中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资的减贫效应研究

发布时间：2018-01-19 11:36

本文关键词： 中国塔吉克斯坦外商直接投资减贫效应　出处：《新疆大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化进程的不断加快,外商直接投资(FDI)作为推动经济全球化的主要力量在世界经济发展中的作用日益增加。FDI在中国与塔吉克斯坦不断深化的经贸合作中也扮演着越来越重要的角色。中国提出的“一带一路”倡议发展三年来已获得100多个国家与国际组织的积极支持,40余个国家和国际组织和我国签署了合作协议。“一带一路”凝聚国际共识,倡导沿线各国人民共享建设成果。探讨如何将合作发展成果惠及作为“丝绸之路经济带”重要沿线国家的塔吉克斯坦的民众,对“一带一路”的顺利推进意义重大。贫困问题是塔吉克斯坦亟待解决的重要问题之一,研究中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资对东道国塔吉克斯坦产生的减贫效应,并提出进一步完善投资合作的对策建议,对于进一步减缓塔吉克斯坦贫困,进而将合作成果惠及到塔吉克斯坦广大民众具有重要意义。本文从整体层面、具体的行业层面研究分析中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资的减贫效应。从整体层面,通过建立长期均衡模型(协整关系)和短期向量自回归(VAR)模型及VAR模型的脉冲响应分析和方差分解分析中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资的总减贫效应,研究得到无论是长期还是短期,中国对塔直接投资都有效地促进了塔吉克斯坦整体贫困问题的减缓。从具体的行业层面,先是将近十余年塔吉克斯坦的“减贫效果”分为三类,即“减贫效果显著”、“减贫效果较好”和“减贫效果不显著”,然后对中国在这些对应“减贫效果”行业领域的投资合作情况来分析中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资的分行业的减贫效应,研究结果是在塔吉克斯坦“减贫效果显著”的通讯业、金融业、建筑业和采矿业领域及“减贫效果较好”的制造业、电力热力燃气及水生产和供应业、交通和仓储业等部分领域,中国投资企业扮演着重要的角色,中国投资企业促进了塔吉克斯坦这些行业领域的贫困状况的改善。在分析塔吉克斯坦贫困变动状况、中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资的情况及中国对塔吉克斯坦直接投资减贫效应的基础上,本文提出以下几点对策建议:巩固政治互信,深化经贸合作关系;建立区域投资机制,改善投资环境;优化投资合作的行业选择,增强企业责任意识;改进投资方式,提高投资效率。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economic globalization. Foreign direct investment (FDI). As the main force of promoting economic globalization, FDI plays an increasingly important role in the deepening economic and trade cooperation between China and Tajikistan. " The Belt and Road initiative has been actively supported by more than 100 countries and international organizations since its development three years ago. More than 40 countries and international organizations and China have signed cooperation agreements. "Belt and Road" condensed international consensus. To advocate the people of all countries along the route to share the fruits of construction. To explore how to benefit the people of Tajikistan, which is an important country along the "Silk Road Economic Belt", and how to benefit the fruits of cooperation and development. The problem of poverty is one of the most important problems to be solved urgently in Tajikistan. This paper studies the effect of China's direct investment in Tajikistan on poverty reduction in the host country, Tajikistan. And put forward the further improvement of investment cooperation countermeasures for further poverty alleviation in Tajikistan, and then the achievements of cooperation to the general population of Tajikistan has an important significance. This paper from the overall level. Specific industry-level research and analysis of the impact of China's direct investment in Tajikistan on poverty reduction. Through the establishment of long-term equilibrium model (cointegration relationship), short-term vector autoregressive regression model and VAR model, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis are used to analyze the total poverty reduction effect of China's direct investment in Tajikistan. Both in the long run and in the short term, Chinese direct investment in Tajikistan has contributed effectively to the alleviation of poverty in Tajikistan as a whole, both in the long term and in the short term. First, the "effect of poverty reduction" in Tajikistan for nearly a decade has been divided into three categories, namely, "the effect of poverty reduction is significant", "the effect of poverty reduction is better" and "the effect of poverty reduction is not significant". Then the paper analyzes the poverty reduction effect of China's direct investment in Tajikistan by analyzing the situation of China's investment cooperation in these sectors corresponding to "poverty reduction effect". The results of the study were in Tajikistan's "significant poverty reduction" communications sector, in the financial, construction and mining sectors, and in the "better poverty reduction" manufacturing sector, in electricity, thermal gas and water production and supply. In some areas, such as transportation and warehousing, Chinese investment enterprises play an important role. Chinese investment enterprises have contributed to the improvement of poverty in these sectors in Tajikistan. Based on the situation of China's direct investment in Tajikistan and the poverty reduction effect of China's direct investment in Tajikistan, this paper puts forward the following countermeasures: consolidating political mutual trust and deepening economic and trade cooperation; Establishing regional investment mechanism and improving investment environment; Optimize the choice of investment cooperation industry, enhance the sense of corporate responsibility; Improve investment methods and improve investment efficiency.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125

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