产业空间重构与河南省经济非集聚研究

发布时间：2018-02-12 16:23

本文关键词： 产业空间重构毗邻效应外部性非集聚　出处：《河南大学》2014年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2005年以来，中国工业开始在三大地区间重新配置，然而在此过程中，河南省与中部地区经济增速差距不断拉大。增速差距按产业分解，河南省与中部地区经济增速差距拉大60%源于制造业增速差距，18%源于第三产业增速差距。为了厘清河南省制造业和第三产业与中部地区增速差距不断拉大的原因，本文对河南省和中部地区的经济增长情况进行了更长时间的考察。两个令人疑惑的问题浮现出来：一是河南省制造业在2007年之前无论是规模还是增速都远快于中部地区，，2007年之后“突然”与中部地区制造业增速差距不断拉大；二是导致河南第三产业长期滞后的因素是河南省经济活动不向城市集聚，这与新经济地理学所述的在任何空间维度经济活动最大的空间特征都呈现集聚状态，形成了鲜明反差。梳理国内产业转移和产业集聚方面的文献鲜见在省级层面对产业空间重构机制研究的文献，更未见到对一些省份经济活动不向城市集聚研究的文献。但对河南省经济问题的研究，无法绕开上述两个问题。为此本文整理了自1999年以来，全国各省（市）20个二位数制造业数据以及全国280多个地级及以上城市的相关数据。经定量分析和量化回归研究，本文发现：1.2004年以来，东部地区制造业整体上呈现出向中西部地区重构的态势，但实际发生产业空间重构的省份在2007年之前仅有北京、天津、上海和广东。2007年之后浙江开始产业空间重构，但其他东部省份则无此现象。在产业空间重构毗邻效应的影响下，中西部地区省份只有在空间上毗邻产业空间重构省（市）的才受此影响，制造业增速加快。远离产业空间重构省（市）的中西部地区省份制造业增速前后并无明显变化；2.河南省制造业主导产业80%属于在省级层面分散布局的产业。这类产业在一个省份发展到一定程度受产业自身空间属性的影响，进一步发展的空间有限。上述两个原因共同导致了，在河南省制造业规模远大于中部地区其他省份的情况下，2007年之后却与中部地区制造业增速差距不断拉大的情况；3.河南省经济活动主要分布在县及县以下区域的经济空间结构不仅影响第三产业的发展，而且使河南省在城镇化问题上面临与全国其他省份相比更复杂的局面。对河南省经济活动未向城市集聚的量化回归分析显示，河南以农副产品加工业和非金属矿物制品业为主的产业结构是造成河南经济活动不向城市集聚的主要原因。河南省经济不向城市集聚是受到它产业结构影响，并非是和空间经济理论背离，反而是对小地理空间范围内经济集聚度受产业外部性影响的一个验证。
[Abstract]:Since 2005, China's industry has been redistributed among the three major regions. However, in the process, the gap between Henan and the central region has been widening. The gap between the growth rate of Henan Province and the central region has been broken down by industry. The economic growth gap between Henan Province and the central region has widened by 60% because of the gap in the growth rate of the manufacturing industry and 18 percent from the gap in the growth rate of the tertiary industry. In order to clarify the reasons for the widening growth gap between the manufacturing industry and the tertiary industry in Henan Province and the central region, This paper examines the economic growth in Henan province and the central region for a longer time. Two puzzling questions have emerged. One is that the manufacturing industry in Henan Province grew much faster than the middle before 2007. Part of the region, after 2007, "suddenly" and the central region of manufacturing growth gap continues to widen; Second, the reason that the tertiary industry in Henan lags behind for a long time is that the economic activities in Henan Province do not agglomerate to the cities, which shows the agglomeration state with the largest spatial characteristics of economic activities in any spatial dimension as described in the New Economic Geography. The literature on industrial transfer and industrial agglomeration is seldom found at the provincial level. But the study of economic problems in Henan Province can not avoid the above two problems. There are 20 double-digit manufacturing data in all provinces and cities in China and more than 280 cities at prefectural level and above. Through quantitative analysis and quantitative regression analysis, we find that: 1. The manufacturing industry in the eastern region as a whole showed the trend of reconstructing to the central and western regions, but the provinces that actually took place in the industrial space reconstruction were Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Guangdong only before 2007. After 2007, Zhejiang began the industrial space reconstruction. However, other eastern provinces do not have this phenomenon. Under the influence of the adjacent effect of industrial space reconstruction, the central and western provinces are only affected by the spatial adjacent industrial spatial reconstruction provinces (cities). The growth rate of manufacturing industry is accelerating. There is no obvious change before and after the growth rate of manufacturing industry in the central and western provinces far from the reconstruction of industrial space. The leading manufacturing industry of Henan Province 80% belongs to the industry with decentralized layout at the provincial level. The development of industries in a province to a certain extent is affected by the spatial attributes of the industries themselves. The space for further development is limited. When the scale of manufacturing industry in Henan Province is much larger than that in other provinces in the central region, the gap between the manufacturing growth rate of Henan Province and that of the central region has been widening since 2007. Economic activities in Henan Province are mainly distributed in counties and sub-county areas. The economic spatial structure not only affects the development of the tertiary industry, Moreover, it makes Henan Province face a more complicated situation compared with other provinces in the country on the issue of urbanization. The quantitative regression analysis on the economic activity of Henan Province does not turn to urban agglomeration, which shows that, The industrial structure of Henan, which is dominated by agricultural and sideline products processing industry and non-metallic mineral products industry, is the main reason that economic activities do not agglomerate to cities in Henan Province, which is influenced by its industrial structure. It is not a departure from the theory of space economy, but a verification of the influence of industrial externality on the degree of economic convergence in small geographical space.
【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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