区域非均衡发展对福建经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-29 20:17

本文选题：福建 + 区域非均衡发展　；参考：《福建师范大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：福建省抓住改革开放的契机,充分运用党和国家的各项优惠政策,经济实现较快发展。而近几年来,福建经济基本保持下行的趋势,特别是2008年以后,世界经济危机的爆发加剧了福建经济的发展形势,GDP增长率持续下降。而在福建经济减速的背景下,有关福建经济减速原因的探讨正成为众多学者们研究的热点。本文则从区域发展的视角出发,探究福建经济减速的原因,具有重要的理论和现实意义。本文首先将福建省区域划分为闽东南和闽西北,考察这两个地域经济增长的非均衡情况。具体先从GDP总量及其增长率、人均GDP及其增长率、产业结构以及其他主要经济指标,如固定资产投资额、对外贸易、居民生活水平、地方财政收支等方面来考察闽东南和闽西北间存在的经济差距现状。然后运用极差、标准差、加权变异系数、泰尔指数等指标,以定量分析方法来进一步衡量闽东南和闽西北两地域经济发展的非均衡程度,结果表明：闽东南和闽西北经济发展的相对差距在缩小,绝对差距依然持续扩大。其次,在考察过闽东南和闽西北两地区经济的非均衡程度后,以泰尔指数代表区域经济非均衡情况,以实际人均GDP代表福建经济增长状况,对福建区域经济总差距、闽东南和闽西北组间差距、组内差距对经济增长的影响进行实证分析,得出结论：闽东南和闽西北组内差距不是福建经济增长的Granger原因,福建区域经济总差距、闽东南和闽西北的组间差距是经济增长的Granger原因,且都对福建经济增长产生负面溢出效应,即闽东南沿海和闽西北内陆两地域之间经济差距的拉大是福建当前经济减速的重要影响因子。为了保持福建经济稳定持续的增长,本文从软硬件设施、产业政策、对外贸易和投资政策以及政府政策等方面提出闽西北发展的对策建议,以期缩小闽西北地带和闽东南地带的经济差距,实现福建经济稳定持续发展。
[Abstract]:Fujian Province grasps the opportunity of reform and opening to the outside world and makes full use of the preferential policies of the Party and the country to achieve rapid economic development. In recent years, Fujian economy has maintained a downward trend, especially after 2008, the outbreak of the world economic crisis has aggravated the economic development situation in Fujian Province and the GDP growth rate has continued to decline. Under the background of Fujian's economic slowdown, the discussion on the reasons of Fujian's economic slowdown is becoming a hot topic for many scholars. This paper, from the perspective of regional development, explores the causes of economic slowdown in Fujian, which has important theoretical and practical significance. In this paper, the region of Fujian Province is divided into Southeast Fujian and Northwest Fujian to investigate the unbalanced situation of economic growth in these two regions. First of all, from the total amount of GDP and its growth rate, per capita GDP and its growth rate, industrial structure and other major economic indicators, such as investment in fixed assets, foreign trade, living standards of residents, The present situation of economic disparity between southeast Fujian and northwest Fujian is investigated in the aspects of local fiscal revenue and expenditure. Then, by using indicators such as extreme deviation, standard deviation, weighted coefficient of variation and Thiel index, and using quantitative analysis methods to further measure the unbalanced degree of economic development in Southeast and Northwest Fujian, The results show that the relative gap of economic development between southeast Fujian and northwest Fujian is narrowing, and the absolute gap is still expanding. Secondly, after examining the non-equilibrium degree of economy in Southeast Fujian and Northwest Fujian, the Taier index is used to represent the unbalanced situation of regional economy, and the actual per capita GDP represents the economic growth of Fujian, which is the total gap of regional economy in Fujian. The difference between southeast Fujian and northwest Fujian, and the influence of intra-group gap on economic growth are analyzed empirically. The conclusion is that the gap between southeast Fujian and northwest Fujian is not the Granger cause of Fujian economic growth, but the total regional economic gap in Fujian. The gap between southeast Fujian and northwest Fujian is the Granger cause of economic growth, and both have negative spillover effects on Fujian economic growth. That is to say, the widening of the economic gap between the southeast coast of Fujian and the inland area of northwest Fujian is an important factor affecting the current economic slowdown in Fujian. In order to maintain the steady and sustained growth of Fujian's economy, this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for the development of Northwest Fujian from the aspects of hardware and software facilities, industrial policies, foreign trade and investment policies, and government policies, etc. In order to narrow the economic gap between Northwest Fujian and Southeast Fujian, and realize the steady and sustainable development of Fujian economy.
【学位授予单位】：福建师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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