我国区际产业梯度转移粘性问题研究

发布时间：2018-04-16 23:10

本文选题：产业梯度转移 + 粘性程度测定　；参考：《湖南科技大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放三十多年以来，我国经济取得了快速发展，现已稳居世界第二大经济体地位。然而，目前我国经济还存在许多问题，诸如资源不断紧张、环境不断恶化，各区域间经济发展极不平衡，经济发展差距有扩大趋势。承接产业转移则就成为欠发达地区实现产业层次提升与区域经济增长的一种手段，成为实现我国区域经济协调发展的重要途径。特别地，我国区域间已经具备产业梯度转移的基本条件，区域间已存在着经济梯度差，东部地区也存在着许多传统产业，而且当前我国正在经历着一次新一轮大规模国际产业正向我国大陆地区与沿海产业向中西部地区的耦合转移。如何将东部地区成熟产业转移到中西部地区成为这次耦合转移是否成功的关键，也是促进我国各区域协调发展的重要途径。从现实情况看，我国似乎并没有出现大规模区际产业转移的现象，东部地区处于生命周期成熟阶段或衰退阶段的传统产业仍对原区位表现出粘性特征；并不如理论界所预期那样，我国会出现大批传统产业由东部地球向中西部地区进行迁移的现象。基于以上背景及认知，本文以我国制造业的产业梯度转移为研究对象，围绕当前我国区域间产业转移趋势与特征、产业梯度转移粘性程度测度、形成机理、影响效应及其构成要素的影响程度等系列问题进行细致分析与探讨，试图从中找到问题的答案。在具体的结构安排上，本文首先对国内外有关产业转移领域研究进行了总结与评述，以期了解该领域现有研究所取得的成果与不足，试图从中找到切入点去开展下一步研究工作；随后引入了开展研究中所需支撑的理论作为研究基础，同时对产业梯度转移粘性的形成与运行机理进行了深入分析；接着，通过测定在不同年份间我国东部地区制造业占全国行业总产值比重变化情况，分析当前我国区际产业转移所呈现的趋势与特点。研究显示现阶段我国区域间产业转移为相对转移，为产业转移的初始阶段，，区域间大规模产业转移现象尚未出现。接着，通过运用灰色聚类方法对我国区际梯度转移粘性程度与趋势进行分析，研究结果表明总体上我国区域间产业梯度转移粘性程度趋向减弱，但趋势不够明显。基于上文的结论，本文尝试着对形成区域产业梯度转移粘性的影响要素进行理论分析，从中探寻影响产业转移的构成要素并进行实证研究，进而通过克服或优化这些影响要素而达到破除区际产业梯度转移粘性问题，促进东部地区传统产业向中西部地区转移。在实证研究过程中，本文分别从内部要素构成系统与外部要素构成系统建立回归模型，实证分析各种变量要素对制造业转移的影响。实证结论显示，在内部构成要素中人力资本、沉没成本都对产业梯度转移存在影响，其中人力资本对产业梯度转移的影响要大于固定资本与沉没成本对其的影响，此外区位因素对制造业发展作用并不够显著；在外部构成要素中制造业就业人数、城镇化建设水平与交通密度等要素对产业梯度转移都有不同程度的负面影响，其中制造业就业人数对产业梯度转移的影响程度最大，其后依次是城镇化建设水平与交通密度等因素；而外商直接投资与贸易外向度会对制造业发展产生某种程度的挤出效应，从而会对区际产业梯度转移有着不同程度的促进作用，其中外商直接投资对制造业发展的产生的挤出效应表现得更加明显；特别地，与理论预期有所不同是成本费用利润率、二元对比系数与科技创新水平在模型中表现出不显著的特征。最后，根据实证研究结论提出了促进我国区际产业梯度转移与承接的对策建议，以期为改善我国区际产业梯度转移现状提供施政思路与政策参考。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening - up for more than 30 years , China ' s economy has been developing rapidly and has been steadily in the world ' s second - largest economy . However , there are many problems in our country ' s economy .

From the actual situation , there appears to be no large - scale regional industrial transfer in our country , and the traditional industries in the eastern region in the life cycle mature stage or the recession stage still show the sticky characteristic to the original location ;
Based on the above background and cognition , this paper makes a detailed analysis and discussion about the trend and characteristics of industry transfer in China ' s manufacturing industry , the measure of industrial gradient transfer viscosity , the formation mechanism , the influence effect and the influence degree of its constituent elements , and tries to find out the answer to the problem .

In the concrete structure arrangement , this paper summarizes and comments on the research on the field of industrial transfer at home and abroad , with a view to understanding the achievements and shortcomings of the existing research institutes in the field , trying to find the entry point to carry out the next research work ;
Then , the theory of the support needed in the research is introduced as the research foundation , and the formation and operation mechanism of the industrial gradient transfer viscosity are analyzed in depth .
On the basis of the above conclusions , this paper tries to analyze the influence factors of regional industrial gradient transfer in China .
In the external component , the factors such as the number of manufacturing employed , the level of urbanization and the density of traffic have a negative impact on the industrial gradient transfer , in which the influence degree of the manufacturing employment on the industrial gradient transfer is the largest , which is the factors such as the level of urbanization and the density of traffic .
The foreign direct investment and the trade outward degree can produce some degree of extrusion effect on the development of manufacturing industry , which can promote the regional industrial gradient transfer to some extent , and the extrusion effect of foreign direct investment on the development of manufacturing industry is more obvious ;
In the end , according to the conclusion of the empirical research , the author puts forward some suggestions on how to promote the gradient transfer and acceptance of China ' s interregional industry , with a view to providing a policy reference for improving the present situation of regional industrial gradient transfer in China .

【学位授予单位】：湖南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】