我国区域投入要素贡献率及其差异分析

发布时间：2018-04-19 16:21

本文选题：投入要素贡献率 + 区域　；参考：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国经济总量30年来持续高速增长,经济实力逐年增强已是不争的事实。但是,近年来GDP增速明显放缓。在我国经济发展过程中,仍需面对一系列诸如区域经济发展严重失衡、收入分配不公、贫富差距显著增大等有碍效率与公平持续推进的社会经济问题。其中,区域经济发展不平衡已逐渐成为经济新常态下的主要特征和阻碍和谐发展的桎梏。经济新常态下,关于带动中国经济增长、造成区域间经济增长差异的重要因素已悄然由原始的劳动力和物质资本的大量投入向科学技术的进步转变,经济发展推动因素的结构已发生了翻天覆地的变化,更加强调技术进步对经济增长的重要作用,知识经济逐步成为主要社会经济议题。因此,在研究资本与人力对经济增长的重要作用的基础上,深入研究区域技术进步对于经济增长的贡献率的差异对于经济发展模式改革以及政府各项关于技术改革的形成和深化有着重要的作用。本文首先借助经济增长理论,分析了经济增长的重要决定因素。其次,根据模型制定测算投入要素对经济增长贡献率的方法,并基于2004-2012年省级面板数据具体测算全国的省际投入要素贡献率以及技术进步贡献率。在分析其具体差异基础之上,利用聚类分析方法对全国的省级单位进行具体划分,得到了五个类别,第一类:上海市;第二类:浙江省、海南省、新疆维吾尔自治区、北京市、江苏省、贵州省、天津市、福建省、黑龙江省、广东省、江西省、山东省、安徽省、湖北省、陕西省、青海省、湖南省;第三类:云南省、宁夏回族自治区、内蒙古自治区、河北省、辽宁省、甘肃省;第四类:吉林省、河南省、山西省、广西壮族自治区、西藏自治区;第五类:四川省(包括重庆市)。之后利用本文提出的全国区域划分方法,在对以上分类方法进行简单合并后,形成了三大区域,即技术超前区域、技术中等区域以及技术落后区域。并对区域间的经济增长收敛性进行实证分析,具体进行了σ收敛与β收敛,从而得到了全国省市区在2004至2012年之间经济收敛趋势明显,将上海市归入第二类后的第一组,即技术超前区域收敛趋势也显而易见,但其他的两区域呈现发散趋势。综上所述,本文的区域划分方法能够客观反映不同区域的投入要素贡献率与技术进步贡献率的具体差异,从而反映不同区域在经济增长收敛性方面的极大差别,经济发展程度和经济增长收敛性都是造成经济发展不平衡的重要因素。因此,从长远的角度看,本文认为中央政府应强化区域平衡发展战略的制定,减少盲目的地理区域的划分扶持,关注技术落后区域,给予一定的相关政策扶持;各级政府应积极推进区域自身转型路径的制定,不断提升自己的科技发展水平,寻求高速的经济增长路径;同时全国范围内应促进区域内部经济技术合作及加强区域间的交流带动作用,才能够切实缩小区域经济发展差异,实现全国的高水平稳步增长。
[Abstract]:China's economy has been growing rapidly in 30 years, and the economic strength has been increasing year by year. However, the growth of GDP has slowed obviously in recent years. In the process of economic development, we still have to face a series of serious imbalances such as the serious imbalance of regional economic development, unfair income distribution, the significant increase of the gap between the rich and the poor and so on. Among them, the imbalance of regional economic development has gradually become the main characteristic of the new normal economy and the shackles of hinder the harmonious development. Under the new normal economy, the important factors that lead to the economic growth and the difference of regional economic growth have been quietly from the large input of the original labor and material capital to the Department. With the change of science and technology, the structure of economic development driving factors has undergone tremendous changes, more emphasis is placed on the important role of technological progress on economic growth. The knowledge economy has gradually become the main social and economic issue. Therefore, on the basis of studying the important role of capital and manpower in economic growth, the regional technology advances are deeply studied. The difference in the contribution rate of step to economic growth plays an important role in the reform of the economic development model and the formation and deepening of the government's various technical reforms. Firstly, this paper analyzes the important determinants of economic growth with the help of economic growth theory. Secondly, the contribution rate of input factors to economic growth is calculated according to the model system. Method, and based on the 2004-2012 year provincial panel data to calculate the contribution rate of the national interprovincial input elements and the contribution rate of technical progress. On the basis of the analysis of the specific differences, we use cluster analysis method to classify the provincial units in China, and get five categories, the first category: Shanghai City, the second category: Zhejiang Province, Hainan Province, The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Beijing, Jiangsu, Guizhou, Tianjin, Fujian, Heilongjiang Province, Guangdong Province, Jiangxi Province, Shandong Province, Anhui Province, Hubei Province, Shaanxi Province, provincial Province, province; third categories: Province, province, province; fourth categories: Province, province, province, province, The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Tibet autonomous region; the fifth kind: Sichuan province (including Chongqing city). Then, using the national regional division method proposed in this paper, after the simple merger of the above classification methods, three regions are formed, namely, the technology advance area, the technical middle area and the backward area of technology. And the economic growth convergence between the regions is convergent. The empirical analysis is carried out, and the convergence and beta convergence are concretely carried out, and the economic convergence trend between 2004 and 2012 between the 2004 and the 2012 is obvious, and the first group after the second categories is classified into the first group, that is, the trend of regional convergence is obvious, but the other two regions show the divergence trend. The method can objectively reflect the specific differences between the contribution rate of input elements and the contribution rate of technological progress in different regions, thus reflecting the great difference in the convergence of economic growth in different regions. The degree of economic development and the convergence of economic growth are the important factors that cause the imbalance of economic development. Therefore, from a long-term perspective, this paper identifies this article. The central government should strengthen the formulation of regional balanced development strategy, reduce the division support of the geographical area of the blind destination, pay attention to the backward areas and give certain relevant policy support; the governments at all levels should actively promote the formulation of the regional transformation path, constantly improve the development level of its own science and technology, and seek a high-speed economic growth path; In the whole country, we should promote the economic and technical cooperation within the region and strengthen the interregional exchange and drive role in order to reduce the difference of regional economic development and realize the high level and steady growth of the whole country.

【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】