研究与试验发展业的宏观经济效应

发布时间：2018-07-21 19:54

【摘要】：本文使用投入产出模型研究了中国研究与试验发展业的宏观经济效应。研发业的就业效应在服务业中居于中等位置,其劳动报酬系数存在下降态势,对就业的带动能力在减弱。研发业投资回报率较低,产业没有形成内生发展能力,但是营业盈余系数有上升趋势。研发业最终消费系数在服务业中位于较前位置,是促进消费的重要服务业,但对其消费主要体现为政府消费,居民消费很少,其最终消费系数有下降趋势。研发业出口效应较弱,其产出对出口影响较小,但是其对出口影响增强的势头已经形成。研发业进口系数在服务业中居于首位,其对进口依赖较强,对进口依赖较强的态势已经形成,并将在较长时间内保持这种趋势。研发业的出口劳动直接消耗系数和就业乘数都较大。
[Abstract]:In this paper, we use input-output model to study the macroeconomic effects of China's R & D industry. The employment effect of R & D industry is in the middle position in the service industry. The rate of return on investment in R & D is low, the industry has no endogenous development ability, but the operating surplus coefficient has an upward trend. The final consumption coefficient of R & D industry is in the front position in the service industry, and it is an important service industry to promote consumption. But the consumption of R & D industry is mainly reflected in government consumption, the resident consumption is very little, and the final consumption coefficient has a downward trend. The export effect of R & D industry is weak and its output has little effect on export, but the momentum of increasing its impact on export has been formed. The import coefficient of R & D industry occupies the first place in the service industry, and its dependence on imports and imports has been formed, and it will maintain this trend for a long time. The R & D industry's export labor consumption coefficient and employment multiplier are larger.
【作者单位】：江苏师范大学商学院;中国人民银行灌云县支行;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“科学研究事业的产业关联效应研究——以东部经济发达地区为例”(12YJC790160) 江苏省社科基金项目“苏北新型城镇化与江苏区域协调发展研究”(15EYD005)
【分类号】：F124.3

【参考文献】