我国的增加值贸易与全球价值链竞争力研究
发布时间：2018-08-31 19:21
【摘要】：一直以来,国际贸易都是以跨境原则为基础进行统计,随着中间品贸易的兴起,这种传统的总量统计方式显现出了很大的局限性。为了真实地衡量国际贸易状况,“增加值贸易”测算方法逐渐受到各国的重视和认可。它采用投入产出技术,对本国产生的增加值部分进行统计,可以规避诸如对中间产品重复统计等传统贸易统计方式中的问题,更加全面地反映一国的实际贸易状况。与此同时,经济全球化的不断深入使得越来越多的国家依靠自身的资源禀赋优势参与到国际分工当中。国家间的竞争已不单只是在产品层面上展开,还上升至全球价值链中进行角力。虽然生产链条日益延伸和扩散,各国借此获得了进入全球市场的机会,但是不同国家在全球价值链中所获得的贸易收益及真实的竞争力水平却并不相同。 本文利用Stehrer(2012)的模型和WIOD数据测算中国在1995-2009年间的增加值贸易额,并与传统贸易统计方式测算出的数值进行了比较,旨在明确两种算法的差异。此外,在增加值贸易测算方法的基础上构建了GVC_Participation、 GVC_Income和RCA_GVC三个指标来定量地衡量我国在全球价值链中的竞争力水平。通过Koopman et al.(2010)的模型和OECD-WTO数据测算出我国的全球价值链参与程度,以及用Timmeret al.(2013)的模型和WIOD数据计算我国的全球价值链收益和产业的显性比较优势。 本文得出的主要结论如下： 1：传统的贸易统计方式高估了真实的出口额,夸大了贸易的失衡程度。我国的出口贸易额被扭曲,扭曲程度在20%-40%之间,且呈现不断加大的趋势。 2.中国在全球价值链中的竞争力水平在不断上升,主要体现在全球价值链参与程度加深及全球价值链收益提高两方面。但制造业各产业间的竞争力却不尽相同,非耐用品行业和装备制造业的竞争力较高,其他制造业产业的竞争力仍然较低。
[Abstract]:All along, international trade is based on cross-border principle. With the rise of intermediate trade, this traditional method of total volume statistics has shown great limitations. In order to truly measure the international trade situation, the value added trade (VVT) calculation method has been paid more and more attention to by all countries. It uses input-output technology to calculate the value added part produced by our country, which can avoid the problems in traditional trade statistics such as repeated statistics of intermediate products, and more comprehensively reflect the actual trade situation of a country. At the same time, with the deepening of economic globalization, more and more countries participate in the international division of labor depending on their natural resources. Competition between countries is not only at the product level, but also into global value chains. Although the production chain is expanding and spreading, countries get the opportunity to enter the global market, but different countries have different trade gains and real competitiveness level in the global value chain. This paper uses the model of Stehrer (2012) and WIOD data to calculate the value added trade of China from 1995 to 2009, and compares it with the value calculated by traditional trade statistics, in order to clarify the difference between the two algorithms. In addition, three indexes, GVC_Participation, GVC_Income and RCA_GVC, are constructed to measure the competitiveness of our country in the global value chain on the basis of the measurement method of value added trade. Based on the Koopman et al. (2010) model and OECD-WTO data, the degree of China's global value chain participation is calculated, and the explicit comparative advantage of China's global value chain income and industry is calculated by using Timmeret al. (2013's model and WIOD data. The main conclusions are as follows: 1. The traditional trade statistics overestimates the real export value and exaggerates the degree of trade imbalance. China's export trade volume has been distorted, with a distortion of between 20% and 40%, and showing a growing trend of 2. 2%. China's competitiveness in the global value chain is rising, mainly reflected in two aspects: the deepening of global value chain participation and the improvement of global value chain income. However, the competitiveness of manufacturing industry is different, the competitiveness of non-durable goods industry and equipment manufacturing industry is higher, and the competitiveness of other manufacturing industries is still low.
【学位授予单位】：厦门大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752;F113
本文编号：2215925
[Abstract]:All along, international trade is based on cross-border principle. With the rise of intermediate trade, this traditional method of total volume statistics has shown great limitations. In order to truly measure the international trade situation, the value added trade (VVT) calculation method has been paid more and more attention to by all countries. It uses input-output technology to calculate the value added part produced by our country, which can avoid the problems in traditional trade statistics such as repeated statistics of intermediate products, and more comprehensively reflect the actual trade situation of a country. At the same time, with the deepening of economic globalization, more and more countries participate in the international division of labor depending on their natural resources. Competition between countries is not only at the product level, but also into global value chains. Although the production chain is expanding and spreading, countries get the opportunity to enter the global market, but different countries have different trade gains and real competitiveness level in the global value chain. This paper uses the model of Stehrer (2012) and WIOD data to calculate the value added trade of China from 1995 to 2009, and compares it with the value calculated by traditional trade statistics, in order to clarify the difference between the two algorithms. In addition, three indexes, GVC_Participation, GVC_Income and RCA_GVC, are constructed to measure the competitiveness of our country in the global value chain on the basis of the measurement method of value added trade. Based on the Koopman et al. (2010) model and OECD-WTO data, the degree of China's global value chain participation is calculated, and the explicit comparative advantage of China's global value chain income and industry is calculated by using Timmeret al. (2013's model and WIOD data. The main conclusions are as follows: 1. The traditional trade statistics overestimates the real export value and exaggerates the degree of trade imbalance. China's export trade volume has been distorted, with a distortion of between 20% and 40%, and showing a growing trend of 2. 2%. China's competitiveness in the global value chain is rising, mainly reflected in two aspects: the deepening of global value chain participation and the improvement of global value chain income. However, the competitiveness of manufacturing industry is different, the competitiveness of non-durable goods industry and equipment manufacturing industry is higher, and the competitiveness of other manufacturing industries is still low.
【学位授予单位】：厦门大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752;F113
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