吉林省人口老龄化对消费结构的影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-30 02:38

本文选题：人口老龄化 + 消费结构　；参考：《东北师范大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：人口老龄化是老年人口在总人口中比重提高的过程，是指人口年龄结构的变化，它反映一个地区（或国家）老年人口增长的趋势和过程。根据国际社会通例，60岁及以上人口占总人口10%以上，或65岁及以上人口占总人口7%以上的国家被称为老年型国家。目前，世界上很多发达国家和发展中国家都面临着不同程度的人口老龄化问题，由于低生育率水平以及死亡率的下降和平均预期寿命的延长，人口老龄化的进程不断加快。人口老龄化问题正成为影响一个国家或地区社会经济发展的重要因素。 2003年，吉林省进入老龄化社会。吉林省人口老龄化的特点体现在未富先老，增长速度快等。老年人群的消费总量和消费结构与中青年、婴幼年的人群都有巨大的差异，因此吉林省人口老龄化水平的加深势必将影响到吉林省居民消费结构的转变。本文从中外学者对人口老龄化与消费之间关系的研究文献梳理入手，分析了吉林省人口老龄化及其消费结构的概况和特点，在总结吉林省人口老龄化具有老龄化速度快，全国相对较低，未富先老、未备先老等特点的基础上，深入研究了消费结构的特点和变化，并在理论上探讨了吉林省人口老龄化对消费结构的影响路径。在实证分析部分，将2004-2011年吉林省人口老龄化和消费结构的相关数据进行灰色关联计量分析，还对样本数据进行统计描述，解释实证检验结果，并通过模型统计检验结果分析得出了人口老龄化与医疗保健、交通通信、衣着和食品等消费方面的关联度非常高的结论，继而针对吉林省人口老龄化的具体情况，提出企业应对人口老龄化的对策建议：调整产业结构，，适应消费结构的变化；优化营销策略和方法，服务老年人消费等，为合理引导老年人口理性消费以及优化老年人口消费结构提供了切实可行的依据。
[Abstract]:The aging of the population is the process of increasing the proportion of the aged population in the total population, and the change of the age structure of the population, which reflects the trend and process of the growth of the elderly population in a region (or a country). According to the general rules of the international community, people aged 60 and above account for more than 10% of the total population, or countries with a population of 65 years and over account for more than 7% of the total population. At present, many developed and developing countries in the world are faced with the problem of population aging to varying degrees. Due to the low fertility level, the decline of mortality rate and the prolongation of average life expectancy, the process of population aging is speeding up. The problem of population aging is becoming an important factor affecting the social and economic development of a country or region. In 2003, Jilin Province entered an aging society. Jilin Province population aging characteristics reflected in the rich before the old, rapid growth rate and so on. The total consumption and consumption structure of the aged people are different from those of the middle and young people and the infant and young people. Therefore, the deepening of the aging level of the population in Jilin Province will inevitably affect the transformation of the consumption structure of the residents in Jilin Province. This paper begins with the research literature of Chinese and foreign scholars on the relationship between population aging and consumption, analyzes the general situation and characteristics of population aging and its consumption structure in Jilin Province, and concludes that the aging of population in Jilin Province has a rapid aging speed. On the basis of the characteristics of relatively low, rich, old and unprepared, this paper deeply studies the characteristics and changes of consumption structure, and theoretically discusses the influence of aging population on consumption structure in Jilin Province. In the part of empirical analysis, the relevant data of population aging and consumption structure of Jilin Province from 2004 to 2011 are analyzed by grey correlation econometric analysis, and the sample data are also statistically described to explain the results of empirical test. And through the analysis of model statistical test results, we draw the conclusion that the aging population has a very high correlation with the consumption of health care, transportation, communications, clothing and food, etc., and then in view of the specific situation of population aging in Jilin Province, The countermeasures and suggestions for enterprises to cope with the aging population are put forward, such as adjusting the industrial structure, adapting to the changes of consumption structure, optimizing marketing strategies and methods, serving the consumption of the elderly, etc. It provides a practical basis for rational consumption of the elderly population and optimization of the consumption structure of the elderly population.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F126.1;C924.2

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