中国对东盟国家直接投资的贸易效应研究

发布时间：2018-06-19 05:42

本文选题：东盟 + 对外直接投资　；参考：《广东外语外贸大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济实力的进一步增强和融入世界经济一体化进程速度的加快,我国的对外直接投资出现了快速发展的趋势,并且形成了一定的规模。中国企业对东盟国家的直接投资也呈快速增长的发展趋势。由以往的研究可知,一国的对外直接投资和对外贸易关系密切,对外直接投资对贸易表现为互补或替代的关系,而且,不同动机的对外直接投资对母国贸易的影响路径不同。本文综合运用定性分析与定量分析相结合、理论分析与实证检验相结合的分析方法以及国际贸易学、国际投资学的相关理论知识,分析了我国对东盟地区直接投资的主要动机及对母国的贸易效应。对统计数据进行分析后,本文认为获取市场是我国对东盟国家直接投资的主要动机,获取自然资源是我国对东盟国家直接投资的重要动机。获取市场型与获取资源型对外直接投资不断增长时,中国与东盟国家的贸易也在不断增长。本文使用随机效应模型,对2003-2014年我国对东盟国家直接投资和贸易的面板数据进行了实证分析。结果表明我国以获取市场为主要动机的对东盟国家的直接投资会对贸易产生促进作用。本文利用1996-2014年的时间序列数据进行实证分析后,发现我国对东盟国家的直接投资能够在长期对我国向东盟资源类产品的进口产生显著的促进作用,而短期的促进作用并不明显。
[Abstract]:With the further strengthening of China's economic strength and the acceleration of the process of integration into the world economy, China's foreign direct investment has a rapid development trend, and has formed a certain scale. The direct investment of Chinese enterprises to ASEAN countries also shows a rapid growth trend. From the previous studies, we can see that a country's foreign direct investment is closely related to foreign trade, and foreign direct investment has a complementary or substitute relationship to trade. Moreover, different motives of foreign direct investment have different influence paths on home country's trade. This paper combines qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, theoretical analysis with empirical test, and relevant theoretical knowledge of international trade and international investment. This paper analyzes the main motives of China's direct investment in ASEAN region and its trade effects on home countries. After analyzing the statistical data, this paper holds that the acquisition of market is the main motivation for China's direct investment in ASEAN countries, and the acquisition of natural resources is an important motive for China's direct investment in ASEAN countries. China's trade with ASEAN countries is also growing as market access and resource-based FDI continue to grow. In this paper, we use the stochastic effect model to analyze the panel data of China's direct investment and trade in ASEAN countries from 2003 to 2014. The results show that China's direct investment in ASEAN countries, which is mainly motivated by market access, will promote trade. Based on the empirical analysis of time series data from 1996 to 2014, it is found that China's direct investment in ASEAN countries can significantly promote China's imports of ASEAN resource products in the long run, but the short-term promotion effect is not obvious.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.7;F125

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