我国内外经济失衡影响因素及优化路径研究——基于因子分析法

发布时间：2018-03-21 03:45

本文选题：经济结构　切入点：内部失衡　出处：《经济问题》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：内外结构失衡是长期制约我国经济健康可持续发展的"顽疾"。尽管诱致内外经济失衡的因素多元化,且其作用机制、施力方向、影响范围及强度各不相同,但基于一般影响机理,可将其类型化为发展阶段性因素、经济体制性因素与宏观政策性因素。运用因子分析方法,对三类因素影响我国经济内外失衡的状况进行了实证分析,结果表明,宏观政策性因子对我国内外经济失衡的贡献度最高。在未来的宏观政策选择上,为矫正经济失衡,有必要在法治规则框架下,通过"抓大放小、汲富保贫"来广开财源,并在严防财政风险基础上,深化实施有减有增的结构性减税降负政策,以及有扶有压、精准施力的结构性支出政策。
[Abstract]:The imbalance of internal and external structure is a "persistent disease" that restricts the healthy and sustainable development of our economy for a long time. Although the factors that induce the imbalance of internal and external economy are diversified, the mechanism of action, the direction of exertion, the scope of influence and the intensity are different. However, based on the general influence mechanism, it can be classified as the development stage factor, the economic system factor and the macroscopic policy factor. Using the method of factor analysis, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the situation of the three kinds of factors influencing the imbalance inside and outside the economy of our country. The results show that the macro-policy factors contribute the most to the economic imbalance at home and abroad. In the future, in order to correct the economic imbalance, it is necessary to make great efforts to reduce the economic imbalance within the framework of the rule of law. "drawing rich and protecting poverty" to open up financial resources, and on the basis of strict prevention of fiscal risks, deepen the implementation of structural tax cuts and negative policies, as well as structural spending policies with support, pressure and precision.
【作者单位】：山东社会科学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“稳定税负约束下我国税负结构优化及操作路径研究”(15CJY071) 山东省重大财经应用课题“创新驱动发展战略下财政促进科技创新的路径研究”(CJ-2017-14)
【分类号】：F124

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