我国虚拟经济对实体经济影响的研究

发布时间：2018-04-18 20:40

本文选题：虚拟经济 + 实体经济　；参考：《内蒙古财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国市场经济的不断发展、改革开放政策的实施，我国经济取得了举世瞩目的成绩，金融市场的发展得也越来越壮大。以有价证券为代表的虚拟经济所占国民经济总产出的比例越来越大，甚至超过了实体经济的规模。虚拟经济的发展为社会资金的配置起到了推波助澜的作用，提高了资金的利用效率，也带来了巨大的财富回报。但虚拟经济是把“双刃剑”，，2008年美国次贷危机所引发的金融危机对世界经济所造成的严重影响依然历历在目。如何发展好虚拟经济，利用虚拟经济推动实体经济发展，防范好虚拟经济的潜在危机，找到虚拟经济和实体经济的协调互动的契合点成为了新的历史课题。本文在参阅了大量国内外学者研究成果的基础之上，采用理论分析和实证分析相结合的方法。首先对国内外学者在相关领域的最新研究发现和相关理论做了系统地梳理，然后深入剖析了虚拟经济与实体经济的关系以及虚拟经济对实体经济的作用机制。利用马歇尔K值和四个流量指标的对比分析，加之前人们的研究经验，判定了我国虚拟经济与实体经济“形离而实未离”的关系。采用计量经济学方法，对实体经济指标与主要虚拟经济变量建立多元回归模型，发现股票交易额与国币供应量对实体经济增长影响显著。最后，根据全文研究成果，针对我国股票市场、货币政策和虚拟经济未来发展战略提出了有效的对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of our market economy and the implementation of reform and opening up policy, our economy has made remarkable achievements, and the financial market is growing stronger and stronger.The fictitious economy, represented by securities, accounts for more and more of the total output of the national economy, and even exceeds the scale of the real economy.The development of virtual economy contributes to the allocation of social funds, improves the efficiency of the use of funds, and brings a huge return on wealth.But the fictitious economy is a double-edged sword, and the serious impact of the financial crisis caused by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States in 2008 on the world economy is still vividly remembered.How to develop the virtual economy, promote the development of the real economy, prevent the potential crisis of the virtual economy, and find the joint point of the coordination and interaction between the virtual economy and the real economy has become a new historical subject.On the basis of referring to a large number of domestic and foreign scholars' research results, this paper adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis with empirical analysis.Firstly, this paper systematically combs the latest research findings and related theories of domestic and foreign scholars in related fields, and then deeply analyzes the relationship between virtual economy and real economy and the mechanism of virtual economy acting on real economy.Based on the comparative analysis of Marshall K value and four flow indexes and the previous research experience, the relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy in China is determined.By means of econometrics, a multivariate regression model is established for the real economy index and the main fictitious economic variables. It is found that the stock transaction volume and the national currency supply have a significant impact on the real economy growth.Finally, according to the research results, the paper puts forward some effective countermeasures and suggestions for the stock market, monetary policy and the future development strategy of virtual economy.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124;F224

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