信任、信心与居民消费支出——来自中国家庭追踪调查数据的证据

发布时间：2018-07-17 16:38

【摘要】：本文利用2012年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,研究了家庭社会信任对家庭消费的影响。研究结果表明:(1)社会信任对居民家庭总消费支出存在显著的积极影响,这种作用在多方面的稳健性检验下依然显著;(2)考虑到消费水平异质性,对不同消费水平的群体而言,其社会信任对于居民家庭消费的促进作用存在差异:在消费水平较高的群体中,社会信任对消费的拉动作用较大,而对消费水平较低的群体而言,这一作用并不明显;(3)进一步考察了社会信任对居民家庭消费结构的影响,事实上,社会信任主要影响了家庭衣着消费、居住类消费及家庭设备和文教娱乐类消费;(4)随着经济发展,社会信任在经济发展的较低和较高阶段能够显著影响居民家庭消费。本文的研究对理解社会信任影响消费的机制、提升我国居民消费水平有着重要意义。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the impact of family social trust on household consumption was studied by the Chinese family tracking survey (CFPS) in 2012. The results showed that: (1) social trust has a significant positive impact on household total consumption expenditure, and this effect is still significant under the robustness examination of many aspects; (2) considering the heterogeneity of consumption level, it is not correct. In terms of the level of consumption, there are differences in the promotion of social trust on household consumption. In the groups with higher consumption level, social trust has a greater role in stimulating consumption, while the effect is not obvious to the lower consumption groups. (3) further investigation of social trust for household consumption. In fact, social trust mainly affects household clothing consumption, residential consumption and household equipment and cultural and educational entertainment. (4) with economic development, social trust can significantly affect household consumption at a lower and higher stage of economic development. The study of this paper has promoted the mechanism of understanding social trust affecting consumption. The consumption level of China's residents is of great significance.
【作者单位】：中央财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目(14ZDB120)资助
【分类号】：F126.1

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