俄罗斯经济新观察:危机与转机

发布时间：2018-05-02 18:00

本文选题：俄罗斯经济 + 危机　；参考：《国际经济评论》2017年02期

【摘要】：以经济衰退与宏观经济不稳定并行显现为内涵界定的俄罗斯经济危机,诱因来自于外部,但根源却在内部。经济危机加重了矛盾,但也催生了变革,进而迎来了转机。俄罗斯正在走出经济危机状态,但并不意味同时就是在走出经济困局。普京政权把走出经济困局的主要目标设定为两点,一是经济稳定,二是经济增长,细化就是两个4%,即通胀率降到4%,GDP增长率提到4%。比较而言,实现增长目标的难度更大,加之考虑战略诉求以及现实迫切要求等重要因素,增长可谓是俄罗斯走出经济困局的关键。出口与投资拉动,是俄政府旨在实现经济增长的主要举措,能否收到实效,其主要的路径依赖在于经济结构的改革和国家管理体系的重构。本文的最后,提出了对于俄罗斯经济前景的基本看法。
[Abstract]:The Russian economic crisis, which is defined by the combination of economic recession and macroeconomic instability, is caused by external factors, but its root is internal. The economic crisis aggravated the contradictions, but also spawned change, and thus ushered in a turn for the better. Russia is emerging from the economic crisis, but does not mean that it is out of economic distress. The Putin regime set the main objective of getting out of the economic difficulties as two points, one is economic stability, the other is economic growth, and the second is economic growth, which means that the inflation rate is reduced to 4% and GDP growth rate is increased to 4%. By comparison, growth is more difficult to achieve, combined with important factors such as strategic demands and realistic imperatives. Growth is the key to getting Russia out of its economic woes. Export and investment are the main measures of the Russian government to achieve economic growth. The main path depends on the reform of economic structure and the reconstruction of national management system. At the end of this paper, the author puts forward some basic views on Russia's economic prospects.
【作者单位】：辽宁大学转型国家经济政治研究中心;辽宁大学国际关系学院;
【分类号】：F151.2

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