出口产品的异质性与国家经济复杂度演化——基于反射法测算的国家经济复杂度指数

发布时间：2018-08-27 19:38

【摘要】：本文借助复杂网络的方法,根据2080329组SITC四位码数据,计算了1999—2013年149个国家的经济复杂度指数并揭示其演化规律,同时具体分析中国的比较优势产品。通过研究发现不同国家的经济复杂度指数变化基本平稳,发达国家的经济复杂度指数大大高于发展中国家;经济复杂度与经济增长之间总体保持着明显的正相关关系。此外,中国具有比较优势产品的数量一直在增加、多样性特征明显,但由于高复杂度产品种类的缺失,增长空间在减少,经济复杂度演化并不乐观。因此,中国经济结构调整的落脚点是强化创新和技术进步,提高产品的异质性和专业化程度。
[Abstract]:Based on 2080329 sets of SITC four-bit code data, the economic complexity index of 149 countries from 1999 to 2013 is calculated and its evolution law is revealed by the method of complex network. At the same time, the comparative advantage products of China are analyzed in detail. It is found that the change of economic complexity index in different countries is basically stable, the economic complexity index in developed countries is much higher than that in developing countries, and there is a significant positive correlation between economic complexity and economic growth. In addition, the number of products with comparative advantage in China has been increasing, and the diversity characteristics are obvious. However, due to the lack of high complexity products, the growth space is decreasing, and the evolution of economic complexity is not optimistic. Therefore, the goal of China's economic restructuring is to strengthen innovation and technological progress, and to improve the heterogeneity and specialization of products.
【作者单位】：大连理工大学管理与经济学部;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金“R&D资金配置主体技术选择协同与配置效率提升机制研究:产品空间理论视角”(71473025) 辽宁哲学社会科学规划基金重点项目“调结构与稳增长关系研究”(L16AJL002);辽宁哲学社会科学规划基金重点项目“资源环境约束下辽宁经济增长效率的测度及提升策略问题研究”(20171s1ktyb-040) 中文社科科研专题(智库项目)“金融创新与技术创新协同机制研究”(DUT17RW217)
【分类号】：F113;F746.12

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