安徽省劳动报酬占比对消费需求的影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-10 14:43

本文选题：劳动报酬占比 + 消费需求　；参考：《安徽财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：在初次分配中,我国的劳动报酬占比呈逐年下降的趋势,且下降的程度非常大。这导致了一系列的社会经济问题,因此,党和政府已经把提高劳动报酬占比作为改善民生的重要举措。但是目前国内外的学者主要是对劳动报酬占比的变化趋势以及变动的影响因素进行研究,对劳动报酬占比变动对消费需求的影响研究则非常少。安徽省作为我国的一个人口大省,发展水平还不高,省内的消费需求明显不足,因此,研究安徽省劳动报酬占比变动对消费需求的影响,具有十分重要的意义。首先,本文对安徽省劳动报酬占比的变化情况和消费现状进行了描述性分析。总体来看,从90年代开始,安徽省的劳动报酬占比就处于下降的趋势,虽然在2009年有了微弱的回升,但是并没有扭转总体下降的趋势。通过分部门和分行业的分析,发现安徽省劳动报酬占比具有部门间、行业间发展不均衡的特点；通过与全国及其他31个省市的比较分析,发现安徽省劳动报酬占比下降的速度明显过快,因此必须给予高度重视。分别对省内农村居民、城镇居民和政府的消费规模和消费水平分析,发现农村居民的消费偏低,且消费在这三大主体间的分配不合理。其次,本文着重使用规范和实证的方法研究了安徽省劳动报酬占比变化对农村居民、城镇居民、政府的最终消费率及消费结构的影响。通过格兰杰检验、协整模型以及误差修正模型分析发现：安徽省劳动报酬占比每增加一个单位,农村居民最终消费率会增加1.9162个单位,城镇居民最终消费率会减少0.7104个单位,政府最终消费率会减少0.1088个单位；劳动报酬每提高1%,农村居民消费结构中食品消费所占的比重会降低0.3574%,对城镇居民的食品消费比重不存在影响。因此提高劳动报酬占比既能促进消费的增加,又能优化消费结构。在此基础上,本文得出结论：提高劳动报酬占比是提高省内消费需求、促进经济增长的有效途径。最后本文提出通过发挥政府指导作用、加快产业结构调整、充分发挥工会职能和优化教育结构这四个方面来提高安徽省劳动报酬占比的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the initial distribution, the proportion of labor compensation in our country is decreasing year by year, and the degree of decline is very large. This has led to a series of social and economic problems, so the Party and the government have made raising the proportion of labor remuneration an important measure to improve people's livelihood. But at present, scholars at home and abroad mainly study the changing trend of the proportion of labor remuneration and the influence factors of the change, but the influence of the change of the proportion of labor remuneration on consumer demand is very little. As a large population province in China, Anhui Province has a low level of development, and the consumption demand in the province is obviously insufficient. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the influence of the change of the proportion of labor remuneration in Anhui Province on consumption demand. This paper makes a descriptive analysis of the change of the proportion of labor compensation and consumption in Anhui Province. Overall, since the 1990s, the proportion of labor compensation in Anhui Province has been in a downward trend, although in 2009 there was a weak recovery, but did not reverse the overall downward trend. Through the analysis of different sectors and industries, it is found that the proportion of labor remuneration in Anhui Province has the characteristics of uneven development among departments and industries, and a comparative analysis with the national and other 31 provinces and cities. It is found that the proportion of labor remuneration in Anhui Province is falling too fast, so we must pay great attention to it. By analyzing the consumption scale and consumption level of rural residents, urban residents and government, it is found that the consumption of rural residents is on the low side, and the distribution of consumption among the three main bodies is unreasonable. Secondly, This paper focuses on the impact of the change of the proportion of labor remuneration on the final consumption rate and consumption structure of rural residents, urban residents and the government in Anhui Province by means of normative and empirical methods. Through Granger test, cointegration model and error correction model, it is found that the final consumption rate of rural residents will increase by 1.9162 units, and the final consumption rate of urban residents will decrease by 0.7104 units. The final consumption rate of the government will be reduced by 0.1088 units, and the proportion of food consumption in the consumption structure of rural residents will be reduced by 0.3574 when the labor remuneration is increased by 1 unit, which has no effect on the proportion of food consumption of urban residents. Therefore, increasing the proportion of labor remuneration can not only promote the increase of consumption, but also optimize the consumption structure. On the basis of this, this paper concludes that increasing the proportion of labor remuneration is an effective way to increase the consumption demand and promote economic growth in the province. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to improve the proportion of labor remuneration in Anhui Province by exerting the guiding role of the government, speeding up the adjustment of industrial structure, giving full play to the functions of trade unions and optimizing the educational structure.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.24;F126.1

【参考文献】