我国区域经济增长的收敛性分析

发布时间：2018-03-16 21:17

本文选题：经济增长　切入点：区域差距　出处：《山西财经大学》2010年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 经济增长收敛是20世纪90年代以来经济增长理论研究最为热门的论题之一。这个论题的核心,就在于考察不同经济体之间或一国内部不同地区之间经济增长速度的差异,寻找这种差异产生的原因。改革开放以来,中国经济增长取得了很大的成就,但发展很不平衡,区域差距呈扩大的趋势。目前学术界对区域差距的成因、发展趋势等问题还存在很大争论,对此问题的研究无疑有着重要的理论和实践意义。本文从经济增长收敛性的角度来深化对中国区域经济差距的认识,研究1978—2007年中国区域经济增长收敛或发散的内在原因。全文主体部分分为四章。第二章论述了收敛理论,概括性地回顾其发展脉络,并对国内外学术界开展的区域经济收敛等方面的实证研究进行分析和评价。第三章和第四章采用多种经济计量方法全面分析中国区域经济增长的收敛性,以对改革开放以来的区域经济增长事实作出总体的判断。基本结论如下：改革开放以来总体而言,σ-收敛是存在的,但是当我们将整个改革时期划分为1978-1993年、1994-2002年和2003-2007年三个阶段的时候,可以发现,只有在1994-2002年间绝对β-收敛是不存在的,在其它两个阶段都没有发散的趋势；1980-2007年期间,东部地区内部各省存在人均GDP增长的收敛(β-收敛),从而形成了俱乐部收敛；但是中部和西部内的收敛现象并不显著；1978-2007年,我国存在一定的条件收敛,平均投资率和人口数量对人均GDP增长的收敛有着显著的正向影响；同样,2003-2007年间只有东部地区显示出明显的条件收敛态势,中部和西部的收敛并不明显,甚至可能存在发散。基于上述分析,本文最后提出了相应的政策建议,以期能够推动经济增长收敛机制充分发挥作用,从而促进中国地区间经济的协调发展。
[Abstract]:The convergence of economic growth is one of the most popular topics in the theoretical study of economic growth since 1990s. The core of this thesis is to examine the differences in the rate of economic growth between different economies or among different regions within a country. Since the reform and opening up, great achievements have been made in China's economic growth, but the development is very uneven, and the regional gap is increasing. There are still a lot of arguments about the trend of development, and the research on this problem is undoubtedly of great theoretical and practical significance. From the angle of convergence of economic growth, this paper deepens the understanding of regional economic gap in China, and studies the internal causes of convergence or divergence of regional economic growth in China from 1978 to 2007. The second chapter discusses the convergence theory, reviews its development context in a general way, and analyzes and evaluates the empirical research on regional economic convergence carried out by domestic and foreign academic circles. Chapter three and Chapter 4th comprehensively analyze the convergence of China's regional economic growth with various econometric methods. This paper makes a general judgment on the facts of regional economic growth since the reform and opening up to the outside world. The basic conclusions are as follows: generally speaking, 蟽 -convergence exists since the reform and opening up. However, when we divide the whole reform period into three phases, 1978-1993, 1994-2002 and 2003-2007, we can see that absolute 尾 -convergence does not exist only in 1994-2002, and there is no divergence in the other two phases. There is convergence (尾 -convergence) of per capita GDP growth in the eastern provinces, thus forming club convergence, but the convergence phenomenon in the central and western regions is not significant. The average investment rate and population size have a significant positive effect on the convergence of GDP growth per capita; similarly, only the eastern region showed obvious conditional convergence from 2003 to 2007, while the convergence in the central and western regions was not obvious, or even divergent. Based on the above analysis, this paper finally puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations, in order to promote the convergence mechanism of economic growth to play a full role, thus promoting the coordinated development of the regional economy in China.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：F224;F127

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