湖南省城乡居民收入差距变动与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-06-16 15:15

本文选题：经济增长 + 城乡收入差距　；参考：《天津师范大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：自改革开放以来,湖南省经济快速发展,GDP总量跃居全国前十,是我国中部地区的重要省份之一,同时城乡居民人均可支配收入也不断提高,但是城乡收入差距却逐步拉大。本文将湖南省城乡收入与经济增长之间的关系分为五个阶段进行讨论,初步了解并认识了二者的关系及规律,发现二者走势大致呈“倒U”型；接着从湖南省整体与区域(湘东、湘西、湘中)两个角度对二者的关系进行了“倒U”曲线验证,结果符合库兹涅茨“倒U”理论,并且出现阶段性拐点,但未来有反弹的可能,其中湘东地区的“拐点”出现最早,这是因为湘东地区受益于“长株潭”一体化政策,经济最为发达；最后利用单位根检验、Johansen协整检验和格兰杰因果检验对湖南省1978-2014年经济增长与城乡收入差距的互动关系进行了分析,结果表明：湖南省的城乡收入差距与经济增长之间存在长期的稳定关系,收入差距是经济增长的格兰杰原因,二者是单向的因果关系。湖南城乡收入差距在短暂性的调整后,未来较长时间内仍然会继续扩大,目前城乡收入差距仍然处于“倒U”曲线的第一阶段,即扩大阶段。最后,对如何缩小湖南省的城乡收入差距提出了相关的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the total GDP of Hunan Province has leapt to the top 10 in China with rapid economic development. It is one of the most important provinces in the central region of China. At the same time, the per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents is also increasing, but the income gap between urban and rural areas is gradually widening. In this paper, the relationship between urban and rural income and economic growth in Hunan Province is divided into five stages. Then, from two angles of Hunan province's whole and region (Xiangdong, Xiangxi, Xiangzhong), the paper verifies the "inverted U" curve of the two, and the result accords with Kuznets' theory of "inverted U", and has a phase inflection point. But there is the possibility of rebounding in the future, in which the "inflection point" of the eastern part of Hunan appears the earliest, which is because the eastern part of Hunan has benefited from the integration policy of "Chang-Zhu-Tan", and the economy is the most developed. Finally, using the unit root test Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test, the paper analyzes the interaction between economic growth and urban-rural income gap in Hunan Province from 1978 to 2014. The results show that there is a long-term stable relationship between the urban-rural income gap and economic growth in Hunan Province. The income gap is the Granger cause of economic growth and the two are one-way causality. After the temporary adjustment, the income gap between urban and rural areas in Hunan will continue to expand for a long time in the future. At present, the income gap between urban and rural areas is still in the first stage of the "inverted U" curve, that is, the expanding stage. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas in Hunan Province.
【学位授予单位】：天津师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F124.7;F127

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