资本品进口与中国TFP增长关系的实证分析

发布时间：2018-07-03 09:22

本文选题：国际贸易 + 进口　；参考：《辽宁大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：如今，伴随着人类文明的飞速发展，世界经济取得了巨大的成就，人力、资本这些投入要素在推动经济增长的过程中起到了不可替代的作用。但是根据索罗模型，经济长期增长的源动力是技术的进步，即全要素生产率的提高。本国的研发投入必然会促进本国全要素生产率的提高，但是国外的技术进步也会通过贸易对进口国的全要素生产率的提高具有重大的促进作用。发展中国家比起发达国家更需要进口的这种技术溢出效应。我国参与国际制造分工的方式自上世纪九十年代初期以来,发生了变化。随着我国制造业水平的提升，我国的加工贸易向更高层次进行了发展，从国外大量进口高技术含量的零部件和资本品，加工组装成产品，然后出口,导致我国资本品进口总额逐年提高。资本品蕴含大量先进技术，给我国带来了国外的最新技术成果，我国进口的资本品，对我国的技术进步即全要素生产率的提高进口起到了非常大的推动作用，促进了我国现代化向更深的层次发展，在推动我国经济可持续健康的发展上发挥了巨大的作用。本文采用实证分析方法，深入研究了我国资本品的进口和全要素生产率二者之间的关系，得出如下结论：（1）进口资本品的技术溢出效应确实存在，进口的资本品可以提高我国的全要素生产率，从发达国家进口的资本品要比从发展中国家进口的资本品对中国的技术溢出效应大；（2）人力资本水平在提高我国全要素生产率方面有重大的作用，，高的人力资本水平是进口资本品产生技术溢出的前提条件；（3）技术溢出效应存在时滞，进口的资本品的技术溢出会在第二年会达到峰值。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, with the rapid development of human civilization, great achievements have been made in the world economy. The input factors of human and capital have played an irreplaceable role in promoting economic growth. But according to the solo model, the source of the long-term economic growth is the progress of technology, that is, the improvement of the total factor productivity. It will inevitably promote the increase in the total factor productivity of the country, but foreign technological progress will also have a significant effect on the increase of the total factor productivity of the importing countries through trade. The developing countries need to import this technology spillover effect more than the developed countries.
The way our country participates in the international manufacturing division has changed since the early 90s of last century. With the improvement of China's manufacturing level, our processing trade has been developed to a higher level. A large number of high technology components and capital goods are imported from foreign countries, the addition of workers is assembled into products, and then export leads to the capital goods of our country. The total amount of imports has been increased year by year. There are a lot of advanced technology in capital goods, which has brought the latest technological achievements of foreign countries. The import of capital goods in our country has played a very important role in promoting the improvement of our country's technological progress, that is, the increase of the total factor productivity, which promotes our country's modernized development to a deeper level and promotes the economy of our country. The development of sustainable health has played a great role.
This paper studies the relationship between the import of capital goods and the total factor productivity of our country by the empirical analysis method, and draws the following conclusions: (1) the technical spillover effect of the imported capital is true, the imported capital goods can improve the total factor productivity of our country, and the capital goods imported from the developed countries are compared with the development of China. The capital goods imported from home have great effect on China's technology spillover; (2) the level of human capital has a significant role in improving China's total factor productivity. The high level of human capital is the prerequisite for the technology spillover of imported capital goods; (3) the technology spillover effect is stagnant and the technology spillover of imported capital goods will be in the second year meeting. Reach the peak.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124;F752

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