中国区域要素替代弹性变迁及其增长效应——基于异质劳动视角的随机前沿生产函数分析

发布时间：2018-03-21 16:09

本文选题：劳动技能分化　切入点：要素替代弹性　出处：《财经研究》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章采用1996-2014年省际面板数据构建区域随机前沿生产函数模型,从劳动异质性视角拓展要素替代弹性分析;并首次联合运用协整方程和误差修正模型,从长期均衡和短期波动过程分析来揭示要素替代约束对经济增长的影响。结果发现:尽管三大区域各自的要素替代弹性变化显著不同,但要素替代弹性的增长效应却彼此具有一致性。其中,东部地区的资本-劳动替代弹性明显地存在着0.805的增长门槛,只有西部地区的资本-劳动替代弹性越过了门槛值,与区域增长具有尚不显著的正相关性而支持德拉格兰德维尔假说;三大区域的资本-技能互补性提高对经济增长的推动作用都不明显;劳动-技能替代弹性则表现为显著的正向增长效应,显示出各区域存在着人力资本红利。值得注意的是,与均衡增长路径上"资本-劳动替代弹性提高能够推动经济增长"的德拉格兰德维尔假说不同,在考虑劳动异质性和技术非效率的前提下,中国地区增长更支持"劳动-技能替代弹性提高能够推动经济增长"的结论。文章为甄别新常态下的区域增长潜力转变、剖析要素匹配合理性及产业结构调整可行性奠定基础。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data from 1996 to 2014, this paper constructs a regional stochastic frontier production function model, extends the element substitution elasticity analysis from the perspective of labor heterogeneity, and uses cointegration equation and error correction model for the first time. The effects of factor substitution constraints on economic growth are revealed from the analysis of long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuation process. However, the growth effect of element substitution elasticity is consistent with each other. Among them, the capital-labor substitution elasticity in the eastern region obviously has a growth threshold of 0.805, and only the capital-labor substitution elasticity in the western region has crossed the threshold. There is no significant positive correlation with regional growth, which supports the de la Grande Ville hypothesis, and the promotion of capital-skill complementarity in the three regions on economic growth is not obvious. The labor-skill substitution elasticity shows a significant positive growth effect, indicating the existence of human capital dividends across regions. Different from the de la Granville hypothesis that "the increase of capital-labor substitution elasticity can promote economic growth" in the path of balanced growth, under the consideration of labor heterogeneity and technological inefficiency, The regional growth in China supports the conclusion that "the improvement of labor-skill substitution elasticity can promote economic growth". This paper lays a foundation for discriminating the regional growth potential transformation under the new normal, analyzing the rationality of factor matching and the feasibility of industrial structure adjustment.
【作者单位】：福州外语外贸学院开放型经济与贸易研究中心;
【基金】：福建省科技厅软科学项目(2017R0061) 福州外语外贸学院博士科研启动基金项目(FWB16001)
【分类号】：F127;F224;F249.27

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