低碳规制对中国产业国际竞争力影响分析

发布时间：2018-04-24 08:01

本文选题：碳强度规制 + 碳税规制　；参考：《宁波大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：处于工业化阶段的中国，高碳排放问题自然不可避免。全球低碳经济的盛行使该问题棘手难解，甚至可以说直接向我国传统经济发展模式提出挑战，低碳规制自然成为问题解决的突破口。一国（或地区）经济增长的驱动力主要来自三个方面：消费、投资和出口，而产业国际竞争力是出口的重要决定因素。摆在我们面前的问题是：低碳规制对产业国际竞争力是否有影响？有何影响？这种影响在中国能否得到验证？若是，在众多常见的低碳规制政策中，哪一种是中国产业国际竞争力发展的最优选择？本文将低碳规制分成当前学术界普遍关注的数量上的碳强度规制和价格上的碳税规制及碳出口税规制。首先理论分析低碳规制对产业国际竞争力的影响，发现低碳规制与产业国际竞争力之间可能呈U型关系：在一定的规制强度阈值内，该三种低碳规制均会通过不同途径阻碍产业国际竞争力形成；当超出该阈值后，上述关系可能会出现逆转，即较高强度的低碳规制可能会促进产业国际竞争力的形成。其次描述性分析现阶段低碳规制对中国产业国际竞争力的关系，发现三种低碳规制对中国产业国际竞争力均存在不同程度的负相关关系，但两者之间可能存在的U型关系尚且未知。第三通过实证分析进一步证实描述性分析的结论，另外还发现三种低碳规制对中国产业国际竞争力的U型关系是存在的，但目前这种关系尚处于U型左端，，呈负相关关系。纵向来看，这种负相关程度在碳强度规制、碳税规制及碳出口税规制三种模型中逐次减弱，横向来看，这种负相关程度随着低碳规制强度的增强而减弱，即若以经济增长为中心，选择以碳出口税规制为主要低碳规制乃为最优选择。
[Abstract]:In the industrial stage of China, the problem of high carbon emissions is inevitable. The prevalence of the global low-carbon economy makes the problem difficult to solve, and can even be said to directly challenge the traditional economic development model of our country. Low-carbon regulation naturally becomes the breakthrough to solve the problem. The driving force of a country's economic growth mainly comes from three aspects: consumption, investment and export, and the international competitiveness of industry is an important determinant of export. The question before us is: does low-carbon regulation have an impact on the international competitiveness of the industry? What's the impact? Can this effect be tested in China? If so, which of the many common low-carbon regulatory policies is the best choice for the development of international competitiveness of Chinese industry? This paper divides low-carbon regulation into quantitative carbon intensity regulation, price carbon tax regulation and carbon export tax regulation. First of all, the influence of low-carbon regulation on the international competitiveness of industry is analyzed theoretically, and it is found that the relationship between low-carbon regulation and industrial international competitiveness may be U-shaped: within a certain threshold of regulatory intensity. The three kinds of low-carbon regulation will hinder the formation of industrial international competitiveness through different ways, and when the threshold is exceeded, the above relationship may be reversed, that is, the higher intensity of low-carbon regulation may promote the formation of industrial international competitiveness. Secondly, the paper analyzes the relationship between low-carbon regulation and international competitiveness of Chinese industry at present, and finds that the three kinds of low-carbon regulation have negative correlation to the international competitiveness of Chinese industry to varying degrees. However, the possible U-type relationship between the two is unknown. Thirdly, the conclusion of descriptive analysis is further confirmed by empirical analysis. In addition, it is found that there is a U-type relationship between three kinds of low-carbon regulation on the international competitiveness of Chinese industry, but at present this relationship is still at the left end of U-type, which is negatively related. Vertically, the degree of negative correlation is weakened in three models: carbon intensity regulation, carbon tax regulation and carbon export tax regulation. Horizontally, the negative correlation degree weakens with the increase of low carbon regulation intensity. That is, if economic growth is the center, the choice of carbon export tax regulation as the main low carbon regulation is the best choice.
【学位授予单位】：宁波大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3

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