中国省域人力资本的经济增长效应

发布时间：2018-06-05 12:27

本文选题：人力资本 + 经济增长　；参考：《青岛大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：作为人口大国,中国具有比较突出的人力资本潜在优势,如何切实有效的转化这一潜在优势,藉此不断提高我国总体人力资本水平,进而为自主创新能力的提升提供持续动力,事关我国突破经济发展瓶颈、保持经济长期健康发展的重要问题。文章首先从概念、分类、核算、溢出及其与经济增长的关系等多个方面对国内外人力资本的研究脉络及最新进展进行了文献梳理和评述,为后续研究的展开提供理论的基本支撑和研究思路。其次,人力资本、经济增长及二者的交互作用推动了区域发展差异的形成,而区域经济发展质量的高低则体现为二者协调共进与否,文章通过构建人力资本与经济增长的耦合模型,评测近30年来(1982-2011)我国各区域人力资本与经济增长水平之间的耦合演进机制,并运用适宜性理论对二者的耦合跃迁模式做了初步探讨。随后,考虑区位具有空间依赖性或空间相关性特征,文章运用空间探索性数据分析方法(ESDA)探究省域间人力资本与经济增长的空间分布格局及其关联特性,并运用空间Lucas模型分析人力资本的空间溢出效应,由此明确区域经济发展差异之具体特征。研究结果表明,我国各省区人力资本与经济增长的耦合度始终处于较低水平,并呈现由东至西递减的态势,同时区域间存在耦合趋同。值得一提的是,文章通过借鉴适宜性理论对各区域的适宜性耦合跃迁模式进行了初步探讨,并认为东部及东北应更加注重人力资本的自主创新能力,而中西部地区应注重人力资本对先进技术的吸收模仿能力。此外,空间探索性数据分析以及空间Lucas模型显示30年来我国大多数省区存在显著的人力资本正向空间溢出效应,因此处于经济转型关键期的中国,应进一步打破区域间人力资本空间溢出的市场与体制壁垒,强化区域间在教育、医疗卫生等方面的制度共进,实现区域间教育与医疗卫生资源的合理分配与流动。
[Abstract]:As a large country with large population, China has outstanding potential advantages of human capital. How to effectively transform this potential advantage, thereby continuously improve the overall human capital level of our country, and then provide a continuous impetus for the improvement of independent innovation ability. It is important for our country to break through the bottleneck of economic development and maintain long-term and healthy economic development. Firstly, this paper reviews the research context and latest development of human capital at home and abroad from the aspects of concept, classification, accounting, spillover and its relationship with economic growth. To provide the basic theoretical support and research ideas for the subsequent research. Secondly, human capital, economic growth and their interaction promote the formation of regional development differences, and the quality of regional economic development is reflected in the two coordinated progress or not. By constructing a coupling model between human capital and economic growth, this paper evaluates the evolution mechanism of the coupling between human capital and economic growth level in different regions of China in the past 30 years. The coupling transition model between them is discussed by using suitability theory. Then, considering the spatial dependence or spatial correlation of location, this paper uses the spatial exploratory data analysis method to explore the spatial distribution pattern of human capital and economic growth among provinces and its related characteristics. The spatial spillover effect of human capital is analyzed by using spatial Lucas model. The results show that the coupling degree between human capital and economic growth in the provinces and regions of China is always at a low level, and it is decreasing from east to west, at the same time, there is a convergence of coupling between regions. It is worth mentioning that the paper makes a preliminary study on the coupling transition model of suitability in different regions by referring to the theory of suitability, and holds that the eastern and northeast regions should pay more attention to the independent innovation ability of human capital. The central and western regions should pay attention to the ability of human capital to absorb and imitate advanced technology. In addition, spatial exploratory data analysis and spatial Lucas model show that there are significant positive spatial spillover effects of human capital in most provinces and regions of China in the past 30 years, so China is in the critical period of economic transition. It is necessary to further break down the market and institutional barriers of spatial spillover of regional human capital, strengthen the system of education, medical and health care, and realize the rational distribution and flow of education and medical and health resources among regions.
【学位授予单位】：青岛大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.21;F124.1

【参考文献】