中部地区能源消费与经济增长的关系研究
发布时间：2018-08-09 13:34
【摘要】：随着经济的发展，能源对经济增长的影响越来越突出，各国学者对能源与经济增长的关系越来越关注。中部地区是中国内陆承东启西，连接南北的枢纽，是粮仓，是现代工业的摇篮，能源储备丰富。近年来，中部地区经济快速发展，然而其能源消费结构单一、能源利用率低在一定程度上制约着经济的发展，，并对中部地区未来经济发展产生一定威胁。因而，研究中部地区能源消费与经济增长协调持续发展具有现实意义。 本文梳理并借鉴国内外学者对能源消费和经济增长关系的研究成果，阐述相关理论；对中部地区1978-2012年能源消费和国内生产总值的统计数据进行处理，分析中部地区能源消费与经济增长现状和关联关系；运用平稳性检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型对中部地区能源消费与经济增长关系进行实证研究。结果表明：能源消费与经济增长在长期内有稳定均衡的关系，能源消费总量是经济增长的单向格兰杰原因。根据分析结果及存在的问题提出保障能源供给，优化能源消费结构，提高能源利用率，加大科技投入，实施合理的能源发展战略等对策。 通过以上研究可明确中部地区能源消费与经济增长之间的关系，为职能部门促进中部地区经济社会可持续发展提供政策支持；为发展规划的制定提供依据；对促进中部地区发展低碳经济、循环经济，实现能源消费与经济协调可持续发展具有深远意义。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy, the influence of energy on economic growth is more and more prominent, and scholars all over the world pay more and more attention to the relationship between energy and economic growth. The central part of China is the hub connecting north and south, the granary, the cradle of modern industry and abundant energy reserves. In recent years, the economy of the central region has developed rapidly, but its energy consumption structure is single, the low energy utilization rate restricts the economic development to a certain extent, and poses a certain threat to the future economic development of the central region. Therefore, it is of practical significance to study the coordinated and sustainable development of energy consumption and economic growth in the central region. This paper reviews and draws lessons from the research results of domestic and foreign scholars on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, expounds the relevant theories, and deals with the statistical data of energy consumption and GDP in the central region from 1978 to 2012. This paper analyzes the current situation and correlation relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region, and makes an empirical study on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region by using the stationary test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and error correction model. The results show that there is a stable equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the long run, and the total amount of energy consumption is the one-way Granger cause of economic growth. According to the analysis results and existing problems, this paper puts forward some countermeasures, such as ensuring energy supply, optimizing energy consumption structure, improving energy utilization ratio, increasing scientific and technological input, and carrying out reasonable energy development strategy. Through the above research, we can clarify the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region, provide policy support for the functional departments to promote the sustainable economic and social development of the central region, and provide the basis for the formulation of development plans. It is of great significance to promote the development of low-carbon economy, circular economy and the coordinated and sustainable development of energy consumption and economy in the central region.
【学位授予单位】：江西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F426.2
本文编号：2174235
[Abstract]:With the development of economy, the influence of energy on economic growth is more and more prominent, and scholars all over the world pay more and more attention to the relationship between energy and economic growth. The central part of China is the hub connecting north and south, the granary, the cradle of modern industry and abundant energy reserves. In recent years, the economy of the central region has developed rapidly, but its energy consumption structure is single, the low energy utilization rate restricts the economic development to a certain extent, and poses a certain threat to the future economic development of the central region. Therefore, it is of practical significance to study the coordinated and sustainable development of energy consumption and economic growth in the central region. This paper reviews and draws lessons from the research results of domestic and foreign scholars on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, expounds the relevant theories, and deals with the statistical data of energy consumption and GDP in the central region from 1978 to 2012. This paper analyzes the current situation and correlation relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region, and makes an empirical study on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region by using the stationary test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and error correction model. The results show that there is a stable equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the long run, and the total amount of energy consumption is the one-way Granger cause of economic growth. According to the analysis results and existing problems, this paper puts forward some countermeasures, such as ensuring energy supply, optimizing energy consumption structure, improving energy utilization ratio, increasing scientific and technological input, and carrying out reasonable energy development strategy. Through the above research, we can clarify the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in the central region, provide policy support for the functional departments to promote the sustainable economic and social development of the central region, and provide the basis for the formulation of development plans. It is of great significance to promote the development of low-carbon economy, circular economy and the coordinated and sustainable development of energy consumption and economy in the central region.
【学位授予单位】：江西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F426.2
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