天津市环境与经济关系研究

发布时间：2018-05-15 21:45

本文选题：环境与经济 + 环境库兹涅茨曲线　；参考：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来天津市的经济呈现出较好的发展态势,而环境质量状况堪忧。为了把天津市建设成为一个协调可持续发展的生态宜居城市,需要对天津市环境与经济的协调发展现状和存在的问题进行定性定量研究。对天津市的环境与经济关系进行研究,为天津市尽快实现社会进步、经济发展与环境保护三者协调发展,构建生态宜居和经济繁荣并重的现代化宜居城市具有重要的意义。以天津市经济与环境之间的关系为研究内容,先对其进行了理论研究；之后对天津市经济增长与环境质量的现状进行统计分析；接着用主成份分析法得出反映这两个方面的综合指标,然后对天津市的环境与经济情况进行了环境库兹涅茨理论的实证分析,并计算出能够反映天津市经济与环境关系的协调发展度,对天津市多年来环境与经济的发展规律进行描述；最后用向量自回归(VAR)模型来分析天津市经济增长与“工业三废”之间的因果关系、影响时间以及影响程度。根据研究结果为天津市的经济和环境的协调发展提出了合理的参考建议。最后得到的主要结论为：天津市环境与经济之间的关系呈现“倒N型”的库兹涅茨曲线关系；目前天津市的环境与经济协调发展的状况仍处于中度失调衰退类环境滞后型阶段：天津市的经济增长主要由工业废气排放量和工业固体废弃物产生量来带动,其中工业废气排放量的波动对天津市的经济增长有短期负面影响,工业固体废弃物产生量的波动对经济增长GDP有正面长期的影响。论文的创新点有两个：第一,在选取反映天津市经济增长与环境质量状况的指标方面：分别构建了天津市经济增长与环境质量状况的综合指标,更全面而又准确地反映出天津的经济增长情况和环境质量状况。第二,在研究方法方面：用环境库兹涅茨曲线理论以及环境与经济的协调发展度理论研究天津市的经济增长与环境质量现状之间的关系是否协调,并运用VAR模型对天津市经济与环境协调发展进行定量研究,为天津市经济与环境的协调发展奠定了一定的基础。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Tianjin's economy has shown a good development trend, but the environmental quality is worrying. In order to build Tianjin into an ecologically livable city with coordinated and sustainable development, it is necessary to carry out a qualitative and quantitative study on the present situation and problems of the coordinated development of environment and economy in Tianjin. The study on the relationship between environment and economy in Tianjin is of great significance to realize social progress, coordinate economic development and environmental protection, and construct a modern livable city with equal emphasis on ecological liveability and economic prosperity. Taking the relationship between economy and environment of Tianjin as the research content, this paper first carries on the theoretical research to it, then carries on the statistical analysis to the present situation of the economic growth and the environmental quality of Tianjin. Then we use the principal component analysis method to obtain the comprehensive indicators reflecting these two aspects, and then carry out the empirical analysis of environmental Kuznets theory on the environment and economic situation of Tianjin. The coordinated development degree of Tianjin's economy and environment is calculated, and the law of Tianjin's environmental and economic development is described for many years. Finally, the causality, time and degree of influence between Tianjin's economic growth and "three industrial wastes" are analyzed by using vector autoregressive model. Based on the results of the study, some reasonable suggestions are put forward for the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin. Finally, the main conclusions are as follows: the relationship between environment and economy in Tianjin is "inverted N-type" Kuznets curve; At present, the coordinated development of environment and economy in Tianjin is still in the stage of moderate imbalance and recession. Tianjin's economic growth is mainly driven by industrial waste gas emissions and industrial solid waste production. The fluctuation of industrial waste gas emissions has a short-term negative impact on the economic growth of Tianjin, and the fluctuation of industrial solid waste production has a positive and long-term impact on the economic growth of GDP. There are two innovative points in the paper: first, in the selection of indicators reflecting the economic growth and environmental quality in Tianjin, the comprehensive indicators of Tianjin's economic growth and environmental quality are constructed, respectively. More comprehensive and accurate reflection of Tianjin's economic growth and environmental quality. Secondly, in the aspect of research methods: using the theory of environmental Kuznets curve and the degree of coordinated development between environment and economy, the paper studies whether the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in Tianjin is in harmony. A quantitative study on the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin is carried out by using VAR model, which lays a certain foundation for the coordinated development of economy and environment in Tianjin.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X22;F127

【相似文献】