湖北省县域经济发展差异及影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-06-13 06:19

本文选题：县域经济 + 发展差异　；参考：《湖北省社会科学院》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着县域经济不断发展壮大,其政治、经济、社会地位日益凸显。由于,区域协调发展政策的推出以及促进中部地区崛起新十年规划即将出台,中部地区的战略地位不断上升。湖北省作为中部大省,其在全国发展格局中的战略地位更加显著。到2016年湖北省县域经济地区生产总值占全省六成以上,人口、面积、资源等方面在总量上也占明显优势,县域经济对湖北省经济的发展举足轻重。然而,湖北省县域经济在发展过程中出现了不均衡问题,且县域经济发展差异有逐渐扩大趋势。本文采用多种方法,从多个角度对县域经济发展差异进行深入分析,揭示了县域经济发展差异及变化趋势,并进一步分析差异产生因素,在此基础上得出结论并提出相关建议。本文从县域经济发展的时空间差异、各县市经济发展综合评价及分类分析两个角度研究了县域经济的差异情况,然后选取省内外具有代表性的县市分析县域经济发展差异的影响因素。时空间差异分析采用单指标分析法,分别选取了2001-2015年农村居民人均可支配收入、人均地区生产总值作为衡量指标。综合评价及分类分析采用了2015年的面板数据,选取了九个指标构成的指标体系,通过主成分分析法和因子分析法进行分析。差异产生因素选取了省内外三个代表县市即宜都、昆山、阳新,均采用了2001-2015年数据,分别用多元线性回归分析法,并将宜都和昆山、宜都和阳新进行两两对比分析。通过以上分析得出的结论主要有:县域经济发展绝对差异随时间推移不断扩大,相对差异分析结果几乎与之相同,但在2013年之后开始下降;空间分布上,经济发展水平较高县域集中在中部地区,大致呈现“一主两副”的格局,水平较低县域集中在西部、东部的秦巴山、武陵山、幕阜山、大别山片区,且水平较低县域有向水平较高县域集中趋势,另外水平高、低县域数均有增加,表明区域差异逐步扩大;综合评价依据各个县市经济发展的得分情况,将其划分为发达、次发达、欠发达、落后四类,分属四类的县域数和人口大致呈金字塔形状;通过差异响因素分析,发现对三个典型县市经济发展影响最大的因素各不相同,表明不同县市经济发展对策的制定要因地制宜。
[Abstract]:With the development of county economy, its political, economic and social status is increasingly prominent. With the introduction of regional coordinated development policy and the coming out of the new decade plan to promote the rise of the central region, the strategic position of the central region is rising. Hubei Province as a large central province, its strategic position in the national development pattern is more prominent. By 2016, the GDP of the county economy in Hubei province accounts for more than 60% of the province, and the population, area, resources and other aspects also have obvious advantages. The county economy plays an important role in the economic development of Hubei Province. However, in the process of development of county economy in Hubei Province, there is an unbalanced problem, and the difference of the development of county economy has a tendency to expand gradually. Based on the analysis of the differences in the development of county economy from various angles, this paper reveals the difference and trend of the development of county economy, and further analyzes the factors that lead to the difference. On the basis of this, the author draws a conclusion and puts forward some relevant suggestions. This paper studies the difference of county economy from the point of view of the space-time difference of county economic development, the comprehensive evaluation and classification analysis of county and city economic development. Then select representative counties and cities inside and outside the province to analyze the factors affecting the difference of county economic development. A single index analysis method was used to analyze the spatial and temporal differences. The per capita disposable income of rural residents and the per capita regional gross domestic product (GDP) from 2001 to 2015 were selected as the measurement indicators. The panel data of 2015 are used in the comprehensive evaluation and classification analysis. The index system composed of nine indexes is selected and analyzed by principal component analysis and factor analysis. The causes of the difference were selected as Yidu, Kunshan and Yangxin, all of which adopted the data from 2001 to 2015, and used the multiple linear regression analysis method, and compared Yidu with Kunshan, Yidu and Yangxin. The conclusions obtained from the above analysis are as follows: the absolute difference in the development of county economy expands with the passage of time, and the result of relative difference analysis is almost the same, but it begins to decrease after 2013. The higher level of economic development is concentrated in the central region, which generally presents a pattern of "one master, two sets". The lower level counties are concentrated in the western, eastern Qinba Mountain, Wuling Mountain, Mufu Mountain, and the Dabie Mountains. In addition, the number of counties with high level and low level has increased, indicating that the regional differences are gradually expanding, and the comprehensive evaluation classifies each county and city as developed according to the score of economic development of each county and city. The sub-developed, underdeveloped and backward four categories, which belong to four types of counties and population, are in the shape of pyramids. Through the analysis of the difference factors, it is found that the factors that have the greatest influence on the economic development of the three typical counties and cities are different from each other. It shows that the formulation of economic development countermeasures of different counties and cities should be adapted to local conditions.
【学位授予单位】：湖北省社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】