中等收入持续期及其影响因素分析——构建橄榄型收入结构视角

发布时间：2018-04-16 10:25

本文选题：中等收入者 + 持续期模型　；参考：《江西财经大学学报》2017年02期

【摘要】：扩大中等收入者比重、构建橄榄型收入结构是我国发展新阶段的重要目标,而延长中等收入持续期又是扩大中等收入者比重的主要途径。基于1989-2011年CHNS九轮数据,在度量中等收入者的基础上,发现我国居民中等收入持续时间均值为8.97年,中位值为7年,且存在明显的负时间相依性。采用控制个体不可观测异质性特征的持续期模型分析各种影响因素,结果发现个体特征如性别、年龄、受教育程度及工作单位类型和地区特征如人均GDP、基尼系数、失业率及市场化程度等均对中等收入者持续期产生显著影响。同时,中等收入持续时间存在显著的城乡差别和区域差别。结论认为要改善低收入者的劳动力市场前景和机遇,构建覆盖城乡居民、不同单位类型居民的社会保障与福利体系,并针对不同地区的收入流动性结构特点,采取不同的区域政策。
[Abstract]:Enlarging the proportion of middle income people and constructing the structure of olive type income is the important target in the new stage of our country's development, and prolonging the period of middle income is the main way to enlarge the proportion of middle income people.Based on the nine rounds of CHNS data from 1989 to 2011, it is found that the mean of median income duration is 8.97 years and the median value is 7 years, and there is an obvious negative temporal dependence.A duration model was used to analyze the influence factors of individuals with non-observable heterogeneity. The results showed that individual characteristics such as sex, age, education level, work unit type and regional characteristics, such as GDPG, Gini coefficient, per capita, were analyzed.The unemployment rate and the degree of marketization have a significant impact on the duration of middle-income people.At the same time, there are significant urban and rural differences and regional differences in middle income duration.The conclusion is that it is necessary to improve the prospects and opportunities of the labor market of low-income people, to construct a social security and welfare system covering urban and rural residents and different types of residents, and to aim at the characteristics of income mobility structure in different regions.Adopt different regional policies.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学社会发展与公共政策学院;天津财经大学统计学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“中等收入者比重统计测度新方法及其应用研究”(15CTJ003)
【分类号】：F124.7

【相似文献】