前重庆市的环境质量处于什么样的状况，今后有着什么样的变化趋势，经济发展与环境质量之间的演化到底遵循怎样的规律都值得我们去深入的了解和研究。只有在对经济与环境的关系有了准确而科学的认识的基础上，才能采取更有效的措施实现经济与环境的协调发展。本文在总结前人研究的基础上，运用环境库兹涅茨曲线的理论模型，对重庆市1995-2012年17年间重庆市经济发展与环境质量之间的关系进行了实证研究，利用计量统计软件模拟出重庆市各污染物的环境库兹涅茨曲线，在此基础上分析其曲线特征及形成原因。研究发现，环境污染流量指标中，基于工业废气的环境库兹涅茨曲线具有典型的倒“N”型特征；基于工业废水、固体废弃物及生活二氧化硫的环境库茨涅茨曲线具有弱倒“N”型特征，可以看做近似倒“U”型的右半侧；基于生活污水的环境库兹涅茨曲线则表现为同步增加的关系。环境污染存量指标中，二氧化氮年日均值随人均GDP增长呈连续波动，无法拟合任何一种环境库兹涅茨曲线；可吸入颗粒年日均值和二氧化硫年日均值则表现出较弱倒“N”型特征。重庆市的产业结构特征有利于工业废水和固体废弃物的减排，但不利于工业废气的减排，甚至工业废气的排放还可能有增长趋势；生活二氧化硫倒“N”型左侧不明显，右侧明显，说明其排放量不断减少；生活污水排放量持续增加，并且已超过工业废水排放，未来如何控制生活污水排放将会是我们面临的难题之一。通过对环境污染流量指标和存量指标拟合结果的对比分析来看，环境治理的效果存在一定的滞后效应。文章最后针对研究结果提供了一定的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The earth is the only home for human survival, the environment on the earth provides the necessary resources and conditions for our survival and development. With the rapid development of the economy, people's living standards have been greatly improved. But then comes the increasingly serious environmental problems. The deteriorating environment has seriously affected people's lives. How to improve the environmental quality and economic development is related to the vital interests of everyone. Chongqing is an old industrial city. It is also one of the key cities in western development strategy. As the core city of western China, how to realize the coordinated development of its own economy and environment is particularly important and urgent. What kind of situation is the environmental quality of Chongqing at present? What is the trend of change in the future. The evolution between economic development and environmental quality is worthy of our in-depth understanding and research. Only on the basis of an accurate and scientific understanding of the relationship between economy and environment. Only then can we take more effective measures to realize the coordinated development of economy and environment. On the basis of summarizing the previous studies, this paper applies the theoretical model of environmental Kuznets curve. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between economic development and environmental quality in Chongqing from 1995 to 2012. The environmental Kuznets curve of various pollutants in Chongqing was simulated by econometric software, and the characteristics of the curve and the reasons for its formation were analyzed. It is found that the environmental Kuznets curve based on industrial waste gas has the characteristic of inverted "N" type. Based on industrial wastewater, solid waste and domestic sulfur dioxide, the Kutznitz curve is characterized by weak inverted "N" type, which can be regarded as the right half of inverted "U" type. The environmental Kuznets curve based on domestic sewage shows the relationship of synchronous increase. In the environmental pollution stock index, the annual daily average of nitrogen dioxide fluctuates continuously with the increase of GDP per capita. Can not fit any kind of environmental Kuznets curve; The annual daily average values of inhalable particles and the annual daily mean values of sulfur dioxide show weak inverted "N" type characteristics. The industrial structure of Chongqing is beneficial to the emission reduction of industrial waste water and solid waste, but it is not conducive to the emission reduction of industrial waste gas, and even the emission of industrial waste gas may have an increasing trend. Life sulfur dioxide inverted "N" type left side is not obvious, the right side is obvious, indicating that its emissions are decreasing; The discharge of domestic sewage continues to increase and has exceeded the discharge of industrial wastewater. In the future, how to control the domestic sewage discharge will be one of the problems we face. Through the comparison and analysis of the fitting results of the environmental pollution discharge index and the stock index. The effect of environmental control has some lag effect. Finally, the paper provides some policy suggestions for the research results.
【学位授予单位】：重庆理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X22;F127

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