中国—东盟互联互通程度测量及对策

发布时间：2018-05-31 20:47

本文选题：中国—东盟 + 互联互通程度　；参考：《北京工商大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年02期

【摘要】：自2006年中国—东盟500多种商品被确认为零关税以来,中国—东盟互联互通建设已经成为双方合作的重要抓手,双方的合作具有坚实的基础条件和重大的政治、经济意义。同时,双方在物理联通、制度联通和民间联通方面已经取得丰硕成果。文章主要针对中国—东盟互联互通的现状和推进进程做出分析,选取2006—2014年中国—东盟互联互通相关指标,利用时序主成分析方法对中国—东盟互联互通程度进行了实证分析。结果显示,中国—东盟互联互通分可为三个阶段:2006—2009年为互联互通发展的整体上升阶段;2009—2011年为第二阶段,互联互通发展速度高于第一阶段;2011—2014年为互联互通的继续发展阶段,但发展速度有所缓慢。在此三阶段,除能源外其他方面的联通建设均呈现上升趋势。最后,针对能源联通发展滞后的情况,文章提出加强能源运输安全,促进东盟能源出口;缓和政治争端挑战,推动能源联通建设;协调多国利益诉求,助力能源互联互通等对策。
[Abstract]:Since more than 500 kinds of goods between China and ASEAN were confirmed as zero tariff in 2006, the construction of China-ASEAN interconnection has become an important part of bilateral cooperation. The cooperation between China and ASEAN has solid basic conditions and important political and economic significance. At the same time, the two sides in physical connectivity, system connectivity and civil connectivity has achieved fruitful results. Based on the analysis of the current situation and progress of China-ASEAN connectivity, this paper selects the relevant indicators of China-ASEAN connectivity from 2006 to 2014. An empirical analysis of the degree of connectivity between China and ASEAN is carried out by using the method of time series principal analysis. The results show that the China-ASEAN interconnection can be divided into three stages: 2006-2009 as the overall rising stage of interconnection development and 2009-2011 as the second stage. The speed of interconnection development is higher than that of the first stage, 2011-2014, which is the continuous development stage of interconnection, but the speed of development is slow. In these three stages, in addition to energy, other aspects of the construction of Unicom are on the rise. Finally, in view of the lagging development of energy connectivity, the article proposes to strengthen energy transport security, promote ASEAN energy exports, ease the challenges of political disputes, promote the construction of energy connectivity, and coordinate the interests of many countries. Power energy interconnection and other countermeasures.
【作者单位】：河海大学商学院;南京大学商学院;
【分类号】：F125.5

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