京津冀协同发展背景下天津产业结构升级空间与路径分析

发布时间：2018-06-19 10:39

本文选题：产业结构升级 + 超前系数　；参考：《现代城市研究》2017年02期

【摘要】：采用传统偏离—份额分析法,以全国为参照系,分析了天津市产业结构的发展历程;依据偏离—份额分析法的空间模型,以京津冀地区为参照系,并用城市经济引力模型的城市间产业引力来计算空间权重,分析了天津产业结构的升级空间;并使用超前系数和Moore值测评了天津产业结构升级的方向和速率。结论表明,天津市第二产业区域竞争力优势较大,第三产业发展受来自全国和京津冀区域的积极影响较大。因此,京津冀协同发展背景下天津市产业结构升级应当继续保持第二产业的竞争优势,并且发展与第二产业相配套的生产性服务业,实现二、三产业协同发展。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the development course of Tianjin's industrial structure by using the traditional deviation share analysis method, taking the whole country as the reference frame, and taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the reference system, according to the spatial model of the deviation share analysis method, and taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the reference system. The spatial weight is calculated by the industrial gravity of the urban economic gravity model, and the upgrading space of Tianjin's industrial structure is analyzed, and the direction and speed of the upgrading of Tianjin's industrial structure are evaluated by using the leading coefficient and Moore value. The conclusion shows that the regional competitive advantage of the secondary industry in Tianjin is great, and the development of the tertiary industry is positively influenced by the whole country and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Therefore, under the background of the coordinated development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, the upgrading of Tianjin's industrial structure should continue to maintain the competitive advantage of the secondary industry, and develop the producer service industry matching with the secondary industry, and realize the coordinated development of the second and third industries.
【作者单位】：天津商业大学经济学院;
【基金】：天津高等学校人文社会科学研究项目“商贸流通业与天津经济的互动与协调研究”(20102402)
【分类号】：F127

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