基于半参数模型的居民消费与经济增长区域差异性研究

发布时间：2018-04-21 00:06

本文选题：面板数据 + 非参数核估计　；参考：《河南科技大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：目前中国经济增长正由主要依靠投资、出口拉动向依靠消费、投资、出口协调拉动转变，消费逐渐成为拉动我国经济增长的重要因素和主要动力。居民消费作为消费需求的主体，重要性是不容忽视的。由于我国具有典型的二元经济结构特征，城镇和农村居民消费对经济增长有着不同的拉动效果，此外，，经济体制改革以后，我国不同地区的经济发展不平衡，居民消费支出对经济增长的影响呈现出比较大的差异性。本文以城镇和农村居民消费对经济增长影响的区域差异性为研究视角，利用1996-2011年30个省（市）的省际面板数据，基于非参数核估计方法，分别建立城镇居民和农村居民消费与经济增长的面板数据半参数计量经济模型，从城乡两方面对消费与经济增长的区域差异性进行实证分析，具体研究内容如下： 1.选取人均国内生产总值（GDP）作为反映经济增长的指标，以其为被解释变量，人均居民消费作为解释变量，分别建立我国东、中、西部城镇居民消费和农村居民消费的面板数据半参数模型，从总量角度对东、中、西部城乡居民消费与经济增长区域差异性进行实证分析。 2.以人均GDP作为被解释变量，人均食品、人均衣着、人均住房、人均家庭设备、人均医疗保健、人均交通通讯、人均教育文化娱乐、人均其他杂项8大类消费支出作为解释变量，分别建立城镇居民和农村居民消费结构与人均GDP的面板数据半参数计量经济模型，从结构角度对东、中、西部城乡居民消费与经济增长区域差异性进行实证分析。 3.根据分析结果，结合各地区的特点，提出相应的政策性建议。
[Abstract]:At present, China's economic growth is changing from mainly relying on investment, export pulling to relying on consumption, investment and export coordinated pull. Consumption is becoming an important factor and main driving force to stimulate China's economic growth. As the main body of consumption demand, the importance of resident consumption can not be ignored. Since China has a typical dual economic structure, the consumption of urban and rural residents has different effects on economic growth. In addition, after the reform of the economic system, the economic development in different regions of our country is not balanced. The impact of consumer expenditure on economic growth is quite different. From the perspective of the regional differences between urban and rural residents' consumption on economic growth, this paper uses the provincial panel data of 30 provinces (cities) from 1996 to 2011, based on the nonparametric kernel estimation method. The semi-parametric econometric model of panel data of urban and rural residents' consumption and economic growth is established, and the regional differences between consumption and economic growth are empirically analyzed from the two aspects of urban and rural areas. The specific research contents are as follows: 1. Taking GDP per capita as the indicator of economic growth, taking it as the explanatory variable and per capita consumption as the explanatory variable, the paper establishes the east and middle of China respectively. Based on the semi-parametric model of panel data between urban and rural residents' consumption in western China, this paper empirically analyzes the regional differences between urban and rural residents' consumption and economic growth in the east, middle and west from the perspective of total amount. 2. Taking per capita GDP as the explained variable, per capita food, per capita clothing, per capita housing, per capita household equipment, per capita health care, per capita transportation and communications, per capita education, culture and entertainment, and per capita other miscellaneous consumer expenditures as explanatory variables. The semi-parametric econometric model of panel data of urban and rural residents' consumption structure and per capita GDP is established, and the regional differences between urban and rural residents' consumption and economic growth in the east, middle and west are analyzed empirically from the perspective of structure. 3. According to the analysis results, combined with the characteristics of each region, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：河南科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F224;F126.1;F124.1

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