资源环境视角下环渤海经济圈经济增长绩效研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 23:39

本文选题：环渤海经济圈　切入点：经济增长绩效　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：区域经济高效率、高质量的增长与资源环境条件密不可分。环渤海经济圈经济发展日益受到环境和资源的制约与束缚。如何平衡环渤海地区的经济发展效率与环境资源质量之间关系，，实现该区域经济的可持续增长已成为环渤海地区经济发展的重要议题。本文从资源和环境双重视角下,重新审视和考察环渤海经济圈的经济增长绩效问题,研究剖析“中国式”环渤海地区经济成为国民经济新增长点背后的事实,以期对区域经济可持续发展战略的实施提供一定的理论支持。论文的主要内容和创新性工作如下：第一,构建了资源环境承载力测度模型。依据区域经济可持续发展思路,从系统论的角度构建了经济子系统与资源环境子系统的互动框架,构建了涵盖自然资源、经济环境和社会环境的综合承载力指标体系。论文综合运用熵值法与状态空间法对环渤海经济圈的综合承载力进行了测算,提出了一种合理的权重选取方法。第二,构建了环渤海经济圈经济增长效率的评估指标体系。在测度经济增长效率过程中,将资源依赖与环境污染引入到环渤海经济圈的经济增长效率评估中。采用DEA与Malmquist指数相结合的方法对环渤海经济圈的经济增长效率进行了测算,分析了影响环渤海经济圈经济增长效率的因素。第三,构建了环渤海经济圈经济发展潜力测度模型。基于资源、环境、教育、科技、产业结构、基础设施等因素,采用组合预测的方法,将灰色预测与BP神经网络模型运用到环渤海经济圈经济发展潜力的测度,提高了预测的精度,为进一步统筹环渤海经济圈经济社会可持续发展提供了理论支撑。第四,根据环渤海经济圈的资源环境承载力、经济增长效率、发展潜力的评估结果,发掘环渤海经济圈经济发展过程中存在的问题,给出了提升环渤海经济圈经济增长绩效的方案,以期推动环渤海经济圈的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:The growth of high efficiency and high quality of regional economy is closely related to the condition of resources and environment.The economic development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea is increasingly restricted and restricted by the environment and resources.How to balance the relationship between the efficiency of economic development and the quality of environment and resources and realize the sustainable growth of the regional economy has become an important topic of economic development around the Bohai Sea.From the perspective of resources and environment, this paper re-examines and examines the performance of economic growth in the Bohai Rim, and analyzes the fact that "Chinese style" economy around the Bohai Sea has become a new growth point of national economy.With a view to the implementation of regional economic sustainable development strategy to provide certain theoretical support.The main contents and innovative work are as follows: first, the measurement model of the carrying capacity of resources and environment is constructed.In this paper, entropy method and state space method are used to estimate the comprehensive bearing capacity of the economic circle around Bohai Sea, and a reasonable weight selection method is put forward.Second, the evaluation index system of economic growth efficiency around Bohai Sea Economic Circle is constructed.In the process of measuring the efficiency of economic growth, resource dependence and environmental pollution are introduced into the evaluation of economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.Using the method of DEA and Malmquist index, the paper calculates the economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around Bohai Sea, and analyzes the factors that affect the economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around Bohai Sea.Third, the economic development potential measurement model of Bohai economic circle is constructed.Based on the factors of resources, environment, education, science and technology, industrial structure, infrastructure and so on, this paper applies the grey forecast and BP neural network model to measure the economic development potential of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.The prediction accuracy is improved and the theoretical support is provided for the economic and social sustainable development of Bohai economic circle.Fourthly, according to the evaluation results of the carrying capacity of resources and environment, the efficiency of economic growth and the potential of development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea, the problems existing in the economic development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea are explored.In order to promote the sustainable development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea, this paper gives a scheme to improve the economic growth performance of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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