中国省际间绿色发展福利测量与评价

发布时间：2018-05-06 21:30

本文选题：生态足迹 + 绿色经济增长　；参考：《中国人口·资源与环境》2017年09期

【摘要】：在绿色发展理念下,对绿色发展福利进行测量和评价比传统的GDP评价更能体现发展的质量。本文基于生态绩效理论,将绿色发展福利增长速度推导为脱钩指数与GDP增长速度的乘积。首先以人类发展指数作为绿色发展福利的判别标准,根据脱钩指数理论,以数值0和0.1为界线,将2002—2014年中国31个省份的绿色发展福利水平划分为"负福利增长"、"绝对低福利增长"、"相对低福利增长"三类。其次,利用数据包络分析(DEA)方法及Malmquist指数测度兼顾期望产出(GDP)与非期望产出(生态足迹)的绿色经济增长,并对中国省际绿色经济增长效率进行分解,将绿色全要素生产率分为技术效率变动、技术变动、纯技术效率变动和规模效率变动,以探讨影响中国绿色发展"C"模式的关键因素。实证结果表明:中国大陆31个省份的脱钩指数均小于0.6(两个省份的脱钩指数小于0),处于低福利增长状态,但是整体上省际间脱钩指数与GDP增长速度呈现正相关关系,省际间人类发展指数的差异主要表现在公平的教育机会与收入分配差距两个方面。对中国大陆31个省份绿色经济增长速度的分解表明,绿色全要素生产率的提升主要得益于技术效率变动、纯技术效率变动、规模效率变动指数的提高,且每个时期三者的贡献率均在1左右波动。检验期间,北京、上海、广东、天津四个省份作为"创新者"共同推动产出朝着最优生产前沿面外移。最后,为了构筑中国绿色发展"C"模式,认为应该以绿色发展福利水平的提升为导向,在依据绿色全要素生产率提高绿色经济增长效率的同时,应注重教育公平与收入分配差距的缩减。同时,应积极发挥创新者省份绿色发展的示范效应,带动非创新者省份共同发展。
[Abstract]:Under the concept of green development, the measurement and evaluation of green development welfare can better reflect the quality of development than the traditional GDP evaluation. Based on the theory of ecological performance, this paper deduces the growth rate of green development welfare as the product of decoupling index and GDP growth rate. First, the Human Development Index (HDI) is taken as the criterion of green development welfare. According to the decoupling index theory, the values 0 and 0.1 are taken as the boundary. The green development welfare level of 31 provinces in China from 2002 to 2014 was divided into three categories: "negative welfare growth", "absolute low welfare growth" and "relatively low welfare growth". Secondly, the green economic growth of expected output and non-expected output (ecological footprint) is taken into account by using data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method and Malmquist index measure, and the efficiency of China's inter-provincial green economy growth is decomposed. The green total factor productivity is divided into technological efficiency change, technological change, pure technical efficiency change and scale efficiency change, in order to discuss the key factors that affect the "C" mode of green development in China. The empirical results show that the decoupling index of 31 provinces in mainland China is less than 0.6 (the decoupling index of two provinces is less than 0, which is in the state of low welfare growth, but there is a positive correlation between the interprovincial decoupling index and the growth rate of GDP on the whole. The difference of human development index between provinces is mainly reflected in two aspects: equitable educational opportunity and income distribution gap. The decomposition of the growth rate of green economy in 31 provinces of mainland China shows that the improvement of green total factor productivity is mainly due to the change of technical efficiency, the change of pure technical efficiency and the improvement of index of scale efficiency. The contribution rate of each period is about 1. During the inspection period, four provinces, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangdong and Tianjin, as "innovators", jointly pushed output outward towards the optimal production frontier. Finally, in order to construct the "C" mode of green development in China, the author thinks that the improvement of welfare level of green development should be taken as the guide, and the efficiency of green economy growth should be improved according to the total factor productivity of green. Attention should be paid to education equity and the narrowing of income distribution gap. At the same time, we should give full play to the demonstration effect of the green development of innovator provinces and promote the common development of non-innovator provinces.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地项目“中国土地制度改革与农业现代化道路研究”(批准号:12JJD790046)
【分类号】：F124;X22

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