钱塘江流域经济空间分异及优化对策研究

发布时间：2018-06-18 02:49

本文选题：钱塘江流域 + 经济空间分异　；参考：《浙江农林大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：流域经济空间分异现象普遍存在，其表现形式是流域经济空间结构，其运行遵循社会经济发展规律。研究钱塘江流域的经济空间分异，可以为钱塘江流域的经济空间开发和优化提供决策指导，为确立钱塘江流域空间开发的重点和时序提供依据。本研究以县域作为研究尺度，选取2002-2012年钱塘江流域各县市统计数据，以人均GDP作为研究指标，定义2002年、2007年和2012年为观察年份，采用空间分异测度函数测度钱塘江流域经济空间分异程度、采用局域Moran指数测度钱塘江流域经济增长的局域空间自相关性，，采用Z统计值判断相关程度，将流域36个县市划分为九类经济增长空间关联型式。在此基础上分析钱塘江流域经济空间分异格局，判断识别流域增长极、核心—边缘结构、点轴结构、多核心—边缘结构，分析2002-2012年间钱塘江流域经济空间分异过程。钱塘江流域经济空间分异在2002-2012年间呈高位的不平衡状态。十年间，经济快速发展，增长结构相对稳定，以下游入海口及甬江沿线为龙头，带动全流域经济指标在全国各大流域中处于高位。钱塘江流域总体经济分异呈现下游经济增长快，中上游相对落后的局面，极化现象在这十年内略有展现，但两极分化的局面并未形成，这得益于中上游经济增长相对较慢地区的持续努力，流域整体经济增长潜力较大。钱塘江流域在这十年中呈现相似关联性县市扎堆出现的局面，在地理上连续分布，绝大部分县市的局域空间自相关性都表现为正相关。自然要素、政策要素、社会经济要素均对钱塘江流域经济空间分异产生重要影响。钱塘江流域自身具有区位优势明显、经济实力雄厚、产业基础扎实、生态资源丰富等优势，同时具有产业结构不平衡、劳动力密集型企业居多、资源环境压力较大、区域经济发展不平衡等内在劣势。国际金融危机、区域间合作升级、国家海洋战略等均会给钱塘江流域经济发展带来机遇，而诸如国家经济体制不完善、区域竞争日趋激烈、国际经济形势不确定等也会给钱塘江流域经济持续增长带来威胁和挑战。钱塘江流域经济空间分异格局优化的目标是逐步缩小分异程度，实现有差别的平衡发展。优化应遵循人与环境和谐互利原则、经济一体化原则、经济空间格局优化原则、经济集约开发原则，构建“三核、两轴、双向辐射”的空间发展框架体系，优化经济空间结构等级体系，明确流域县市经济职能结构，加强经济节点间的通达性，深化区域间社会经济合作，避免恶性竞争。
[Abstract]:The spatial differentiation of river basin economy is a common phenomenon, which is manifested in the spatial structure of basin economy, and its operation follows the law of social and economic development. The study of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River Basin can provide decision guidance for the development and optimization of economic space in Qiantang River Basin and provide the basis for establishing the emphasis and timing of spatial development of Qiantang River Basin. In this study, the county area is taken as the research scale, and the statistical data of counties and cities in Qiantang River basin from 2002 to 2012 are selected, and the per capita GDP is taken as the research index, and 2002, 2007 and 2012 are defined as the observed years. The spatial differentiation measure function is used to measure the degree of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River basin, the local Moran index is used to measure the local spatial autocorrelation of Qiantang river basin economic growth, and the Z statistical value is used to judge the correlation degree. The 36 counties and cities in the river basin are divided into nine types of spatial correlation patterns of economic growth. On this basis, the economic spatial differentiation pattern of Qiantang River basin is analyzed, and the process of economic spatial differentiation in Qiantang River basin from 2002 to 2012 is analyzed by identifying the growth poles, core-edge structure, point axis structure and multi-core-edge structure. The economic spatial differentiation of Qiantang River basin is in a high state of imbalance from 2002 to 2012. In the past ten years, the economy has developed rapidly and the structure of growth has been relatively stable. The economic indicators of the whole river basin are at a high level in all major watersheds in the whole country, with the following entering the sea mouth and along the Yongjiang River as the leading figures. The overall economic differentiation of the Qiantang River basin presents a situation of rapid economic growth in the lower reaches and relative backwardness in the upper and middle reaches. The phenomenon of polarization has shown slightly in the past ten years, but the situation of polarization has not been formed. This is due to the sustained efforts of relatively slow economic growth in the upper and middle reaches of the basin, and the overall economic growth potential of the basin is great. Qiantang River basin in the past decade presents a similar correlation of counties and cities in the appearance of the situation in the geographical distribution of continuous, most counties and cities of the local spatial autocorrelation all show positive correlation. Natural factors, policy factors and social and economic factors all have an important impact on the economic spatial differentiation of Qiantang River basin. Qiantang River basin has its own advantages, such as obvious geographical advantages, strong economic strength, solid industrial foundation, rich ecological resources, and so on. At the same time, the Qiantang River basin has such advantages as unbalanced industrial structure, most labor-intensive enterprises, and great pressure on resources and environment. Regional economic development imbalance and other inherent weaknesses. The international financial crisis, the escalation of interregional cooperation and the national marine strategy will bring opportunities to the economic development of the Qiantang River basin. For example, the national economic system is not perfect and the regional competition is becoming increasingly fierce. The uncertain international economic situation will also bring threats and challenges to the sustained economic growth of Qiantang River Basin. The objective of optimization of economic spatial differentiation pattern in Qiantang River Basin is to gradually reduce the degree of differentiation and realize balanced development. The optimization should follow the principle of harmony and mutual benefit between man and environment, the principle of economic integration, the principle of optimization of economic spatial pattern, the principle of economic intensive development, and the construction of a framework system of spatial development of "three cores, two axes and two directions radiation". We should optimize the hierarchy system of economic spatial structure, clarify the economic functional structure of counties and cities in the river basin, strengthen the accessibility among economic nodes, deepen regional social and economic cooperation, and avoid vicious competition.
【学位授予单位】：浙江农林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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