中国工业地价与产业结构变迁互动效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-27 23:00

本文选题：工业地价 + 产业结构　；参考：《资源科学》2017年04期

【摘要】：土地既是产业发展的基础载体又是空间约束,其各种功能支撑着产业结构的不断演进,而产业结构变迁又型塑了土地要素的市场需求。因此,工业地价变动与产业结构变迁联系密切,对二者关系的研究对推动土地市场化改革和产业结构转型升级有积极的意义。本文利用2007-2013年中国的工业用地出让数据,通过建立工业地价与产业结构变迁的PVAR模型,分析了中国东、中、西部三个不同地区的产业结构变迁与工业地价变动之间的互动效应。实证分析结果表明,工业地价与产业结构变迁之间能够同向协调、互相促进,但与此同时却也存在较大的地区性差异:①在东部地区,由于市场化水平较高,工业地价上涨与产业结构升级、产业结构优化的方向具有同一性;②在中部地区,工业地价上涨与产业结构升级之间形成了同向变动的良性互动,但是过高的工业地价并不利于地区产业结构优化;③在西部地区,工业地价变动与产业结构变迁的互动效应较弱,而且呈现出地价上涨不利于结构升级和结构优化的趋势。工业地价与产业结构变迁互动效应的地区性差异,来源于地区之间在经济发展水平与土地市场化进程方面存在的显著差异。因此针对实证结果,本研究提出以下政策建议:东部地区,应继续深化土地市场化改革以促进产业结构变迁;中部地区,应协调土地市场化与产业结构变迁的关系,适度对高地价进行调控;西部地区,则需要大力推进土地市场化改革然后再考虑对地价的调控。
[Abstract]:Land is not only the basic carrier of industrial development, but also the spatial constraint. Its various functions support the continuous evolution of industrial structure, and the changes of industrial structure shape the market demand of land elements. Therefore, the change of industrial land price is closely related to the change of industrial structure, and the study of the relationship between them has positive significance to promote the reform of land marketization and the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure. Based on the data of industrial land transfer in China from 2007 to 2013, this paper analyzes the interactive effects between industrial structure change and industrial land price change in three different regions of China by establishing the PVAR model of industrial land price and industrial structure change. The results of empirical analysis show that industrial land price and industrial structure change can coordinate and promote each other in the same direction, but at the same time there is a big regional difference: 1 in the eastern region, because of the high level of marketization. Industrial land price rising and industrial structure upgrading, the direction of industrial structure optimization is identical. In the central region, the rise of industrial land price and the upgrading of industrial structure have formed a positive interaction in the same direction. However, excessive industrial land price is not conducive to the optimization of regional industrial structure. In the western region, the interactive effect between the change of industrial land price and the change of industrial structure is weak, and the rise of land price is not conducive to structural upgrading and structural optimization. The regional difference between industrial land price and the interactive effect of industrial structure change originates from the significant differences between regions in the level of economic development and the process of land marketization. Therefore, based on the empirical results, this study puts forward the following policy recommendations: in the eastern region, we should continue to deepen the reform of land marketization in order to promote the changes of industrial structure, and in the central region, we should coordinate the relationship between land marketization and industrial structural changes. In the western region, it is necessary to push forward the reform of land marketization and then consider the regulation of land price.
【作者单位】：南京农业大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71273133) 2016年度江苏省普通高校学术学位研究生科研创新计划项目(KYZZ16_0371)
【分类号】：F121.3;F301

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