泛长三角区域城镇化进程中城乡收入差异的空间溢出效应研究
发布时间：2018-08-24 11:17
【摘要】：世界各国的经济发展过程中总伴随着城镇化和居民收入差异这两个问题,因此长久以来城镇化和居民收入差异的关系都是国内外众多学者关注和研究的重点。我国的长三角洲地区开发历史悠久,地理位置优越,是我国经济增长最为活跃的区域经济合作体。泛长三角区域作为以长三角洲为基础发展起来的新兴经济区,既有经济实力雄厚的长三角洲城市群,同时又有经济相对落后的江苏省北部城市、浙江省西部城市以及安徽省各城市。因此,对于泛长三角区域而言,城镇化水平和城乡收入差异均存在显著的地区差异性,以此区域为例,研究如何更好地推进城镇化进程,以及缩小城乡收入差异,具有更好的典型性和重要的现实意义。本文的内容由五个章节构成。第一章为绪论部分,论述研究背景和意义,文献综述,研究方案以及创新点和不足之处。第二章为理论部分,对城镇化、新型城镇化和空间溢出效应进行定义,并介绍了城镇化和城乡收入差异的相关理论,为模型建立提供理论支持。第三章对泛长三角区域城乡收入差异进行了空间统计分析,发现其存在显著的空间自相关性,为第四章建立空间计量模型提供了合理性支持。第四章为实证部分,首先,根据前文所述理论,建立模型；其次,分别建立不考虑空间溢出效应的计量模型和考虑空间溢出效应的空间面板计量模型；最后,对模型实证结果进行比较分析。第五章为结论和政策建议,基于前文实证分析结果,对更好地推进城镇化进程和缩小城乡收入差异提出政策建议。根据本文的分析,主要有以下结论： (1)2003-2012年,泛长三角区域城乡收入差异呈先上升后下降趋势和阶梯状分布,并且具有显著的正空间自相关性。(2)城乡收入差异影响因素的影响程度和方向取决于城镇化进程中的路径选择,人口城镇化率、第二和第三产业产值增加值占比、外商直接投资占比和教育支出占比对缩小城乡收入差异起到正向作用,政府财政支出占比和存贷款余额占比对缩小城乡收入差异起到消极作用。 (3)泛长三角区域的城乡收入差异存在空间溢出效应,即相邻地区的城乡收入差异会对本地区的城乡收入差异产生影响,并且在不考虑空间溢出效应时,会低估经济发展水平、产业结构、金融发展规模、教育投入对城乡收入差异的影响,并且高估人口结构、政府干预、对外开放程度对城乡收入差异的影响。(4)泛长三角区域的经济发展水平与城乡收入差异之间存在“倒U型”趋势,同时得出人均GDP的倒U拐点为19985元。
[Abstract]:The economic development of countries in the world is accompanied by urbanization and income difference, so the relationship between urbanization and income difference has long been the focus of attention and research by many scholars at home and abroad. China's long delta has a long history of development and is the most active regional economic cooperation in China. As a newly developed economic zone based on the long delta, the pan-Yangtze River Delta region has not only the economic strength of the urban agglomeration of the long Delta, but also the relatively backward cities in northern Jiangsu Province. Cities in the west of Zhejiang Province and cities in Anhui Province. Therefore, for the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, there are significant regional differences in urbanization level and urban-rural income difference. As an example, this paper studies how to better promote the urbanization process and reduce the urban-rural income gap. It has better typicality and important practical significance. The content of this paper consists of five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance, literature review, research programs, innovations and shortcomings. The second chapter is the theoretical part, which defines urbanization, new urbanization and spatial spillover effect, and introduces the related theories of urbanization and urban-rural income difference, which provides theoretical support for the establishment of the model. The third chapter makes a spatial statistical analysis on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, and finds that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation, which provides reasonable support for the establishment of spatial measurement model in the fourth chapter. The fourth chapter is the empirical part. Firstly, according to the theory mentioned above, the model is established; secondly, the econometric model without spatial spillover effect and the spatial panel econometric model considering spatial spillover effect are established respectively; finally, The empirical results of the model are compared and analyzed. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy recommendations, based on the results of empirical analysis, to better promote the process of urbanization and reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas put forward policy recommendations. According to the analysis of this paper, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region increased first and then decreased, and the distribution was ladder shape. And has significant positive spatial autocorrelation. (2) the influence degree and direction of the influencing factors of income difference between urban and rural areas depend on the path choice in the process of urbanization, the urbanization rate, the added value of the second and the third industry output value. The proportion of foreign direct investment and education expenditure plays a positive role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, while the proportion of government financial expenditure and the balance of deposits and loans play a negative role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. (3) there exists spatial spillover effect on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, that is, the urban-rural income difference in adjacent areas will have an impact on the urban-rural income difference in this region, and the level of economic development will be underestimated when the spatial spillover effect is not considered. The industrial structure, the scale of financial development, the impact of educational input on the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the overestimation of the population structure, government intervention, The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the income difference between urban and rural areas. (4) there is a "inverted U" trend between the level of economic development and the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region. At the same time, the inverted U-inflection point of per capita GDP is 19985 yuan.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.7
[Abstract]:The economic development of countries in the world is accompanied by urbanization and income difference, so the relationship between urbanization and income difference has long been the focus of attention and research by many scholars at home and abroad. China's long delta has a long history of development and is the most active regional economic cooperation in China. As a newly developed economic zone based on the long delta, the pan-Yangtze River Delta region has not only the economic strength of the urban agglomeration of the long Delta, but also the relatively backward cities in northern Jiangsu Province. Cities in the west of Zhejiang Province and cities in Anhui Province. Therefore, for the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, there are significant regional differences in urbanization level and urban-rural income difference. As an example, this paper studies how to better promote the urbanization process and reduce the urban-rural income gap. It has better typicality and important practical significance. The content of this paper consists of five chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance, literature review, research programs, innovations and shortcomings. The second chapter is the theoretical part, which defines urbanization, new urbanization and spatial spillover effect, and introduces the related theories of urbanization and urban-rural income difference, which provides theoretical support for the establishment of the model. The third chapter makes a spatial statistical analysis on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, and finds that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation, which provides reasonable support for the establishment of spatial measurement model in the fourth chapter. The fourth chapter is the empirical part. Firstly, according to the theory mentioned above, the model is established; secondly, the econometric model without spatial spillover effect and the spatial panel econometric model considering spatial spillover effect are established respectively; finally, The empirical results of the model are compared and analyzed. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and policy recommendations, based on the results of empirical analysis, to better promote the process of urbanization and reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas put forward policy recommendations. According to the analysis of this paper, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2012, the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region increased first and then decreased, and the distribution was ladder shape. And has significant positive spatial autocorrelation. (2) the influence degree and direction of the influencing factors of income difference between urban and rural areas depend on the path choice in the process of urbanization, the urbanization rate, the added value of the second and the third industry output value. The proportion of foreign direct investment and education expenditure plays a positive role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, while the proportion of government financial expenditure and the balance of deposits and loans play a negative role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. (3) there exists spatial spillover effect on the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region, that is, the urban-rural income difference in adjacent areas will have an impact on the urban-rural income difference in this region, and the level of economic development will be underestimated when the spatial spillover effect is not considered. The industrial structure, the scale of financial development, the impact of educational input on the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the overestimation of the population structure, government intervention, The influence of the degree of opening to the outside world on the income difference between urban and rural areas. (4) there is a "inverted U" trend between the level of economic development and the income difference between urban and rural areas in the pan-Yangtze River Delta region. At the same time, the inverted U-inflection point of per capita GDP is 19985 yuan.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.7
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