中国社会保障对内需的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-06 08:24

本文选题：社会保障　切入点：内需　出处：《云南大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：内需已经成为当前中国经济发展的重要推动力,而现实情况却是内需不振,要拉动内需,必须探究内需难以启动的原因。社会保障是现代经济社会的产物,其本质是政府干预经济的一种工具和手段,具有收入分配的特殊功能,对居民的收入水平、分配的公平程度和未来不确定性的风险预期产生影响。中国社会保障制度不健全、城乡分割的情况比较严重,这导致居民的预防性储蓄持续增加,无法有力刺激消费需求。而对广阔的农村消费市场来说,扩大农村消费需求对中国总体内需的拉动是至关重要的,农村消费滞后很大程度上由于农村社会保障制度建设滞后,财政性社会保障支出投入不足。本文在简要回顾了国内外研究现状之后,从中国社会保障制度和内需的现状出发,分析了各自存在问题的原因。一般来说,社会保障为内需提供了一个稳定的社会环境,社会保障影响内需的具体途径有收入分配效应和预防性储蓄效应。本文采用2001——2012年的数据,通过实证进行分析,得出以下结论：从中国总体情况来看,社会保障总支出对内需具有微弱的负效应,财政性社会保障支出对内需具有微弱的促进作用,而中国目前启动内需的主要着力点在农村市场,增加农村居民家庭人均可支配收入对中国内需有重要意义,健全农村社会保障制度对内需拉动具有显著效应。最后,文章结合前面的分析,提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Domestic demand has become an important driving force for China's economic development at present, but the reality is that domestic demand is sluggish. In order to stimulate domestic demand, we must explore the reasons why it is difficult to start up domestic demand. Social security is the product of modern economic society. Its essence is a tool and means of government intervention in the economy, which has the special function of income distribution, which has an impact on the income level of residents, the fair degree of distribution and the risk expectation of uncertainty in the future. The division between urban and rural areas is more serious, which leads to a sustained increase in the precautionary savings of residents and is unable to stimulate consumer demand. But for the vast rural consumer market, It is very important to expand the rural consumption demand to stimulate the overall domestic demand in China. The lag of rural consumption is largely due to the lag in the construction of rural social security system and the insufficient investment of financial social security expenditure. After a brief review of the current research situation at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the causes of the problems in China's social security system and domestic demand. Generally speaking, social security provides a stable social environment for domestic demand. The specific ways for social security to influence domestic demand are income distribution effect and precautionary saving effect. This paper uses the data from 2001 to 2012, and through empirical analysis, draws the following conclusions: from the general situation of China, The total expenditure on social security has a weak negative effect on domestic demand, and the fiscal expenditure on social security has a weak role in promoting domestic demand. At present, the main focus of China's efforts to start domestic demand is in the rural market. Increasing the per capita disposable income of rural households is of great significance to China's domestic demand, and improving the rural social security system has a significant effect on stimulating domestic demand.
【学位授予单位】：云南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：D632.1;F124

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