基于“资源诅咒”理论的云南经济增长研究

发布时间：2018-05-22 07:37

本文选题：资源诅咒 + 经济增长　；参考：《云南财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：资源丰富和经济落后是人们对我国西部地区的直观印象，而云南省是西部一个较典型的资源省份。云南省虽然资源丰厚，但现实的经济发展状况是经济增长速度落后于资源匮乏地区。论文主要研究资源禀赋和经济发展之间的关系如何，也就是通过研究云南省是否存在“资源诅咒”现象能够更好的理解云南省经济落后的一个内在原因，希望通过研究找到制约云南省经济增长的因素，为云南省的可持续发展有所贡献。本文将“资源诅咒”理论引入云南省，首先，阐述了云南省的资源禀赋和分析了云南省目前的产业结构，发现云南省产业结构不合理，经济发展具有资源依赖型特征。然后从国家层面分析了1992-2011年整个国家的能源消费量和GDP之间的关系，发现两者之间是正相关的；从省际层面，使用资源丰裕度和人均GDP增速、能源开发强度和人均GDP增速两组指标分别对全国27个省份的情况进行了排名比较，云南省资源丰富和资源开发强度排名靠前，但人均国内生产总值的增长速度排名却很靠后，初步表明，在云南省的存在“资源诅咒”现象；为了更客观地了解资源开发与经济增长之间的关系，建立计量经济学模型，实证检验的结果是资源开发在一定程度上制约了云南省经济增长的步伐。接着，本文对云南省的资源开发如何影响其经济增长进行了数据分析，初步得到的结论是云南省可能存在荷兰病效应、挤出人力资本和科技创新、政治制度腐败等影响方式，为了验证该结论的客观性，文本建立了计量模型，在方程中加入了与这些影响方式相关的变量因素，计量结果证实了前面所得出的结论，即云南省在资源开发过程中确实存在前面那几种典型的制约经济增长的方式。最后，为了解决资源开发对云南省经济增长的阻碍作用，提出了几个针对性的建议，包括调整产业结构，促进产业多元化发展；促进人力资本的提升，培育经济增长动力；提高科技创新能力，调整和优化产业结构；完善资源开发的制度体系，减少寻租和腐败以及充分利用资源优势，积极发展循环经济。云南省的经济发展是依赖资源型产业的，这种不合理的产业结构势必会制约其经济的发展，因此论文的研究目的就是分析云南省在资源禀赋是否制约了经济的增长以及资源开发是通过何种机制阻碍经济增长的，找到问题所在，提出针对性的建议使云南省摆脱对资源的过分依赖从而更好的促进云南省的经济增长。自然资源它只是促进经济增长的一个充分条件，，因此人类只有合理的开发资源、利用资源，它会给人类带来财富。
[Abstract]:Rich resources and backward economy are the people's visual impression on the western region of China, and Yunnan province is a typical resource province in the West. Although Yunnan province is rich in resources, the actual economic development situation is that the economic growth rate is lagging behind the shortage of resources. The paper mainly studies the relationship between the resources endowment and the economic development. That is, through the study of the existence of "resource curse" in Yunnan Province, a better understanding of the inherent reasons for the economic backwardness of Yunnan Province, we hope to find the factors that restrict the economic growth of Yunnan province and contribute to the sustainable development of Yunnan province.
This paper introduces the "resource curse" theory into Yunnan province. First, it expounds the resources endowment of Yunnan province and analyses the current industrial structure of Yunnan province. It finds that the industrial structure of Yunnan is unreasonable and the economic development has the characteristics of resource dependence. Then the energy consumption of the whole country and the relationship between the GDP and the national level are analyzed from the national level. From the provincial level, the two sets of indexes, using the abundance of resources and per capita GDP growth, the energy development intensity and the per capita GDP growth rate, were compared in the 27 provinces in China. The resources and resources development intensity of Yunnan province were in the front, but the growth rate of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) was increased. The ranking is very close. It is preliminarily shown that there is a "resource curse" phenomenon in Yunnan province. In order to understand the relationship between resource development and economic growth more objectively, a econometrics model is established. The result of empirical test is that the development of resources restricts the pace of economic growth in Yunnan Province to a certain extent. Then, this paper is on Yunnan province. The data analysis on how resource development affects its economic growth is carried out. The preliminary conclusion is that there may exist the effect of Dutch disease in Yunnan Province, extrude human capital and scientific and technological innovation, political system corruption and so on. In order to verify the objectivity of the conclusion, the text set up a measurement model. The variable factor and the measurement results confirm the previous conclusion that Yunnan province does exist some typical ways of restricting economic growth in the process of resource exploitation. Finally, in order to solve the hindrance of resource development to the economic growth of Yunnan Province, some pertinent suggestions are put forward, including the adjustment of the industrial structure and the promotion of the industrial structure. We should diversify the industry, promote the promotion of human capital, cultivate the power of economic growth, improve the ability of scientific and technological innovation, adjust and optimize the industrial structure, perfect the system system of resource development, reduce the rent-seeking and corruption, make full use of the advantages of resources, and actively develop the circular economy.
The economic development of Yunnan province depends on the resource-based industry. This unreasonable industrial structure will restrict its economic development. Therefore, the purpose of the paper is to analyze whether the resource endowment has restricted the economic growth and the mechanism of resource development to impede the economic growth, and to find the problem where Yunnan has found the problem. The suggestion of sex makes Yunnan get rid of the excessive dependence on resources so as to better promote economic growth in Yunnan province. It is only a sufficient condition to promote economic growth. Therefore, it will bring wealth to mankind only by rational exploitation of resources and the use of resources.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F205;F127

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