产业结构与河南省经济增长的关系研究
发布时间：2018-07-23 13:51
【摘要】：改革开放以来，河南产业结构发生了很大的变化，对经济增长起到了很好的促进作用。改革开放前期河南省经济增长十分缓慢,后来省政府出台一系列政策加快产业调整步伐,促进经济增长,我们发现近几年来河南省经济发展速度很快,所以研究河南省30多年来产业结构变化与经济增长的关系,有助于为更合理的调整产业结构提供参考意见,具有重要的现实意义。 作为中部农业大省和人口大省的河南一直在向工业大省和经济大省努力，改革开放以来，的确发生了翻天覆地的变化，产业结构逐渐向合理化迈进，经济也持续上升，但上升的速度在每阶段相差很大。以往很多学者也是通过各种方法力求找到产业结构变化与经济增长的关系，与这些研究比较，一方面，，分阶段考虑两者之间的关系，可以更明确的看出产业结构变化对经济的影响，使用灰色关联度分析将三次产业对河南省GDP的影响大小进行排序，发现河南省不同阶段对产业结构调整后,经济发展的快慢是不同的,各阶段重视的产业不同对经济增长有很大影响，另一方面,选用多元线性回归的方法建立了河南省三次产业的发展对经济增长贡献的回归模型方程，根据得出的方程我们发现第一产业每增长0.211可以带动GDP增长1个单位，第二产业每增长0.421可以带动GDP增长1个单位，第三产业每增长0.282可以带动GDP增长1个单位。河南省经济增长拉动作用从大到小是第二产业、第三产业、第一产业。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Henan industrial structure has undergone great changes, and played a good role in promoting economic growth. In the early stage of reform and opening up, Henan's economic growth was very slow. Later, the provincial government issued a series of policies to speed up the pace of industrial adjustment and promote economic growth. In recent years, we found that Henan's economy has developed very fast. So the study of the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth in Henan Province in the past 30 years is helpful to provide reference for more reasonable adjustment of industrial structure and has important practical significance. Henan, as a large agricultural province and a large population province in the central region, has been making great efforts towards the major industrial and economic provinces. Since the reform and opening up, it has indeed undergone earth-shaking changes, the industrial structure has gradually moved towards rationalization, and the economy has continued to rise. But the rate of increase varies greatly from stage to stage. In the past, many scholars also tried to find out the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth through various methods. Compared with these studies, on the one hand, they considered the relationship between the two in stages. We can more clearly see the impact of industrial structure changes on the economy, using grey correlation analysis to rank the impact of three industries on GDP in Henan Province, and find out that the industrial structure of Henan Province has been adjusted at different stages. The speed of economic development is different, and different industries in different stages have great influence on economic growth. On the other hand, the regression model equation of the contribution of the development of three industries to economic growth in Henan Province is established by using the method of multiple linear regression. According to the equation, we find that every 0.211 growth in primary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit, 0.421 in secondary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit, and 0.282 in tertiary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit. Economic growth in Henan Province from large to small is the second industry, tertiary industry, primary industry.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3;F127
本文编号：2139615
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Henan industrial structure has undergone great changes, and played a good role in promoting economic growth. In the early stage of reform and opening up, Henan's economic growth was very slow. Later, the provincial government issued a series of policies to speed up the pace of industrial adjustment and promote economic growth. In recent years, we found that Henan's economy has developed very fast. So the study of the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth in Henan Province in the past 30 years is helpful to provide reference for more reasonable adjustment of industrial structure and has important practical significance. Henan, as a large agricultural province and a large population province in the central region, has been making great efforts towards the major industrial and economic provinces. Since the reform and opening up, it has indeed undergone earth-shaking changes, the industrial structure has gradually moved towards rationalization, and the economy has continued to rise. But the rate of increase varies greatly from stage to stage. In the past, many scholars also tried to find out the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth through various methods. Compared with these studies, on the one hand, they considered the relationship between the two in stages. We can more clearly see the impact of industrial structure changes on the economy, using grey correlation analysis to rank the impact of three industries on GDP in Henan Province, and find out that the industrial structure of Henan Province has been adjusted at different stages. The speed of economic development is different, and different industries in different stages have great influence on economic growth. On the other hand, the regression model equation of the contribution of the development of three industries to economic growth in Henan Province is established by using the method of multiple linear regression. According to the equation, we find that every 0.211 growth in primary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit, 0.421 in secondary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit, and 0.282 in tertiary industry can increase GDP by 1 unit. Economic growth in Henan Province from large to small is the second industry, tertiary industry, primary industry.
【学位授予单位】：重庆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3;F127
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