产业结构动态调整与地区创业活动

发布时间：2018-01-15 11:11

  本文关键词：产业结构动态调整与地区创业活动　出处：《产经评论》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

  更多相关文章： 产业结构调整 创业活动 城市之间调整 城市内部调整

【摘要】：产业结构调整,无论是新旧行业自然更替,还是政策作用,都会影响支持地区经济活动的创业活动,影响既有正向的,也有负向的,需通过实证来检测产业结构调整与转型升级对地区创业活动产生什么样的影响。采用Churning指数测量地区产业结构的动态调整速度,从创业机会、创业资源、创业环境以及创业风险等方面研究产业结构调整影响地区创业活动的机制和路径。以广东省为例,利用各地级城市2005-2014年的面板数据,运用系统GMM模型估计产业结构调整对创业活动的影响。研究结果表明:产业结构的快速调整在短期内会对经济社会带来一定的冲击,从而不利于地区创业活动,但是长期却有利于地区创业水平的提高。通过区分产业结构调整的城市内部和城市之间两种情况,还发现这种短期的不利影响主要来自于城市之间的产业结构调整,相比之下,城市内部产业自我调整所带来的冲击较小,甚至会显著地促进地区创业活动。
[Abstract]:The adjustment of industrial structure, whether the natural replacement of old and new industries, or the role of policies, will affect the entrepreneurial activities that support regional economic activities, both positive and negative. It is necessary to examine the impact of industrial structure adjustment and transformation and upgrading on regional entrepreneurial activities through empirical analysis. The Churning index is used to measure the dynamic adjustment speed of regional industrial structure from entrepreneurial opportunities. Entrepreneurial resources, entrepreneurial environment and entrepreneurial risks and other aspects of the adjustment of industrial structure affecting the regional entrepreneurial activities mechanism and path. Take Guangdong Province as an example. Use of panel data for each prefecture-level city for 2005-2014. System GMM model is used to estimate the impact of industrial structure adjustment on entrepreneurial activities. The results show that the rapid adjustment of industrial structure will bring a certain impact on the economy and society in the short term. This is not conducive to regional entrepreneurial activities, but in the long run is conducive to the improvement of the level of regional entrepreneurship. It is also found that this short-term adverse effect mainly comes from the adjustment of industrial structure between cities. In contrast, the impact of industrial self-adjustment within the city is relatively small, and even can significantly promote regional entrepreneurial activities.
【作者单位】： 暨南大学经济学院;万联证券股份有限公司;
【基金】：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金暨南启明星计划(项目编号:15JNQM014,项目主持人:郑筱婷) 国家自然科学基金面上项目“转型时期中国城市效率与产业结构调整研究”(项目批准号:71273284,项目主持人:王s，

本文编号：1428074