基于产业关联的新疆经济发展主导产业选择研究

发布时间：2018-05-15 23:02

本文选题：主导产业 + 产业关联　；参考：《长安大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：区域主导产业是指区域国民经济部门和产业结构中能带动其他产业发展、创新能力强、有巨大的扩散效应等的产业。所以，区域主导产业对区域经济发展起着很重要的作用。区域主导产业不是一成不变的，而是一个动态演变的过程，区域主导产业随着区域经济发展水平的改变而改变。主导产业对其上下游产业部门有很强的带动性，主要通过产业关联发挥作用。产业关联是产业部门之间的技术经济联系，很好的体现了主导产业的带动性。本文主要从产业关联的角度对主导产业的选择方法进行探讨，并且以新疆为例验证了方法的有效性。本文主要以产业关联理论和主导产业选择理论为基础，采用投入产出法，定性与定量相结合，用实证分析法对新疆主导产业选择进行了研究。从产业关联度方面和产业的外向性方面分别对新疆的42个产业部门进行了定量分析，结合区域经济发展水平、人才状况、资源状况等定性分析，在此基础上确定了新疆的主导产业：金属冶炼及压延加工业，石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业和纺织业。本文主要由五部分构成，第一部分绪论主要阐述了本文的研究背景和研究意义等。绪论最后阐述本文的研究思路与方法。第二章主要探讨了主导产业与产业关联相关理论与方法，重点分析了目前常用主导产业选择基准及产业关联分析方法。并且，针对产业关联度基准的不足引入了产业外向性分析和定性分析。第三章主要是建立模型，首先介绍了目前区域主导产业选择常用模型、主导产业演变规律和新疆经济与产业发展现状，在此基础上着重分析了新疆主导产业选择模型建立的过程，并且阐述了该模型的特点及运用方法。第四章为实证分析，依据新疆2002年和2007年的投入产出表，从定量和定性两方面分析，最后选出新疆的主导产业有金属冶炼及压延加工业，石油加工、炼焦及核燃料加工业和纺织业。最后针对新疆经济发展提出了一些建议。第五章为研究结论与展望，主要是对研究工作和论文的总结。对研究方法、模型的有效性以及研究结果的合理性分析，提出进一步研究的方向。
[Abstract]:Regional leading industry is an industry which can promote the development of other industries in the regional national economic sector and industrial structure, with strong innovation ability and huge diffusion effect. Therefore, the regional leading industry plays an important role in the development of regional economy. The regional leading industry is not 10% constant, but a dynamic process of evolution. Leading industry changes with the change of regional economic development level. The leading industry has a strong drive to its upstream and downstream industry departments, mainly through industrial association. Industrial association is the technical and economic link between industrial departments, which is a good embodiment of the leading industry's mobility. This article mainly from the angle of industrial relevance to the owner. The selection method of guided industry is discussed, and the effectiveness of the method is verified by taking Xinjiang as an example.
This paper, based on the theory of industrial association and the theory of leading industry selection, uses input-output method, qualitative and quantitative, and uses empirical analysis to study the choice of leading industry in Xinjiang. From the aspect of industrial relevance and the extroversion of industry, the quantitative analysis of the 42 industrial sectors in Xinjiang is carried out, and the region is combined with the region. On the basis of the qualitative analysis of the level of economic development, the status of talents and the status of resources, the leading industries in Xinjiang are determined: metal smelting and calendering processing, petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing and textile industry.
This article is mainly composed of five parts. The first part of the introduction mainly expounds the background and significance of the research. The introduction finally expounds the research ideas and methods of this paper.
The second chapter mainly discusses the related theories and methods of the leading industry and industry correlation, and focuses on the analysis of the selection benchmarks and industrial association analysis methods of the prevailing leading industries, and the analysis of industrial extrovert and qualitative analysis is introduced in view of the shortage of industrial correlation datum.
The third chapter is mainly to establish the model. First, it introduces the common model of the choice of regional leading industry, the law of leading industry evolution and the present situation of Xinjiang's economic and industrial development. On this basis, the process of establishing the model of the leading industry selection in Xinjiang is emphatically analyzed, and the characteristics and application methods of the model are expounded.
The fourth chapter is an empirical analysis. According to the input-output table of Xinjiang in 2002 and 2007, from two aspects of quantitative and qualitative analysis, the final selection of the leading industries in Xinjiang has metal smelting and calendering processing, petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing and textile industry. Finally, some suggestions are put forward for the economic development of Xinjiang.
The fifth chapter is the conclusion and Prospect of the research, which is mainly the summary of the research work and the paper. The research method, the validity of the model and the rationality of the results are analyzed, and the direction of further research is put forward.

【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】