国有企业对外直接投资环境评价模型及政府前期监管研究

发布时间：2018-07-02 10:26

本文选题：国有企业 + 对外直接投资环境　；参考：《天津大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：2012年，全球经济持续低迷，欧元区债务危机继续深化，美国财政悬崖问题未决，新兴经济体增长速度普遍放缓，因此各国为保护本国产业出台的贸易管理及限制措施不断增多，我国出口产品面临的贸易壁垒形势十分严峻，而对外直接投资（Foreign Direct Investment, FDI）成为化解这种局面的重要手段。根据《2012年度中国对外直接投资统计公报》显示，在非金融类对外直接投资存量中，中央企业和单位占到了六成左右。然而“走出去”战略实施十多年来国企对外直接投资的绩效却不容乐观，国有资产在海外的流失率较高，政府对海外国有资产的监管也存在着一定的问题。因此，建立一套科学、合理的适用于国有企业的对外直接投资环境评价体系至关重要，这不仅有利于国有企业准确地评价东道国的政治、经济、法律、社会和自然等诸多环境因素，引导国有企业进行科学有效的投资，提前规避可控风险，而且有利于提高国有企业在世界经济中的竞争力，增强其全球化的运营能力，，提升我国在世界产业链中的地位。本文针对《国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要》提出的“加强对外直接投资项目评估”的建议，以国有企业作为研究对象，从宏观和微观两个层面设计对外直接投资环境评价指标体系，并运用集值统计原理对指标进行赋值，采用主观与客观相结合的方法确定指标权重，构建评价模型。随后将该模型应用于中海油的对外直接投资实践中，根据应用结果发现模型中存在的问题，增加了中观层面的指标和变动指标模块，形成了一套适用于我国国有企业的对外直接投资环境评价的动态模型。最后，根据对外直接投资环境评价结果，结合发达国家的成功经验，对我国政府对海外国有资产的前期监管提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In 2012, as the global economy continued to slump, the debt crisis in the eurozone deepened, the fiscal cliff in the United States remained unresolved and the growth rate of emerging economies generally slowed, trade management and restrictions to protect their industries were on the rise. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is an important means to resolve the export trade barrier in China. According to the Statistical Bulletin of China's Foreign Direct Investment in 2012, central enterprises and units account for about 60% of the stock of non-financial foreign direct investment. However, the performance of SOEs' foreign direct investment in the past ten years is not optimistic, the rate of loss of state-owned assets abroad is high, and there are some problems in the government's supervision of overseas state-owned assets. Therefore, it is very important to establish a set of scientific and reasonable evaluation system of foreign direct investment environment for state-owned enterprises, which is not only conducive to the accurate evaluation of the politics, economy and law of the host country. Many environmental factors, such as society and nature, have guided state-owned enterprises to make scientific and effective investments to avoid controllable risks ahead of schedule, and are conducive to improving the competitiveness of state-owned enterprises in the world economy and enhancing their ability to operate globally. Promote our country's position in the world industrial chain. In view of the proposal of "strengthening the Evaluation of Foreign Direct Investment projects" put forward in the outline of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development, this paper takes state-owned enterprises as the research object. This paper designs the evaluation index system of foreign direct investment environment from the macro and micro levels, and sets up the evaluation model by using the set value statistics principle to assign the index, and the method of combining subjective and objective to determine the index weight. Then the model is applied to the FDI practice of CNOOC. According to the application results, the existing problems in the model are found, and the index and change index modules in the meso-level are added. A set of dynamic models for foreign direct investment environment evaluation of state-owned enterprises in China are established. Finally, according to the evaluation results of foreign direct investment environment, combined with the successful experience of developed countries, this paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations for the early supervision of overseas state-owned assets by our government.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F276.1;F125.5

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