中国企业在印度投资的政治风险研究

发布时间：2018-02-14 21:44

本文关键词： 中国企业政治风险对外投资　出处：《上海师范大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国和印度是世界上人口最多的两个发展中国家和新兴经济体,有着紧密的经贸合作关系。随着“一带一路”战略的推进,中国对印度的投资也将加大,但从目前中国对印度的投资来看,情况并不乐观。首先,尽管中国和印度之间的贸易量很大,而且呈现逐渐上涨的趋势,但中国对印度的直接投资量却很小,与两国的经贸发展现状不匹配。其次,中印之间贸易摩擦频繁,印度是对华提起反侵销调查最多的国家。还有,从最近中日竞标印度高铁项目失败也可以看出,印度对中国还是有很多顾虑,尤其是政治方面的不信任。研究中国企业对印度投资的政治风险,能够及时为国家和企业制定对外投资决策提供参考和建议,有利于中国对外投资的快速、健康发展,有利于“一带一路”在南亚地区的顺利推行,以及中印外交关系的进一步发展。本文主要包括四大部分:第一部分,分析中国企业在印度投资的原因、现状、特点,并结合中国社会科学院发布的《中国海外投资国家风险评级报告2016》以及经济学家情报单位发布的《中国海外投资指数报告2015》分析评价印度的政治风险系数,发现印度属于高风险高机遇的国家。第二部分,从宏观、微观两个视角分析中国企业对印度投资的政治风险。宏观角度,从东道国和国际环境层面进行研究,微观视角立足于企业,从企业自身着手原因分析。研究发现印度国内腐败严重、战争和内乱风险高,政府办事效率低,“安全审查”,“中国威胁论”等都是对印度投资时不可忽视的政治风险因素。第三部分,案例分析,结合美国安然公司印度大博电厂项目失败,华为在印度投资受阻,日本竞标印度高铁成功进行政治风险因素的深入研究。第四部分,就中国企业在印度投资面临的各种政治风险,分析通过国际组织、国家和企业等单元建立“三维”应对措施,以构建有效的相关国际机制、外交途径、企业投资规范,并使“三维”政策体系化。
[Abstract]:China and India are the two most populous developing countries and emerging economies in the world, and have close economic and trade ties. With the promotion of Belt and Road's strategy, China's investment in India will also increase. But from the point of view of China's current investment in India, the situation is not optimistic. First of all, although the volume of trade between China and India is very large and showing an increasing trend, the amount of Chinese direct investment in India is very small. It does not match the current economic and trade development of the two countries. Secondly, there are frequent trade frictions between China and India, and India has the most anti-invasion and sales investigations against China. Also, from the recent failure of the Sino-Japanese bid for India's high-speed rail project, it can also be seen that, India still has many concerns about China, especially political distrust. Studying the political risks of Chinese enterprises' investment in India can provide a timely reference and advice for the state and enterprises to make foreign investment decisions. This paper is conducive to the rapid and healthy development of China's foreign investment, the smooth implementation of Belt and Road in South Asia and the further development of Sino-Indian diplomatic relations. Analyzing the reasons, present situation and characteristics of Chinese enterprises' investment in India, Combined with the National risk rating report of China's overseas Investment published by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences 2016 and the China overseas Investment Index report 2015 published by the Economist Intelligence Unit, the political risk coefficient of India was analyzed and evaluated. It is found that India is a high-risk and high-opportunity country. The second part analyzes the political risk of Chinese enterprises' investment in India from the macro and micro perspectives. From the macro point of view, the research is carried out from the host country and the international environmental level. The microcosmic perspective is based on the enterprise and analyzes the reasons from the enterprise itself. The study found that India has serious corruption and high risk of war and civil strife. The government's inefficiency, "security review" and "China threat" are all political risk factors that cannot be ignored when investing in India. Part three, case study, combined with the failure of the Enron India Power Plant Project in India. Huawei's investment in India was blocked, and Japan bid for high-speed rail in India to conduct an in-depth study of political risk factors. Part 4th, through international organizations, analyzed the various political risks faced by Chinese enterprises in investing in India. In order to construct effective international mechanism, diplomatic channel, enterprise investment norm, and make "three-dimensional" policy system, the unit of state and enterprise should set up "three dimensional" countermeasures.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F279.2;F125;D735.1

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