中国省域低碳经济发展水平组合评价

发布时间：2018-02-27 15:31

本文关键词： 低碳经济层次分析法灰色关联法变异系数法组合评价　出处：《吉林财经大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当经济发展到一定阶段,世界各国陆续开始考虑环境与资源所存在的问题,并由此衍生出低碳经济这一发展模式。随着中国经济的发展,环境与资源问题愈加突显,且近年来一直受到世界各国的外部压力,低碳经济在中国的发展势在必行。中国省域地区间低碳经济发展水平存在明显差异,不利于中国低碳经济的可持续发展,为了早日实现地区间低碳经济的协调发展,本文将针对中国省域地区低碳经济发展水平构建全面的指标体系并进行综合评价研究,具体内容包括如下几个方面:首先,本文查阅了国内外相关文献资料,在国外文献部分以低碳经济内涵、温室气体排放与经济发展关系、碳排放驱动因素三个角度进行研究综述;在国内文献部分以低碳经济内涵、碳排放影响因素、低碳经济发展的评价指标体系构建及综合评价研究、发展低碳经济道路及对策建议四个角度进行研究综述;此外在了解低碳经济国外发展现状的基础上概括了低碳经济相关的国际经验。其次,立足低碳经济的特点及内涵,在前人研究的基础上构建了中国省域低碳经济发展水平评价指标体系,力求保证指标体系的全面性、科学性和可操作性。选取一级指标包括经济、能源、社会、环境与科技五个方面,选取二级指标包括经济发展、经济结构、碳源控制、能源利用、社会发展、生活进步、碳汇建设、污染排放、技术水平以及污染控制十个方面,共有34个三级指标。再次,选用2014年中国30个省域地区数据进行综合评价研究,其中运用了层次分析法、灰色关联法以及变异系数法三种单一综合评价方法,并在其基础上以加权线性和法、均值法以及Borda法三种方法对中国省域地区低碳经济发展水平进行了组合评价,通过事后检验选择相对最佳的均值法组合评价结果进行分析。得到的主要结论有:中国碳排放强度长期处于较高水平;中国省域地区间低碳经济发展水平差异明显;低碳技术水平落后阻碍低碳经济发展;产业结构不合理是许多地区高碳经济的重要原因。最后,对本文研究的结果进行归纳,在总结中国低碳经济发展所存在问题的基础上借鉴国际已有低碳经济发展经验,从提高中国低碳经济整体发展水平与省域低碳经济协调发展的角度出发,提出政策建议。提出的主要对策建议有:缩小区域差距,全面发展低碳经济;优化产业结构,加大发展低碳产业体系;调整能源结构,提高能源效率;鼓励技术开发与创新,同时加强国际交流合作。
[Abstract]:When the economy develops to a certain stage, countries all over the world begin to consider the problems existing in environment and resources one after another, and thus derive the development model of low-carbon economy. With the development of Chinese economy, the problem of environment and resources becomes more and more prominent. In recent years, the development of low-carbon economy in China is imperative because of the external pressure from all over the world. There are obvious differences in the development level of low-carbon economy among provinces and regions in China, which is not conducive to the sustainable development of China's low-carbon economy. In order to realize the coordinated development of low-carbon economy among different regions as soon as possible, this paper will construct a comprehensive index system for the development level of low-carbon economy in China's provinces and carry out a comprehensive evaluation study. The specific contents include the following aspects: first of all, This paper reviews the relevant literature at home and abroad, and summarizes the contents of low-carbon economy, the relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and economic development, the driving factors of carbon emissions in the foreign literature, and the low-carbon economic connotation in the domestic literature. The factors affecting carbon emissions, the evaluation index system of low-carbon economy development and the comprehensive evaluation research, the development of low-carbon economy road and countermeasures are summarized. In addition, on the basis of understanding the current situation of the development of low-carbon economy abroad, the international experience related to low-carbon economy is summarized. Secondly, based on the characteristics and connotation of low-carbon economy, On the basis of previous studies, this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the development level of China's provincial low-carbon economy, in order to ensure its comprehensiveness, scientificity and maneuverability. Five aspects of environment and science and technology are selected, including economic development, economic structure, carbon source control, energy utilization, social development, living progress, carbon sink construction, pollution emission, technical level and pollution control. Thirdly, the data of 30 provinces and regions in China in 2014 are selected for comprehensive evaluation research, in which three single comprehensive evaluation methods are used: analytic hierarchy process (AHP), grey correlation method and coefficient of variation method. On the basis of the analysis, the paper evaluates the development level of low carbon economy in China province by weighted linear sum method, mean value method and Borda method. The main conclusions are as follows: China's carbon emission intensity is in a high level for a long time, the development level of low carbon economy is obviously different between provinces and regions in China. The low carbon technology level hinders the low carbon economy development, and the unreasonable industrial structure is the important reason for the high carbon economy in many regions. Finally, the results of this paper are summarized. On the basis of summing up the problems existing in the development of China's low-carbon economy, this paper draws lessons from the international experience in the development of low-carbon economy and proceeds from the perspective of improving the overall development level of China's low-carbon economy and coordinating the development of the provincial low-carbon economy. The main countermeasures and suggestions are: narrowing the regional gap and developing low-carbon economy in an all-round way; optimizing the industrial structure and increasing the development of low-carbon industrial system; adjusting the energy structure and improving energy efficiency; encouraging technological development and innovation. At the same time, strengthen international exchanges and cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F124.5

【参考文献】